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July 18, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has cracked the $1,600 level this morning, hitting another new all-time high…as of 9:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $10 an ounce to $1,604 after hitting a high of $1,608…Gold is shooting for a record 11 straight daily advances…Silver, trying to push through resistance at $40 an ounce, is $1.10 higher at $40.37…Copper is unchanged at $4.39 a pound, Crude Oil is off $1.70 to $95.54 while the U.S. Dollar Index has gained one-half of a point to 75.66…U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner told CNBC this morning that he is certain that congressional leaders will strike a deal to raise the federal debt ceiling prior to the August deadline to avoid default…he’s likely correct but the political dynamics in Washington right now are such that that the U.S. deficit and debt problems are probably not going to be effectively addressed (bullish for Gold) until after the 2012 elections when the American electorate will hopefully come to its senses and toss President Obama out of office for being the most incompetent President since Jimmy Carter…first and foremost, the U.S. has a spending problem…in fact, never before has the U.S. government consumed so much of the private sector’s wealth creation…this is what needs to be addressed but it’s unlikely to happen under the current President who is a self-described “community organizer” with a seemingly limited understanding of how a properly functioning free enterprise economy needs to operate…according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, 64% of small businesses will not hire any new employees over the next year while 79% state that taxation, regulation and legislation make it harder for them to hire more employees…as far as potential budget cuts are concerned, the Heritage Foundation has identified about 90 programs that can be reduced or eliminated entirely at a savings of $343 billion annually…Obama’s insistence on raising taxes on the “wealthiest” of Americans ignores the truism that higher taxes kill jobs, investment and wealth creation, not to mention the fact that Washington’s problem right now is not a revenue issue but a spending disease…starving this money-sucking monster of its food supply – taxes – is the only way to address the deficit and debt and create a smaller, leaner and more efficient government that does less and spends less…that’s not an ideological position, it’s a statement of fact…Obama came into office with the goal of increasing the role of government in American society…ironically, his actions have built an even stronger case for the biggest “sizing down” of government in American history and that will be his legacy…in all fairness, Obama is obviously not the only one at fault here…every member of Congress, Democrat and Republican, needs to understand that Americans and the world can no longer afford the current size and scope of the U.S. government and a revolutionary shift is required…action will come but not likely for another year-and-a-half when the U.S. is even deeper in debt…aided by Gold’s move to $1,600, the CDNX climbed as high as 2019 in early trading but has since pulled back in sympathy with the broader markets as the Dow is down over 1%…as of 9:00 am Pacific, the Venture is off 1 point at 2006…there is resistance around 2050, so the CDNX may not push through that area on its first attempt…there’s strong support at 1980 where the 10-day and 50-day SMA’s converge…the TSX Gold Index is on the move this morning…it has broken out above 400 and its 200-day moving average (SMA)…while it could still run a little higher over the immediate future, technical indicators show the Index is in overbought territory at the moment and some consolidation can be expected before another potential big push to the upside as John outlines in the chart below…

