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March 20, 2011

The Week In Review And A Look Ahead: Part 3 Of 3

GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V)

GoldQuest fell as low as 28 cents during Tuesday’s market sell-off but bargain hunters quickly stepped up to the plate and the stock finished the week at 33.5 cents for a loss of just a penny-and-a-half…for a company like GoldQuest to show weakness in its stock price at the moment underlines our point regarding the current poor technical health of the CDNXGoldQuest’s 50-day SMA is now declining for the first time since last summer…the rising 200-day SMA at 26 cents provides exceptional support, so it wasn’t surprising the stock reacted and turned higher after it touched 28 cents…the prospects for GQC this year are very bright given the company’s pipeline of quality Gold projects in the Dominican Republic where a mining boom is clearly in full swing…GoldQuest has been conducting a Phase 2 drill program at its promising La Escandalosa Property in the DR since mid-December and initial results are expected soon…based on the success of the last drill program, GoldQuest is getting closer to the centre of the mineralizing system at Escandalosa and we’re expecting results that could ultimately elevate this project to the 1 million+ ounce category…400,000 inferred ounces have already been outlined (43-101) based on just 25 drill holes…approximately 40 holes are being drilled in the current program…Escandalosa is a flat-lying, near-surface deposit where the Gold should be easy to extract…as Chairman Bill Fisher told us in a recent interview, “the economics could be really quite compelling”…proving up a 1 million ounce deposit at Escandalosa could give GoldQuest production of at least 100,000 ounces a year…GQC’s other promising priority projects in the DR are Las Animas and Jengibre which are next in line for drilling after Escandalosa…GoldQuest released a 43-101 resource estimate March 2 on its Toral zinc-lead-silver deposit in Spain…it showed slightly lower grades but much higher overall tonnage than the previous historical non-compliant estimate…as a result, total resources came out 15% higher…resources in the indicated category are 4.04 million tonnes grading 11.8% lead and zinc (5.3% lead, 6.5% zinc) as well as 41 g/t Ag and 0.11% Cu… inferred resources are 4.67 million tonnes grading 9.8% lead and zinc (4.44% lead, 5.4% zinc), 32 g/t Ag and 0.14 Cu…Toral has significant exploration and development upside as a majority of the historical drilling (40,000+ metres) was conducted over one relatively small part of the property…the zone of sulphide mineralization is open along strike to the northwest toward a known lead deposit as well as along strike to the southeast and downdip…the project is also an ideal candidate for a fast-track to production…the deposit is close to a power line, highway and rail line…a large smelter is located just 300 kilometers away by rail…GoldQuest is up 72% since we introduced it to BMR readers last fall…

Greencastle Resources (VGN, TSX-V)

Greencastle fell another penny last week, closing Friday at 19 cents which is 1 cent below its 200-day rising SMA…this was after a decent day Friday when VGN gained a penny-and-a-half on improved volume of 161,000 shares…this is a company with a market cap ($8.6 million) not far above its cash value of approximately $6 million…the potential of higher oil prices in the coming months could bolster Greencastle’s monthly cash flow of $100,000+ as it receives royalties from heavy crude production at Primate in Saskatchewan…Greencastle tripled in value over a six-week period from late October to early December…since the beginning of January, though, the stock has struggled due mostly to impatient investors frustrated with the lack of news…there hasn’t been news from Greencastle since November 30…however, with approximately $6 million in working capital, three Gold properties and monthly cash flow from an oil royalty, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that VGN is a bargain at current levels…Greencastle will shine again soon enough…the long-term chart remains very encouraging with rising 200 and 300-day SMA’s that are in no danger of reversing…it’s also interesting to note that President and CEO Tony Roodenburg, a large shareholder in VGN, has refrained from selling any of his holdings in recent months despite the fact the stock price more than tripled in value on high volume…this is different from past runs in the stock and adds further credence to our view that we haven’t seen the highs in this cycle yet from Greencastle – it’s poised for what we believe could be a massive breakout sometime this year…Pinetree Capital has also accumulated more shares in Greencastle, so there’s every reason to be very optimistic regarding this company’s prospects…investors need to be patient, however, as they often do with Roodenburg’s plays…Greencastle is up 36% since we added it back in to the BMR model portfolio five  months ago…

Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V)

