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September 12, 2012

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold is trending higher today…as of 5:45 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $6 an ounce at $1,739 after climbing as high as $1,748…Silver is 22 cents higher at $33.70…Copper is up 2 pennies at $3.67…Crude Oil is flat at $97.20 while the struggling U.S. Dollar Index has fallen another one-fifth of a point to 79.73…

Rainbow Resources (RBW, TSX-V) Update – RBW Is Finding The International Vein System

The tone in David W. Johnston’s voice was very upbeat yesterday after BMR conducted a short interview with him following yesterday’s news release, and there’s no question he’s very pleased with how drilling has been proceeding at the International Silver Property where the company is aiming for a discovery…

We’re hitting the vein system in every hole and that’s why we’re at 10 holes and counting,” Johnston declared…”As we’ve been stating all along, the International is an exceptional project that deserved to be drilled a long time ago if it weren’t for access issues…with Silver doing what it’s doing, we’re more excited than ever by the prospect of delineating a near-surface, high-grade deposit that can easily be extracted”…

Folks, the near-surface, high-grade nature of mineralization at the International has been well documented in historical reports and Rainbow’s own sampling has delivered impressive results as high as 33.5 ounces per ton…they are drilling right into the heart of an exposed quartz dominated structure featuring disseminated to massive galena, pyrite and sphalerite, so the fact these angled and vertical holes are actually intersecting the vein system gives us increased confidence that a discovery could be in the making…great-looking core of course doesn’t always translate into great assays, which is probably why Rainbow has been conservative in its statements so far as they continue to wait for results from the lab, but our interpretation of the news issued to date is that they are seeing the type of mineralization they were hoping to hit…

Between the International and other quality projects in the West Kootenays, and the soon-to-be-drilled Jewel Ridge Property in Nevada where Rainbow will be following up on a fabulous result (2.1 g/t Au over 40 metres near-surface), this is a company with exceptional potential…despite the recent market turnaround, there are few companies on the Venture with rising 50, 100, 200 and 300-day moving averages but RBW is one of them…

Parlane Resource Corp. (PPP, TSX-V) & RJK Explorations (RJX.A, TSX-V):  New Gold Takeover Targets?

“We Want To Control Everything In The Area” – New Gold Inc. Executive Chairman Randall Oliphant


Buried in the depths of New Gold Inc’s (NGD, TSX) web site is a very juicy piece of audio from a speech just the other day that clearly underscores some no-brainer opportunities for investors centered around the prolific Blackwater district in central British Columbia…as regular BMR readers know, we were very early to the Blackwater story (late 2009) and Richfield Ventures became a 10-bagger for some of our readers after it got taken out by New Gold just over a year ago…New Gold also swallowed up Silver Quest Resources and Geo Minerals, and then paid $6 million earlier this year to Gold Reach Ventures for its Auro and Auro South claims at Blackwater…

But New Gold, which has already built up a land position of 1,000 square kilometres in the area, is likely far from finished in terms of acquisitions based on comments made by Executive Chairman Randall Oliphant at the recent Bank of America Merrill Lynch 18th Annual Canada Mining Conference in Toronto…while he didn’t of course single out Parlane Resource Corp. (PPP, TSX-V) or RJK Explorations (RJX.A., TSX-V), it goes without saying that those two companies both hold very strategic and sizable land packages at Blackwater that have to be of strong interest to New Gold

And both Parlane and RJK are gearing up for the start of drill programs – RJK is going back to its Blackwater East and Northeast properties, where it made an interesting Silver discovery earlier this year (3.3 metres near-surface grading 79 opt), and will also conduct initial drilling at its Blackwater West and Dave 2 properties…Parlane has a 10,000-metre drill permit in hand and is almost ready to begin tackling its very promising 14,000-hectare Big Bear Project strategically located between the Capoose and Blackwater deposits…Parlane has just 28 million shares outstanding with a current market cap of only $5 million…

New Gold has an incredible 18 rigs in operation at Blackwater where it has greatly expanded the resource since acquiring Richfield recent assays demonstrate strong continuity of Gold mineralization as the resource continues to expand, particularly to the north and northwest…what’s especially interesting is that beyond the positive Gold-related results, recent assays have also returned some of the highest Silver grades found on the deposit to date…as a result, the inferred Silver grades have increased by 103% to 7.7 g/t when compared with the March, 2012, resource estimate…these results occur within a zone of higher grade Silver mineralization along the outer northwestern portion of the mineral resource…this zone offers excellent potential for expanding the Silver resource at Blackwater and is an area of strong exploration focus for the company…

Below are excerpts of Oliphant’s speech the other day (highlighted areas, our emphasis) – how long will it take for New Gold to take a run at Parlane and/or RJK?…

“The resource continues to expand and this is probably the largest pure Gold discovery ever found west of Ontario…it’s not a well understood area…nobody knows where all this Gold came from…we have a Capoose property that’s 25 kilometers away, that’s already 800,000 ounces of Gold and 56 million ounces of silver…these deposits never seem to statistically happen in isolation where you have a 10 million ounce deposit, and nothing else around, whether it’s a 2 or 4 million or 5 million ounce deposit as well”…

“So what we’ve done is we’ve worked to try and increase our land position and we’re now up to about 1,000 square kilometers, because frankly the geologists don’t know what the source was of all this gold…we want to control everything in the area from the perspective of dealing with First Nations, of having complete flexibility of where we put tailing stands, waste, dumps, not having to lay that on other people’s ground…our drilling is remarkably aggressive this year…we’re going to drill about 250 kilometers of drilling…I read somewhere that this could be the most extensive drilling program going on in mining right now, but we’re both trying to upgrade our resource and also expand the size of it”…

“The cost of building Blackwater, we can fund internally with the cash flows that we have”…

“We just announced that we’re actually going to have a breakfast to bring out the preliminary economic assessment of Blackwater, here in Toronto, on September 20″…

“One of the calling cards of our company and one of the reasons why we thought that we wanted to get involved in Blackwater was our teams in British Columbia have an outstanding relationship with all the First Nations groups…in fact our local chief was at PDAC here in Toronto, about a year and a half ago, talking about the model that we have and he’d like to see it rolled out all across Canada…that’s made things a lot easier for us in dealing with First Nations in British Columbia…we already have, and they weren’t even required, letters of support, to support our multi-year exploration permits”…

Parlane has been firming up just recently on increased volume and is looking quite bullish on the charts with 50 and 200-day moving averages just reversing to the upside…it closed yesterday at 18.5 cents…RJK likely hit bottom in May at 8.5 cents and closed yesterday at 10.5 cents…

Germany’s Highest Court Clears Way For Euro Zone’s Permanent Bailout Mechanism To Go Ahead

Germany’s highest court Wednesday threw out attempts to delay the country’s ratification of the European Stability Mechanism and the so-called “Fiscal Pact” but placed strict conditions on expanding it beyond its foreseen limits…the ruling, which was broadly as expected, removes a major question mark over two crucial elements of the euro zone’s plan to manage its debt crisis…itt paves the way for the creation of a permanent bailout mechanism in the region that will be able to provide large-scale financial assistance to heavily indebted euro-zone economies…

Today’s Markets

Asian markets were higher overnight with the Nikkei climbing nearly 2% while China’s Shanghai Composite Index gained 6 points to 2127…European shares are up modestly this morning while stock index futures in New York as of 6:00 am Pacific are pointing toward a positive open on Wall Street…

The Venture Exchange closed up 4 points yesterday at 1275 and should respond well today to fresh advances in Gold and Silver and commodities in general…

It’s hard not be bullish regarding commodities when one examines John’s long-term CRB Index chart this morning…the Index appears to have started a powerful Wave 5 move that could take it well beyond the 2011 high…note that the RSI(14) is now above 50 while the Slow Stochastics indicator (%K) is rising rapidly…


Gold, CRB, Venture Exchange Comparative Chart

John has another interesting chart this morning, a 2.5-year weekly CDNX comparison with Gold and the CRB Index…note how both Gold and the CRB Index have recently broken above their downtrend lines while the Venture is stirring but still has some catching up to do, though we expect it will follow suit and break above its downtrend line in the coming weeks…


Euro Reversal – Bullish For Gold

The euro’s reversal has been confirmed on the charts, and that’s bullish for Gold and Silver and bearish for the U.S. Dollar…note how the euro, in relation to the greenback, has broken above a downtrend line in place since last summer…this is highly significant and strongly suggests the building blocks are coming together to tackle the euro zone debt crisis in a much more effective way…


Canadian Dollar Update

Given the renewed strength in the euro, and a powerful-looking Canadian Dollar, the outlook for the U.S. Dollar Index is rather grim to say the least…it’s also our expectation, though not our wish, that Barack Obama will get re-elected in November and the market’s perception of that result won’t be positive for the U.S. Dollar…Obama, of course, embraces Big Government and that means the Americans will simply kick the can further down the road as far as their debt problem is concerned, particularly if the Democrats also control at least the Senate or the House (or worse yet, both)…

The Canadian Dollar is strong in part because of Canada’s healthy fiscal position, relative to most other countries, and the continuing long-term bull market in commodities…a healthy loonie is also bullish for the Venture Exchange as the correlation between the two is quite high…

Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX-V) Chart Update

Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) brutal 2012 decline has come to an end as shown in John’s chart below…

Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in RIC.

