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August 9, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,330 and $1,343 so far today…as of 11:15 am Pacific, bullion is up $6 an ounce at $1,341…Silver has gained a dime to $19.78…Copper is down a penny to $2.16…Crude Oil is off 30 cents at $42.72…later today, the latest round of U.S. Crude inventory reports will be in focus when the American Petroleum Institute is due to release its update ahead of the government’s report tomorrow…analysts in a Reuters‘ poll forecast that U.S. Crude stockpiles fell by 1 million barrels last week…the U.S. Dollar Index is down one-fifth of a point to 96.17

The largest outflow in a month – 6.5 tonnes – occurred yesterday in New York-listed SPDR Gold Shares…some healthy profit-taking after a powerful stretch of inflows…

CME Group’s Fed Watch tool showed traders see almost a 50-50 chance of a U.S. rate hike by December, up from 30% before Friday’s jobs report…that’s 50% more faith in the Fed’s courage than the central bank deserves…

Mining and energy stocks have propelled Canada (based on the S&P/TSX Composite Index) to the 2nd-best performance among developed markets this year, trailing only New Zealand, fueled by a new bull market in Gold and other commodities (the Financial Post calls it a “rally” in Gold and commodities, which only proves that the masses still have their eyes closed and haven’t even stepped up to the plate yet)…the Canadian equity benchmark is up 14% so far in 2016, rebounding from a slump last year that was the worst for the TSX since the 2008 financial crisis…the price-earnings ratio for the TSX is now 23.5, about 15% higher than the PE ratio for the S&P 500 Index…

IAMGOLD (IMG, TSX) has tumbled 10% this morning after arranging a bought deal financing to haul in $200 million, as announced after the close yesterday…the company plans to use the cash to reduce debt and fund internal growth projects…

Following yesterday’s close, royalty and streaming company Franco-Nevada (FNV, TSX, NYSE) reported Q2 net income of $42.3 million or 24 cents per share which topped the consensus estimate of analysts…Franco-Nevada achieved records of 112,787 Gold-equivalent ounces and $150.9 million in revenue for the quarter…the company also declared a quarterly dividend of 22 cents per share to be paid on September 29 to shareholders of record on September 15. “With record GEO and revenue results, we are now expecting to be close to the top end of our previously provided guidance ranges for 2016,” stated CEO David Harquail…

Will Venezuela Honor Deal With Canadian Gold Company?

Gold Reserve (GRZ, TSX-V) jumped nearly $1 a share yesterday and is up another 25 cents this morning to $6.97 after yesterday’s news that the company has executed a settlement agreement with the socialist government of Venezuela which includes payment of the massive arbitral award granted in favour of GRZ by the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes in respect of the Brisas Project…

Problem is, what are the odds that this hideous regime will actually hand over the money (can they even come up with it? – socialism has turned that country into a financial basket case and it’s now trying to grapple with a massive humanitarian crisis)…

Venezuela is “required” to pay Gold Reserve the award, which amounts to $770 million U.S., in two instalments – $600 million (U.S.) on or before October 31 and the remaining $170 million on or before December 31, 2016…Venezuela will also acquire the company’s technical mining data for $240 million in 4 quarterly instalments of $50 million beginning October 31 with a 5th and final instalment of $40 million due on or before October 31, 2017…the two sides will also form a joint venture to develop the Brias-Cristinas Gold Project which is expected to cost $2.1 billion…if you like the odds of Venezuela adhering to the deal, which we don’t, then you’ll find GRZ’s current market cap of just over $500 million to be very attractive…

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Northern Shield (NRN, TSX-V) pushes higher following VTEM results that bolster potential of Labrador Trough project…

2. More eyes on Colorado Resources (CXO, TSX-V) after more high-grade hits at Inel…

3Strategic Metals (SMD, TSX-V) launches drilling at Hartless Joe, announces minimum 5,000 m program covering 3 properties…

4. Almadex Minerals (AMZ, TSX-V) gets aggressive at El Cobre after important hit on latest drill hole…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password.

12 Comments

  1. GSV very nice drill hole market cap very large for only 1 very good hole the rest were not so impressive

    CXO love the results looks like profit taking today

    KG watch for first discovery in the real Klondike goldfields drill results coming out

    Comment by TheSkipper — August 9, 2016 @ 11:33 am

  2. With GSV, skipper, their project features a very extensive system with different deposits and multi-million ounce potential (nearly 2 million ounces already in 43-101), which is why Goldcorp and OceanaGold have taken positions in the company. That was an important hole they delivered today to open up the North Dark Star area for further expansion.

    Agree with you on CXO…great trading today…certain investors will always take advantage of a halt to lock in profits, so to the extent there was profit taking today—that’s fine, just clears more stock out of the way for the next run higher which will be the B/O above .70…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — August 9, 2016 @ 12:11 pm

  3. GGI – up on a leak? or CXO sympathy? cause stevie still hasn’t found a pen + paper yet to coin a NR about their ‘work’ plans in the triangle. may have to resort to some form of torture or the 2nd Amendment(geesch) to get him to fess up !

    Comment by david — August 10, 2016 @ 5:55 am

  4. Skeena (SKE, TSX-V) halted, pending news.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — August 10, 2016 @ 6:05 am

  5. I’m wondering if in some way all the silence could be golden with ggi,i get all the frustration with regoci,but could there be something brewing here,they hold permits and almost a month of picking the spots,i guess we’ll see..

    Comment by Laddy — August 10, 2016 @ 6:17 am

  6. A surprise coming, u mean? Maybe, that would be nice. They’re on the King, it’s not hard to track the traffic thru the AltaGas camp.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — August 10, 2016 @ 6:41 am

  7. Laddy, GGI announced on Aug 14,2015 (yes 2015) that they had completed 7 RC holes at La Patilla, I don’t see too much that is golden about the lack of follow up.

    Comment by Danny — August 10, 2016 @ 6:44 am

  8. CXO has been slowly walked down toward support at 60 cents, interesting, and on relatively low volume today…2 steps forward, 1 step back has been the consistent pattern with this stock, so the time to be extra bullish is on the 1 step back…watch for bargain hunters to step in at the 60-cent support…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — August 10, 2016 @ 7:12 am

  9. yes I can read,i hold other companys and if you haven,t drawn your own conclusion about la patilla or Rambo,then I don’t know,still hold some ggi and I agree there ace is in the triangle,the rest appears to be obvious.hope ALL the companys up here in the north of bc do well.

    Comment by Laddy — August 10, 2016 @ 7:37 am

  10. Laddy, I have drawn my own conclusions, obviously I would have to conclude that the results weren’t good or they would have told everybody. That is no excuse for not keeping shareholders informed though as obviously others close to the company know and can act on the information (ie. poor drill results). My final rant on GGI. I have sold 75% of my position, fortunate my average cost was .08

    Comment by Danny — August 10, 2016 @ 8:13 am

  11. http://blog.dilbert.com/post/148692199141/how-to-identify-the-brainwashed

    Comment by Mmurphy — August 10, 2016 @ 8:18 am

  12. that’s good danny,i’ve pretty much done the same,at the same,there are a lot out there and with the venture going up ,theres cash to be made.

    Comment by Laddy — August 10, 2016 @ 9:27 am

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