Back to the CDNXSilver Quest Resources (SQI, TSX-V) continues to look very strong from a technical perspective and it’s underpinned by powerful fundamentals…SQI got as high as $1.19 in early trading…it’s currently unchanged at $1.14…RSI(14) and Slow Stochastics are nicely positioned to allow SQI to move higher immediately or over the near-term…Golden Predator (GPD, TSX-V), with the advantage of considerable infrastructure at its Brewery Creek Project, is another Yukon play we like a lot…the technicals with GPD are also very favorable at the moment…the company announced this morning that it has commenced sonic drilling into the existing heap leach pad at Brewery Creek…this program is in addition to GPD’s aggressive ongoing exploration program at Brewery Creek which is delineating the recently discovered Bohemian-Schooner Zone as well as exploring other high priority targets across the expansive project area…Brewery Creek was the site of a heap-leach Gold mine that operated from 1996 to 2002 and produced 279,541 ounces of Gold…recovery rates were approximately 65%, leaving a significant amount of Gold in the reclaimed heap leach pad…the Company has started testing the viability of recovering contained Gold in the heap…GPD is currently up a penny at $1.11…Kaminak Gold (KAM, TSX-V) is off a nickel at $4.32, Ethos Capital (ECC, TSX-V) is down 2 pennies at $1.27 while Pacific Ridge Exploration (PEX, TSX-V), which John highlighted in a chart Friday morning, is looking good and is unchanged at 44 cents after a 6.5-cent jump Friday…across the country, in northwest Quebec, we’re keeping close watch on a number of plays…Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX), which should report absolutely stellar second quarter earnings in a few weeks, is up 19 cents at $8.23…we’re of the opinion the company’s growing Wasamac deposit, 15 kilometres west of Rouyn-Noranda, has the potential to develop into a much bigger resource than what has already been outlined in the measured, indicated and inferred categories (1.4 million ounces)…we’ll be exploring Wasamac in more detail in the coming weeks…Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V), which is working on claims in the immediate vicinityof Wasamac, is up 2 pennies at 31 cents…VGD’s 10 and 20-day moving averages (SMA) are rising sharply together for the first time this year…the company is aggressively exploring the Wild West of the Cadillac Trend (ground to the west of Rouyn-Noranda, parts of which have never been drilled before) and will also be launching a major drill program at its highly prospective Joutel Project 150 kilometres north of Rouyn-Noranda…the eastern leg of the Joutel property has geological signatures similar to Agnico-Eagle’s (AEM, TSX) previously mined deposits (Telbel, Eagle and Eagle West) a few kilometres to the west-northwest…Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V) is unchanged at 56 cents…AGE is advancing several quality projects at the moment and the one we believe has the most potential to drive shareholder value over the summer is Pascalis-Colombiere, site of the former L.C. Beliveau Mine operated by Cambior…drilling continues at the property as AGE attempts to confirm the continuity of grade and structure, but Pascalis-Colombiere is looking extremely promising given results to date…this could truly be a company-building project that has the potential of taking AGE to a whole new level…Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) is unchanged at 42 cents…other situations to be watching closely include Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V), which is a penny at 18 cents this morning, and Seafield Resources (SFF, TSX-V) which has been moving higher on increased volume over the last five weeks…

19 Comments

  1. Eric, glad that you got to speak with Tony, the CEO of VGN. The news/results that we are EAGERLY ANTICIPATING is the FLOW RATES from the NEW WELL(s) that VGN is drilling in PROVOST! All indications are that the numbers will be FANTASTIC. If the results from other oil companies currently drilling in Saskatchewan are any sign of what is to come, we at VGN will be WELL REWARDED!! This, I believe, is the CATYLYST that will propell VGN to the next level, then some sort of MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT about a possible spin-off AND/OR the acquisition of the ADVANCED STAGE GOLD property will most certainly send VGN to the $1.00 range. I have been told that results are expected in 2 weeks time, so do not be surprised to see a steady increase in volume AND share price as we get closer to the news.

    Comment by john — July 18, 2011 @ 8:17 am

  2. STOCK ALERT NKL has been going up 30 to 59 percent a day for the last 4 or 5 days on huge volume I bought on friday at 1.86 Ihave a tiger buy the tail its plain to see.What should I do now buy more sell or hold advice please

    Comment by gil — July 18, 2011 @ 9:08 am

  3. Gil, don’t be looking for advice on here or from the boys at BMR. They seem to be very nice gentlemen, but most of thier picks stall, then turn lower in a hurry, but they always seem to find a positive in their reviews. They picked ISD.v at .40 and look at it now.

    Comment by john — July 18, 2011 @ 9:26 am

  4. Gil

    If you have a tiger by the tail, let 1/2 go when you have a double . If the stock has been going up
    for 4/5 days, watch it carefully, because it may be due for a reversal. This game is a winner for
    those in the know & for sure it’s not the lowly folks. We have to trade by the signals & those out
    there with cash, friends in the right places & bad intentions, are always putting forth signals, that
    are meant to confuse us. Confused ? The best advise i can give is any profit is better than a loss. R !

    Comment by Bert — July 18, 2011 @ 9:45 am

  5. One needs only to look at POP.V for evidence of what is in store for VGN as it drills in Provost for oil. VGN’s current drilling is very close to the POP.v discovery. We could SOON see VGN at the same level as POP.v.

    Comment by john — July 18, 2011 @ 9:54 am

  6. Johnny

    I don’t know if you have an agenda or not, but one thing is for sure & that is, you are a dreamer,
    but it takes all kinds to make a site interesting. Good luck !

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 18, 2011 @ 10:01 am

  7. Bert, you are joking right? Provost Viking oil pool!!!!! Nextraction Energy, Petro One, and GREENCASTLE RESOURCES!!!! My only agenda is to alert investors to what is going on, as it seems NO ONE contacts the company to get the information. Read my ealrier post on WHAT is GOING to happen, and how it will likely unfold. You heart it HERE, FIRST!!

