BullMarketRun   BullMarketRun.ca

A Daily, Vibrant Voice Focused on Speculative Opportunities,
Commodities, and Economic & Political Trends Impacting
The Resource Sector & Equity Markets
 

"Market-Trouncing Returns Through Unbeatable
Technical & Fundamental Analysis of Niche Sectors"

October 4, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

A wild day for Gold as technical selling intensified after the yellow metal broke below $1,300 for the first time since Britain voted to leave the European Union…as of 8:55 am Pacific, bullion is down $36 an ounce at $1,276 in a healthy washout as it threatens to test its 200-day moving average (SMA) around $1,250…Silver has tumbled 80 cents to $17.99…Copper is off slightly at $2.16…Crude Oil is relatively unchanged at $48.88 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added nearly half a point to 96.20

The pound fell to a 3-decade low against the dollar today, trading below the levels it hit after the Brexit vote…

Chinese markets are shut for national holidays until next Monday, meaning lack of Chinese participation has provided an ideal opportunity for powerful players to engage in some Gold price manipulation…

Famed investor Rick Rule on Gold“The catalyst for it going higher is simple: zero interest rates and negative interest rates,” the chairman of Sprott U.S. Holdings told Kitco News at the Mines & Money event. “Frankly, I think interest rates will be more important to the Gold market than either Clinton or Trump.”

Rule noted that the Fed is “trapped” and continues to be “addicted” to low rates, which will bode well for Gold

Speaking of the U.S. election, it’s unfortunate that tonight’s Vice-Presidential debate between Republican Mike Pence and Democrat Tim Kaine won’t draw nearly the same viewership that the recent Trump-Clinton showdown did (their next battle is Sunday)…substantive policy issues should dominate the Pence-Kaine debate, given the nature of the two candidates, which should help to draw some clear distinctions on the major issues of the day…

Money Managers Upped Their Bets In Gold After Recent Fed Decision

The latest trade data shows that bullish speculative interest in Gold once again recently approached its all-time-highs after hitting its lowest point in 3 months…the latest COT data for the week ending September 27 showed money managers increased their speculative gross long positions in Comex Gold futures by nearly 15% while decreasing their short bets by almost 20%…this developed at the time of the Fed’s latest policy statement…how many money managers got spooked by today’s price action will be interesting to know when fresh COT data is available in a few days…

U.S. Mint Gold & Silver Sales Pick Up In September But Down Year-Over-Year

The U.S. Mint saw renewed interest in its Gold and Silver bullion coins with sales last month hitting their highest level since April…however, demand for physical precious metals was down compared to last year…according to sales data on its web site, the U.S. Mint sold a total of 67,500 ounces in various denominations of American Eagle and Buffalo Gold coins last month, an increase of 65% from August, but down more than 24% from September 2015…so far this year the Mint has sold 782,000 ounces of Gold, down from 840,500 ounces sold during the same time frame as last year…

The same trend can be seen in Silver demand…the Mint sold 1.675 million ounces of Silver last month, up nearly 24% from August but down almost 56% from September 2015…so far this year the Mint has sold almost 30.6 million ounces of Silver, down 15% from the total sold over the same 9-month period last year…

Pro-Pipeline First Nations Groups Speak Up

A groundbreaking conference in Calgary started yesterday and wraps up today…the “Pipeline Gridlock Conference” features members of Canada’s aboriginal business elite who are meeting for the first time to find ways to help improve dialogue on pipelines and support approvals…

Stephen Buffalo, President and CEO of the Indian Resource Council, the conference’s organizer, said the meeting is hopefully the first of many and aims to come up with recommendations for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.  “We are depending on these pipelines for the success of the Canadian economy,” he said…

Trevor McLeod, director of the Centre for Natural Resources Policy at the Canada West Foundation, stated:  “There is a sense among a number of the First Nations leadership that they have been co-opted by environmental groups and that there is a need to stand up for their economic interest.  What distinguishes this from previous conferences and discussions is that some of the key First Nations leaders in Canada who have energy assets on their reserves and lands are stepping out and actually saying something, whereas typically they haven’t been keen to do so.”

Oil Drilling

Crude Oil Update

One of the top commodities’ analysts, RBC’s Helima Croft, told CNBC that her firm expects the OPEC pact to hold with a belief that the Saudis are willing to bear the lion’s share of the reductions needed to get down to 32.5 million barrels of Oil produced each day globally by OPEC members…

“This speaks to the economic realities of lower Oil prices that are really biting Saudi Arabia,” said Croft.  “Saudi Arabia really had to give considerable ground to accommodate the Iranian demands to get the deal done.  This is more than just a freeze. It’s actually cutting from current levels.”

“It (Crude Oil) can continue to be choppy based on weekly stats, rig count numbers and broader macro trends,” she added. “But we think we are done with sub-$40, barring a major macro meltdown panic, and firms the case for $50’s by year end and trending into the $60’s next year.”