20 Comments

  1. Jon

    Don’t forget this little company (DVV), in particular, since New Gold wants
    to control everything. Also, some of your followers have positions.

    Driven Capital Corp. (TSX.V: DVV, Frankfurt, DV1) is advancing exploration of its
    British Columbia property adjacent to New Gold Inc’s Blackwater Gold Project,
    while preparing to drill in two highly prospective projects in the Yukon. Welcome.

    Blackwater East is comprised of 23 contiguous mineral claims totaling approximately
    8,472 hectares in area that have been acquired, staked or optioned up to 100% from
    Ansell Capital Corp. (Kuyakuz Mountain property, 2010). The project is located on
    British Columbia’s prolific Nechako Plateau in the Omineca Mining Division.

    Blackwater East is adjacent to the eastern/southeastern boundaries of New Gold Inc.’s
    Blackwater property – the world’s largest mineral exploration and development project.
    In July 2012 New Gold Inc. released an updated mineral resource estimate of 9.6 million
    indicated & inferred ounces of gold at Blackwater. The deposit remains open in all
    directions and at depth, with 200,000 metres of drilling planned for 2012 alone. New
    Gold primarily attained control of Blackwater through the acquisition of three junior
    exploration companies in 2011, and over 22 square kilometers of claim blocks in 2012.
    For more information please refer to New Gold Inc.’s web site.

    Comment by Bert — September 12, 2012 @ 5:10 am

  2. HI Folks….BMR needs your help.
    One of the stocks we are interested in is V.PPP. I(John) cannot present a chart on this stock because Stockcharts will not add it to their database unless there is sufficient demand for it. So I am asking all of you if you will please go to the link below, fill in the form, then send it to Stockcharts.

    http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=support:feedback:symbol_request

    many thanks

    Comment by John - BMR — September 12, 2012 @ 5:27 am

  3. Hi Jon, are post to this site being screened before posted? I noticed that there aren’t any post at times and then all of a sudden a bunch of post appear at the same time. You can tell from the time stamp on the post that the times are spread out. If they are screened it seems to take a long time for the post to actually appear.

    Comment by Dan — September 12, 2012 @ 6:05 am

  4. What about VGN next door to Parlane, or is that no longer your ‘favorite’ pick? Just what are they up to with the Deveron spin off? Shareholder be damned!

    Comment by Hugh — September 12, 2012 @ 6:05 am

  5. Hi Dan, as per my note in July, yes, posts are not automatically uploaded and that’s been due only to some occasional rude comments.

    Comment by Terry - BMR — September 12, 2012 @ 6:48 am

  6. Done and done John….

    Comment by db — September 12, 2012 @ 6:57 am

  7. Fair enough, Terry. Thanks.

    Comment by Dan — September 12, 2012 @ 7:00 am

  8. anon dumps 60k

    Comment by BRIAN — September 12, 2012 @ 7:16 am

  9. Did my part for the Parlane chart. Noticed quite some time back I couldn’t get a chart for it on that site. I hope this works!

    Comment by Cam — September 12, 2012 @ 7:17 am

  10. Symbol Request Completed

    Comment by Hugh — September 12, 2012 @ 7:32 am

  11. News from GBB! I have complete faith in Frank Basa. I am quite confident he will turn the Granada property into a highly profitable mine. Great next step!