    Comment by john — July 18, 2011 @ 10:05 am

  8. Bert my old friend, instead of cluttering up this site with your — USELESS banter, try reading the MD&A, it is ALL spelled out in plain English for you. The Viking oil pool in Provost is delivering fantastic flow rates, and we are almost complete with our drilling. The news is expected within 2 weeks. Remember what I posted earlier, and watch it unfold EXACTLY as I stated. This is JUST the BEGINING, VGN WILL hit or get very close to the $ 1.00 range.

    Comment by john — July 18, 2011 @ 10:44 am

  9. Johnny

    Don’t try to be distractive, you know i was talking about VGN. You have been trying to promote VGN
    since i was a youngster & now i am a senior citizen. Give it a break my buddy !

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 18, 2011 @ 10:52 am

  10. SQI

    SQI should be closing their financing tomorrow or Wednesday, anyone interested, please keep at eye on it.

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 18, 2011 @ 11:30 am

  11. Johnny I am also a shareholder in VGN and am hopeful they can they will soon start to execute their gameplan and realize some shareholder value. I do not insult other contributors who give regular balanced opinions. Lets show a bit more respect around as there should be lots of success stories coming in the next few months including, hopefully, VGN.

    Comment by Patrick — July 18, 2011 @ 12:04 pm

  12. Patrick

    By the way, i am also a shareholder of VGN, but in making a point, i did exaggerate. If telling
    the TRUTH is being insulting, i have no choice but to state, that i did insult Johnny, but in a
    truthful manner. By the way, i will continue to voice my opinion, a freedom which i cherish & i
    will hang around until told otherwise by BMR. My name is clear on each & every post & i would
    suggest you skip mine. I will not change my way of thinking & if something needs to be stated,
    i will respond, hopefully in a respectful manner.

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 18, 2011 @ 2:16 pm

  13. I’m also a shareholder of vgn and I have to say Johnny you are full of it. I don’t like people who pump and dump it insults my intelligence, everyday is a new story, Tony is in mexico Tony is in columbia, big results expected in Saskatchewan. What will the next breaking story be about vgn i wonder, you try to hard and you make yourself look SILLY. Once again give it a rest, VGN will succeed without your shameless promoting. Dan V

    Comment by Dan — July 18, 2011 @ 3:52 pm

  14. +1 Dan

    Lets keep this board clean!

    Comment by Hugh — July 19, 2011 @ 3:28 am

  15. Hugh

    Good morning !

    Dan was accurate with his comments.. In order to keep a board clean,
    a reminder must be directed at the culprit & not Dan… I have known
    Johnny, as a so called cyber friend, for an extended period of time &
    although i like to hear positive things about any stock i own, his
    continuous over zealous VGN comments, leave much to be desired & may
    lead some astray. I feel Johnny put everything into VGN & now shows
    signs of desperation & if i am correct, too bad ! At times, i get a
    feeling, that he wants to blame BMR. I would like to see him do well,
    but this game is controlled by the company & we have to be patient,
    although at times, i get impatient, i think to myself, that no one
    out there really cares, so i have a choice, to sell or wait & wait
    & wait. It wasn’t my intention to make such comments this morning or
    ever, but Dan is an innocent party here & someone has to come forward.
    Have a good day.

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 19, 2011 @ 4:42 am

  16. I agree 100% Bert. Lets keep it informative and clean with no personal stuff which there is absolutely no need for. Anyone have a look at GDX which John highlighted a few days ago?. Looks very interesting to me.

    Comment by Patrick — July 19, 2011 @ 4:48 am

  17. I looked at GDX yesterday, Patrick. From the chart I thought it may come down to .07? I was considering switching my GBB holdings for GDX if the prices are right. GBB seems a little stuck and may not have much continued upward momentum until later in the year (I can sell at a profit at current levels). GDX would appear to have little downside from .07 and good potential. I’ll see what happens today. Have a good day!

    Comment by Andrew — July 19, 2011 @ 5:10 am

  18. Woah Woah Bert – I was agreeing with Dan, hence the ‘+1’

    Comment by Hugh — July 19, 2011 @ 6:14 am

  19. When I said lets keep the board clean I meant free of mis-information like the stuff John is perpetrating.

    Comment by Hugh — July 19, 2011 @ 6:16 am

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