Adventure Gold suffered with the overall market and fell to a low of 51 cents last week before recovering and closing Friday at 59 cents for a weekly loss of 3 pennies…the stock remains in an overall long-term uptrend with the supporting 100-day moving average (SMA) at 50 cents…the 10-day SMA is in decline for the first time since late January while the 20-day is currently flat but in danger of declining…the company released results recently from the first two holes at its Pascalis Colombiere Gold Property near Val d’Or…both holes were drilled approximately 150 metres west of the former L.C. Beliveau Mine and intersected Gold-bearing structures at various depths which is encouraging…the system is showing strong similarities to the one observed at L.C. Beliveau…hole #13 returned 5.4 g/t Au over 20 metres which included 2.9 metres grading 34.6 g/t Au…hole #14 intersected 7 g/t Au over 4.8 metres…results from seven more holes are pending…six of them were drilled west of the former mine while the other, which may prove to be very important, was drilled at depth to test the geometry of the Gold system below the underground workings…this former mine was a low cost producer and holds excellent potential for extensions laterally and at depth…it’s still early but Adventure Gold appears to be on track with its exploration goals at this property based on these early results…we expect AGE will begin drilling its Granada Extension Property in the near future…last month’s results from Gold Bullion and the latest drill map on the GBB web site reveal exciting new potential over the far western portion of GBB’s Preliminary Block Model which supports Adventure Gold’s geological interpretation that it holds part of the western extension of the LONG Bars Zone…we first mentioned Adventure Gold to our readers in an article September 29, just a couple of days following the company’s announcement that it had acquired land at Granada, when the stock was trading in the low 20′s…we officially added AGE to the BMR model portfolio at 34 cents October 28, so the gain since then is 74%…Adventure Gold has been around only since late 2007 and we are impressed by the company’s solid portfolio of properties (19 in six strategic areas in Quebec and Ontario)…also of immediate interest is AGE’s partnership with Lake Shore Gold (LSG, TSX) on the Meunier 144 Property where deep drilling is still testing the down plunge extension of Gold zones located at the Timmins and Thunder Creek deposits…the current initial deep drill hole onto the Meunier JV property is continuing…when completed it’s estimated the hole will provide a deep cut on the projected target area at about a vertical depth of 2,600 metres…this will enable shallower wedge cuts to be considered if significant mineralization is found to be present in this area…the initial deep hole was collared on LSG’s Timmins mine property last August…if this deep hole succeeds, AGE could absolutely explode…

Sidon International (SD, TSX-V)

Sidon held steady at 6.5 cents last week after a big drop the previous week…in fact, the stock has now closed at 6.5 cents for 7 consecutive trading sessions…the company came out with some positive news last Monday which gave support to the stock price…Sidon has arranged a private placement of up to $2 million at 8 cents, and the company also announced it has acquired an option to acquire 80% of a property adjacent to Canaco’s (CAN, TSX-V) Handeni Project…initial drill results from Morogoro, announced March 8, fell short of market expectations…the six shallow holes that were drilled in December did not produce significant results, the best hole showing 3 metres grading 1.7 g/t Au…the company has drilled four deeper holes with results for those still pending…what the initial six holes have given Sidon, however, is a better understanding of the Morogoro geological structure which should help in future drilling…exploration, especially at such an early stage, is never easy and disappointing initial results don’t necessarily mean a property doesn’t hold excellent potential…the company is also trying to develop a placer operation at Morogoro…ground near Canaco’s discovery also helps…there is certainly hope here for better days ahead…from a technical standpoint, previous support between 9 and 10 cents will now provide resistance over the short term…Sidon is up 30% since we introduced it to BMR readers a year ago at a nickel…

Seafield Resources (SFF, TSX-V)

Seafield gained half a penny for the week, closing Friday at 34 cents after briefly dipping below its rising 200-day SMA at 31 cents earlier in the week…declining 7.5 cents to 34 cents, but certainly not for a lack of decent drill results…on Monday the company reported assays from the first three holes completed at Dos Quebradas with hole #2 intersecting a whopping 511 metres grading 0.58 g/t Au…the hole ended in mineralization…hole #1 delivered 269 metres grading 0.37 g/t Au while hole #3 was drilled to define the eastern limit of mineralization and returned no significant results…a total of nine holes have now been drilled at Dos Quebradas with 11 planned for this phase of drilling…last month, the company reported that a second drill rig would start testing the nearby Santa Sofia Property by the end of February…the company has identified a promising porphyry target measuring 1,050 metres in length and 850 metres in width at Santa Sofia…a third target, La Loma, also appears very interesting…the geological case for Seafield’s Quinchia land package is compelling and we’re looking forward to more results from Dos Quebradas and elsewhere…the company has already outlined a 43-101 resource of nearly 800,000 ounces at its Miraflores Property, a number that’s expected to increase following the 12-hole, 4,000 metre program recently completed there…patient investors have an opportunity to do extremely well with this play given the geological merits of Quinchia and the real potential for 5 million+ ounces from several potential deposits…the company is sitting on at least $15 million in cash and has a very modest market cap of just over $51 million…Seafield has gained 475% since we made it the first company in the BMR model portfolio in the summer of 2009…

3 Comments

  1. Hello Jon, Will John be following up with more charts this week on the portfolio stocks (as with AGE last week)? Congratulations on your upcoming marriage. When I make my fortune I’ll buy that waterfront property you guys have in Arizona! Most market indices are up again today but the Venture is trending downwards (inverse to the others). I’m holding my cash position but couldn’t resist making a little on NKW. FAU keeps catching my eye too.

    Comment by Andrew — March 21, 2011 @ 6:32 am

  2. Yes we will….

    Comment by Jon - BMR — March 21, 2011 @ 8:35 am

  3. A single Bid 1 million at .355 is keeping SFF strong. Is this looking like a good re entry point, John’s chart and analysis will be interesting.

    Comment by Andrew — March 21, 2011 @ 11:31 am

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