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October 30, 2012

BMR Morning Market Musings…

U.S. markets are closed again today, marking an historic second day of a weather-related shutdown due to Superstorm Sandy which has ravaged parts of the East Coast and killed at least 16 people in the United States and one in Canada…the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will remain closed today amid a storm that is expected to cause at least between $10 billion and $20 billion in damages…this is the first time since 1888 that the markets have remain closed for two days due to weather…

How this will impact the U.S. elections next Tuesday remains to be seen…the stock market crash in 2008 helped Barack Obama get elected as President, and this October surprise – as tragic as it is – could also aid his cause if he’s perceived to be handling the situation effectively…for Mitt Romney, media coverage of his late momentum has now been overshadowed by the disaster and that can’t be considered helpful for his campaign, but it’s really impossible to predict at this time what the impact will be come election night…

This is an abbreviated edition of Morning Musings due to travel and the closure of the U.S. markets, but we do have some interesting charts from John…

Gold has traded between $1,707 and $1,716 so far today…as of 7:55 am Pacific, bullion is relatively unchanged at $1,711…Silver had added 17 cents to $31.93…Copper is up a penny to $3.50…Crude Oil is off 32 cents to $85.22 while the U.S. Dollar has retreated nearly one-third of a point to 79.93…

Asian markets were mixed overnight with China’s Shanghai Composite gaining 3 points to 2062…European shares are strong this morning thanks to positive earnings and a successful bond auction in Italy…volumes on the TSX and the Venture Exchange were down significantly yesterday due to the U.S. shutdown, and that will remain the case today…as of 7:55 am Pacific, the Venture is unchanged at 1291…

Below is a long-term Venture chart from John (4-year weekly) that makes it very clear what the Index needs to do in order to head north, and that is to bust out above the downsloping channel that has been in place since early 2011…it’s very close to doing that…given various technical indicators, and for fundamental reasons including the likelihood of higher Gold prices, we do envision this breakout occurring over the final two months of the year which should set up a very bullish scenario for the beginning of 2013…

John’s technical outlook for the TSX is also bullish as the senior market appears to be either forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, or a “cup with handle”…below is an 18-month weekly chart…

U.S. Dollar Index Chart Update

The greenback has been showing signs recently of wanting to rally, breaking above a resistance level around 80, but we doubt any rally would be long-lasting given the strong overhead resistance band between 81 and 81.5 which includes the 200-day moving average (SMA)…the 200-day has flattened out and is threatening to roll over, so it can be expected to provide stiff resistance to any upside push…overall, this is a weak chart that could likely only be saved by a Romney victory next week…


GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V)

GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V) has just come out with additional assays from its Romero discovery in the Dominican Republic, and the market sold off to the 200-day moving average (SMA) before stabilizing…drill results from three holes included 157 metres grading 1.07 g/t Au and 0.40% Cu, 101 metres grading 1.60 g/t Au and 0.74% Cu, and 39 metres of 1.04 g/t Au and 0.10% Cu…these were large step-outs to the east and south, demonstrating that mineralization occurs beyond the limits of the initial discovery and extends in excess of 300 meters in the north-west to south-east direction…we’ll have more tomorrow…below is a GQC chart from John after trading yesterday…it’ll be interesting to see where GQC closes today and if it can get back above the 80 cent level…while this morning’s results may have disappointed some investors, Romero is still a major discovery with great potential…

Continental Gold (CNL, TSX)

Continental Gold (CNL, TSX) delivered some fabulous results from its Buritica Gold-Silver Project in Colombia yesterday, and the stock is up again this morning…below is a 2.5-year weekly chart…

Note: Jon holds a position in GQC.

11 Comments

  1. BMR, Any idea what MR. Johnston is giving out for Halloween this year. Will it be pieces of silver laden rock or is he going the Charlie Brown route and giving out lumps of coal?

    Comment by Paul — October 30, 2012 @ 7:03 am

  2. RBW SP holding up quite well in this down market. Wonder if assays from the International will be out this week? Or could it be interesting core at Gold Viking.

    Comment by Dan — October 30, 2012 @ 8:43 am

  3. BMR

    Have you mentioned Minaurum Gold in the past? and if so can you direct me to the day you mentioned it?

    thanks

    Comment by GREG — October 30, 2012 @ 11:21 am

  4. Actually decent Goldquest results… nice copper content too… I`m thinking now might be a good time to accumulate

    Comment by Lance — October 30, 2012 @ 11:47 am

  5. GQC … increasing speed in adjustment…. not long ago, I mentioned about 70 cents mark …. and don’t touch this one. Day trade only… It can go lower… Sold all at $1.90 and played a little bite at $1.60… and that is it.

    Comment by Theodore — October 30, 2012 @ 6:44 pm

  6. Shall I go back and retrieve your own post about gqc Theodore??? You bought at 190 and sold @160. Lol. Tell the truth

    Comment by Heath stockford — October 30, 2012 @ 8:03 pm

  7. @Heath…. I bought around 80 cents… and sold at $1.90. After that, I played a little bite at $1.60 and left the field. Sorry for the confusion!

    Comment by Theodore — October 31, 2012 @ 2:39 am

  8. Bmr look what your site has become! You have lost all your valuable posters and are left with useless banter. There is never an update ready premarket as there once was. What has happened?

    Comment by james — October 31, 2012 @ 3:34 am

  9. Hmm. Hits are still great, even though the last couple of days have been slow due to the U.S. shutdown.

    Comment by Terrry - BMR — October 31, 2012 @ 3:53 am

  10. Dare I suggest we may finally test the 230k at 22.5 today? Bids looking decent and not much on the ask besides that big one at 22.5 US markets are open and looks like it should be a green day out there… BMR have you heard from any of the RBW clan lately?

    Comment by db — October 31, 2012 @ 4:17 am

  11. Gotta agree with James. The late post of morning musings and lack of comments has leesened tha value of the site for me. Plus I had put in a comment the other day regarding FMS.v and their PEA that never got posted. I really do appreciate what you guys do (for free!) but once you provide a quality service we expect it always. Not necessarily fair but true. Hits might still be great but be careful because it can be quite easy to lose that.

    Comment by pete — October 31, 2012 @ 7:00 am

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