Gold has traded between $1,308 and $1,329 so far today…as of 7:05 am Pacific, bullion is down $13 an ounce at $1,310…Silver is off 6 cents at $21.85…Copper is flat at $3.29…Crude Oil has slid by more than $1 a barrel to $95.24 while the U.S. Dollar Index has shot up by more than one-third of a point to 80.64…it’s now trading within a stiff resistance band between 80 and 81 that it will likely have great difficulty climbing out of…
Gold demand in India continues to be a problem…lack of supply, due to stringent government measures to curb imports and trim the nation’s current account deficit, has driven up prices and curbed consumers’ voracious appetite for Gold jewelry as the festive season begins…the sluggish overall economy isn’t helping matters, either, though India’s stock market hit a new all-time high intra-day today…
Jewelry stores across the country typically see a surge in sales in the days leading up to the widely celebrated Hindu festival of Diwali, which falls on November 3…this year, however, jewelers aren’t enjoying the buying frenzy they’re accustomed to according to various reports…
“It’s been very, very slow. Sales are down 50% compared to last year. There’s no demand because prices have soared so much, the economy is slow and inflation is high. This Diwali is a flop,” said Sunil Tejnani, co-owner of Tikamdas Hiranand, a family-run jeweler located in Mumbai’s Zaveri Bazar – a major jewelry market in the city (source: CNBC)…
Gold prices in India have risen swiftly in recent months, driven by depreciation in the rupee, a recovery in global prices, an increase in taxes and a premium on the London price due to local supply issues…
Today’s Markets
Some upbeat economic data helped China’s Shanghai Composite gain 8 points overnight to close at 2150…two separate readings of Chinese factory activity in October were released today…China’s official PMI (purchasing managers index) rose to 51.4 from 51.1 in September, beating Reuters’ estimate of 51.2…meanwhile, HSBC’s final reading of factory activity hit a 7-month high, unchanged from last week’s flash estimate…
European shares are mixed in late trading overseas…
In New York, the Dow is up 75 points through the first 35 minutes of trading…
The TSX has gained 21 points as of 7:05 am Pacific…the Gold Index is under pressure, down 6 points at 174, after Barrick Gold Corp.’s (ABX, TSX) announcement of a whopping $3 billion U.S. financing (163.5 million shares at $18.35 per share), the company’s first financing in more than 4 years…Barrick intends to use $2.6-billion of the net proceeds to redeem or repurchase outstanding debt…
The Venture is off 2 points at 957 and has held up well despite the weakness in Gold yesterday and again today…the Venture has consistently shrugged off some significant down days in bullion since August, an encouraging sign…
CRB Index Updated Chart
The CRB Index is at critical support as shown in this 20-year monthly chart update from John…RSI(14) peaked at 70 in early 2011 when the Index recovered to a post-crash high of nearly 375 at the same time as the Venture climbed back to a high of 2465…RSI(14) on the CRB chart has held at the 40 level or higher since late 2009, and yesterday’s 278 close by the Index puts it right at the support of the lower Pitchfork Tine…one can argue that the bear market that started in 2011 has bottomed out…keep in mind that the CRB Index did not hit its post-Crash low until early 2009, a few months after the Venture finally bottomed out around 700…the Venture (up nearly 12%) has out-performed the CRB Index (up just under 1%) since late June of this year which is a positive sign as the Venture will typically lead the CRB in one direction or the other…it’ll be critical to keep a close eye on the action in the CRB Index over the next 2-3 months…
Azincourt Uranium Inc. (AAZ, TSX-V) Chart Update
Besides Fission Uranium Corp. (FCU, TSX-V), the leader of the pack, two PLS area uranium plays we’ve liked the most in recent months have been Azincourt Uranium (AAZ, TSX-V) and Aldrin Resource Corp. (ALN, TSX-V) and both have progressed very well as they inch closer to winter drill programs…readers who have accumulated AAZ in the 20’s are now seeing their patience pay off as AAZ is now threatening to push through stiff resistance in the low-to-mid 30’s after closing yesterday at 33.5 cents on volume of 1.5 million shares (all exchanges)…since April, the stock has been trading in a horizontal channel between 20 cents and 33 cents…below is a 15-month weekly chart from John…note the high bullish volume over the last couple of weeks…AAZ is unchanged at 33.5 cents as of 7:05 am Pacific…
Contact Exploration Inc. (CEX, TSX-V) Chart Update
An energy play that we believe is poised for success both fundamentally and in the market is Contact Exploration (CEX, TSX-V) which we have been mentioning frequently in recent weeks…volume is encouraging, and the stock is now right at channel resistance and threatening to break out as you can see in John’s 2.5-year weekly chart…RSI(14) is in good position to move higher and buy pressure has now replaced sell pressure which was dominant since April…as always, perform your own due diligence…CEX is up a penny at 29 cents, where there’s a significant offer, through the first 35 minutes of trading today…
Gold Canyon Resources Inc. (GCU, TSX-V)
One of our readers inquired about Gold Canyon Resources (GCU, TSX-V) which continues to develop its promising Springpole Gold Project in northern Ontario…very oversold conditions definitely emerged in GCU during the spring and into the early summer, and the stock hit what appears to have been an important low of 19 cents near the end of June – just when both the Venture and Gold hit their lows of 859 and $1,179, respectively…
GCU is focusing its efforts on relatively low-cost but critical work needed to advance the Springpole Project…with $6 million in working capital as per the latest financials (ending Aug. 31), the company believes it has adequate resources to accomplish the following over the next 12 months:
- Continue all baseline surveys required for future permitting;
- Work toward an exploration accommodation agreement with first nations communities;
- Pursue permits needed to build an exploration trail to site;
- Initiate certain engineering studies in preparation for launching a future prefeasibility study;
- Conduct exploration drilling of the soft mineralized material immediately underneath lake bottom where previous drilling was unable to recover core for sampling.
Technically, the stock does have some momentum at the moment and could certainly take a run at the next resistance level which is 53 cents…GCU closed yesterday at 39.5 cents…keep in mind that about 12 million shares from an August financing at 23 cents become free-trading in just over a month, so expect some selling of those shares in December as certain investors will elect to just ride the 40-cent, 2-year warrants…share structure, as we often emphasize, is critical, and many companies including GCU have been hurt by dilutive financings…GCU is unchanged at 39.5 cents as of 7:05 am Pacific…
Zenyatta Ventures (ZEN, TSX-V) Chart Update
Zenyatta Ventures (ZEN, TSX-V) has managed to hold critical support around the $2 level, and gained 21 cents yesterday to close at $2.45…technically, ZEN has strong support at $2.05 and two resistance levels to keep an eye on – $2.45, yesterday’s close, and $2.93, about 25 cents below the falling 50-day moving average (SMA) which will also be a hurdle…given the volatility of ZEN and the current support/resistance areas, this is a traders’ market at the moment…overall momentum has certainly waned since ZEN surged to an all-time high of $5 in late July…ZEN is up 6 cents at $2.51 as of 7:05 am Pacific…
Note: John, Terry and Jon do not hold share positions in AAZ, CEX, GCU or ZEN…
Jon, I had an opportunity to speak to Peter (pgx) and it doesnt appear that the property they were going to look at in mexico is going to go ahead due to some new tax law that mexico recently introduced, its doesnt appear that anything may happen as far as a drill program for the winter in relation to another property acquisition, so it appears that besides the airborne survey, I wouldnt expect much from them until next spring/ summer. We discussed other topics but in a nutshell thats it.
Comment by Paul — November 1, 2013 @ 3:11 pm
We’ll see what PGX comes up with, Paul. They’ve stated that their intent is to acquire a second project in North or South America. Timing of course will be critical in determining what amount or type of exploration they may be able to carry out this winter. The 2nd project idea is not something new. That was their strategy from the beginning. With regard to Mexico, royalty tax or not, it remains a very attractive jurisdiction for exploration and mining. Costs are low, stable government, good labor pool. The intent of the royalty tax is to put that money into the local communities, which in turn may help from a PR perspective as these communities will see more tangible, direct benefits from the industry. Would rather not see a royalty tax but it is what it is. I’m puzzled that Pete would suddenly have cold feet regarding a project there when Prosper entered into a deal with Firesteel on the Sheslay just 10 days or so prior to an election in B.C. when it appeared almost certain the NDP would take power, and that of course would have killed the mining industry in B.C. – would have had far worse of an impact on B.C. than any royalty tax will on Mexico. Mexico remains a very cheap place for exploration, and there are deposits and mines all over. Very well-endowed geologically with excellent infrastructure. In the big scheme of things, it’s certainly one of the best places in the world to search for new deposits and to put those deposits into production.
Comment by Jon - BMR — November 1, 2013 @ 8:40 pm
Good morning everyone. What a difference a week makes, from
first place to fighting for a playoff spot. Anyway, we still
have GGI, the stock i picked over PGX in the beginning, but
remember, my record of picking winners over the last couple of
years have been dismal. I may show positive traits at times,
but i have also lost money & some will state, so what, it’s only
money, but the truth is, we are lost without it.
GARIBALDI RESOURCES CORP.
Leadership. Moving Forward. Building Value.
“Garibaldi is among the small percentage of Venture companies with the working capital,
the expertise, the properties and the drive to succeed both on the ground and in the market.”
Immediate And Long-Term Opportunity
• $4 million in working capital (just slightly below current market cap)
• Drilling imminent in Mexico – 1,000 sq. km in robust Au-Ag-Cu regions
• Monthly royalty income from pilot program in Mexico
• Dominant landholder in Sheslay Cu-Au porphyry discovery area in NW B.C.
• Clean share structure (no significant financing in nearly 5 years)
• Synergistic mix of geological, business and market expertise
R !
Comment by Bert — November 2, 2013 @ 3:07 am
LOOKING for the best ten ideas from bmr members .Lets start a portfolio with our best ideas come on paul, bert,jon, niles,justin,steven,martin Richard, frank. dan ,Alexandre kdcdoggy ,tony oldman or any other members I will be away till Thursday PLEASE pick a stock and its closing price the day you pick it and we will keep track of bmr members portfolio track record .please name your favorite stock on Thursday or later. please tell us what you like about your stock pick
Comment by gil — November 2, 2013 @ 8:31 pm