    Comment by Steven — September 12, 2012 @ 7:36 am

  12. Keep on buying RBW… another 20,000 shares at 19.5 cents!

    Comment by Theodore — September 12, 2012 @ 7:36 am

  13. Re: PPP, request completed

    Comment by Bert — September 12, 2012 @ 7:43 am

  14. RBW will close higher than yesterday…. 🙂

    Comment by Theodore — September 12, 2012 @ 8:39 am

  15. Lawsuits racking up for Genivar ..from SH

    This brings the total to 4 and counting…
    This one is serious, as the Federal Gov. has named them in a nasty scandal.
    “The federal government is seeking damages of $4.6 million plus interest, an accounting of all funds advanced for the job-training project, unspecified other damages, and legal costs.
    The allegations have not been proven in court. A statement of defence has not been filed.
    In addition to Nisichawayasihk Cree Nation, also named as defendants are Cochrane Group Inc., a Calgary-based property developer, and Genivar Inc., a Montreal-based construction consulting firm, which served as project managers for the project.”
    Also
    “The Ontario Superior Court of Justice finds that a third party claim by a contractor against its consulting engineers was not precluded because the contractor should have obtained an insurance policy providing coverage for the engineers.
    Commonwealth Plywood Co. Ltd. (“Commonwealth”) retained Castonguay Construction (2000) Ltd. (“Castonguay”) to act as general contractor for a project involving the expansion of Commonwealth’s warehouse facility in Ottawa, Ontario. When the project was complete, Castonguay asked for payment of the holdback. Commonwealth refused, saying that the work performed was defective. Commonwealth said that the concrete floor of the addition had not been poured to sufficient depth, was not capable of bearing the required weight and was cracking as a result. Castonguay commenced an action to recover its holdback. Commonwealth defended the action and counterclaimed for the cost of repairing the floor, estimated at $300,000.

    The contract between Commonwealth and Castonguay required Castonguay to obtain liability insurance in relation to the construction project. This insurance was never obtained. The principal of Castonguay said that the contract had been drafted by lawyers for Commonwealth and that he was not aware of the requirement until after the litigation had commenced. Castonguay already had a comprehensive general liability policy issued by Intact Insurance (previously ING Insurance). Castonguay did not inform Intact about the contract or ask for any additional insurance to be placed.

    When Castonguay received Commonwealth’s counterclaim for the cost of repairing the floor, it informed Intact. Intact defended Castonguay under a reservation of rights. Castonguay also commenced a third party claim against Zenix Engineering Ltd., Genivar Consultants Limited Partnership and Genivar Inc. (collectively “Zenix”). Zenix were the consulting engineers who provided the design and specifications for the floor slab.”

    Comment by Hugh — September 12, 2012 @ 8:44 am

  16. GBB news out:

    Gold Bullion Awards SGS Canada Inc. Mandate for Preliminary Feasibility Study for a Mine Start-up Using Custom Milling Outside Granada
    VANCOUVER, Sept. 12, 2012 /CNW/ – Gold Bullion Development Corp. (TSXV: GBB) (OTCPINK: GBBFF) (the “Company” or “Gold Bullion”) is pleased to announce it has awarded a contract of professional services to SGS Canada Inc., Geostat Mineral’s service group under direction of Claude Duplessis, P. Eng. and qualified person, for the completion of a preliminary feasibility study by the end of 2012 in order to fast track the development of the Granada Property. The Company has requested the preparation of a short term scenario for custom milling while it continues to develop the long term plan with an on-site mill.
    As of today, backlog is now completed and the remaining core and new core drilled have been split and sent to Accurassay Laboratories for gold fire assay.
    The latest available assay results are being compiled and interpreted and will be provided and publicly disclosed in the coming weeks.
    Frank Basa, Gold Bullion’s CEO, is very pleased to move forward toward production of gold from the Granada property.
    Claude Duplessis, Eng. is acting as the qualified person (QP) for Gold Bullion Development Corp. in compliance with National Instrument 43-101 and has reviewed the technical contents of this press release.

    Comment by Arjan — September 12, 2012 @ 9:10 am

  17. Here’s the reply i received from stockcharts re my request to add v.ppp

    We use a scoring system to determine which stocks to add to our database.
    As soon as a stock receives enough interest, it is added. Please understand
    that it might take unpopular stocks longer to get added.

    Please let me know if you have any more questions or comments about our website.

    Thank you for using StockCharts.com,
    Talia
    StockCharts Support
    http://stockcharts.com
    http://stockcharts.com/support

    Comment by Bert — September 12, 2012 @ 10:12 am

  18. Are the markets’ taking it’s toll on us ? Fewer posters are showing
    enthusiasm, BMR seems to be slower in getting our posts authorized
    & brought forward, which may indicate, they may have lost some
    enthusiasm & are not visiting their site that often. It may be
    a small indication that the market has finally bottomed. R !

    Comment by Bert — September 13, 2012 @ 3:08 am

  19. I blog quite often and I truly thank you for your information.
    The article has really peaked my interest. I will book mark your blog and keep checking for new details about once per week.
    I subscribed to your Feed as well.

    Comment by Ines — October 29, 2012 @ 10:32 am

  20. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the
    US government has announced only last September, the global average for the period January to August 2010 is 580F (14.
    It is predicted that “global warming” will increase water shortages in
    the near future. And these changes will not suit human life as it is.

    Comment by Cathryn — March 14, 2013 @ 9:37 pm

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