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Wild trading action today in Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE)…

2. Two-cent stock comes out of long hibernation – a play to watch…

3. When is it time to jump in on this Gold stock ETF?…

4Bayhorse Silver (BHS, TSX-V) update…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

22 Comments

  1. GOLD – guess Sharps Pixley wasn’t kidding when thier headline said Gold falling off as Brexit moves fuel Dollar rally ! down $40 – ouch

    Comment by david — October 4, 2016 @ 9:01 am

  2. ya boy, silver under $18

    Comment by dave — October 4, 2016 @ 10:05 am

  3. Look at WRR
    Hanging in there at 11 cents so far…

    Comment by greg — October 4, 2016 @ 11:02 am

  4. Bright spots? Not many, but notable… Richmont Mines US-listing traded just over half of its usual volume (630k vs 1.2M). Hardly a convincing or panicked amount of selling. And Orca Gold closed in the green by 9% on 3 X volume.

    Comment by Daniel — October 4, 2016 @ 12:15 pm

  5. WEL,WEL,WEL, look at LIC. could not have had better timing. picked up at .08 last week.

    Comment by dave — October 4, 2016 @ 1:51 pm

  6. BayHrose “BHS”

    BHS held up very good today considering the “haircut” that hit the metals market today.

    Comment by Jeff — October 4, 2016 @ 3:48 pm

  7. ANYBODY WATCHING THE BLUEJAYS GAME?

    Comment by STEVEN1 — October 4, 2016 @ 7:22 pm

  8. John
    What is the next fib level on WRR
    Thanks

    Comment by Greg — October 4, 2016 @ 7:58 pm

  9. OK, BLUE JAYS WON! SO, HOPEFULLY, THE VENTURE CLAWS BACK SOME OF THESE LOSSES TOMORROW FROM TODAY’S DROP! YES, WRR LOOKS GREAT!

    Comment by STEVEN1 — October 4, 2016 @ 8:21 pm

  10. Greg
    The next Measured FIB. Resis. level for WRR is 15c.

    Comment by John - BMR — October 5, 2016 @ 1:19 am

  11. Am I the only one who sees bid/ask at $0.24 for LIC?

    Comment by rgiroux — October 5, 2016 @ 5:16 am

  12. Some people played with the bid/ask prior to opening…. down to normal levels…

    Comment by rgiroux — October 5, 2016 @ 5:28 am

  13. Jon, thought I’d try this question one more time.
    11.CXO – Jon, around about the same time you mentioned CXO could be looking for a project in southern climates, this post: https://ceo.ca/cxo?7e0488dcfb2a on CEO.CA states, with a little more detail, something is coming down the pipe. The anonymous poster followed up a second time today saying there is more to the story.
    Jon, can you add any additional information since you have a network of contacts from your recent trip to the Triangle.

    Comment by vepper — October 5, 2016 @ 5:34 am

  14. Hi Vepper, let’s put it this way – if I were Adam Travis, I’d be sort of very relieved about the temporary drop in Gold-Silver prices as this would make a potential acquisition a little easier to close right now (on the best terms) as opposed to a situation where Gold-Silver were breaking out to the upside…timing couldn’t be better in that sense…time for Adam to pull the trigger if he indeed has something lined up…lots more to come from the Heart of Gold Camp as well (from CXO and others we know)…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — October 5, 2016 @ 5:48 am

  15. LIC – will have to deal with up to 50MM new shrs done at 3.5 + 5.5 cents on the mkt come Nov23, as well as the wts (46MM) that are all in the money today. There will be a break before the FT shrs (done at 6 which is about 4 cents hard) hit the mkt in January with wts! Way to go Harry, over 100MM shrs issued under a dime in a year! And don’t we all wish we were Ron Loewen! He has received almost 5MM shrs + equal # of wts and then some cash too , for finding these properties for LIC. But in looking at the NR,s, I missed the one about work programs for the projects, and writing a 43-101 doesn’t count IMO.

    Comment by david — October 5, 2016 @ 6:22 am

  16. WEL /LIC and BFF – since I’m poking around – lets not forget that management of these two is finding and swapping properties together and taking down 2 salaries and office expenses, for what would usually be all done under 1 company name, but that doesnt benefit management doe it. these guys are good for a flip IMO, but wealth builders? not so much, as the ratio of what goes into their pocket and the ground is inverted.

    Comment by david — October 5, 2016 @ 6:44 am

  17. NRN – done drilling at Huckleberry , 6 holes at the lab and Sequoi drilling scheduled for mid /late November

    Comment by david — October 5, 2016 @ 6:45 am

  18. Jon
    I see several so called gold silver experts saying gold and silver have a ways to go to the downside, at what level has to get broken to say the bull market is no longer in control? COT is now short over 300,000 contracts too in gold
    Thank you

    Comment by Greg — October 5, 2016 @ 7:23 am

  19. Thank you John

    Comment by Greg — October 5, 2016 @ 7:25 am

  20. Jon
    At what level on the downside do the charts say the bull market in gold is over?
    A lot of so called experts think that gold is heading lower especially with the COT short over 300,000 contracts
    Thanks

    Comment by Greg — October 5, 2016 @ 7:28 am

  21. Dis regard that last post please I didn’t think the first one went thru
    Thanks
    I

    Comment by Greg — October 5, 2016 @ 7:30 am

  22. Greg, first, the bull market in Gold is just getting started, and the Venture certainly confirms that. Can Gold dip a little more after breaking below the $1,290 to $1,320 support band yesterday? Quite possibly, and we’ll outline the scenarios in today’s Morning Musings. But don’t take your eye off the ball (i.e., the primary trend)…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — October 5, 2016 @ 8:33 am

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.

  • All Posts: