Gold has traded between $1,353 and $1,368 so far today…as of 10:00 am Pacific, bullion is down $7 an ounce at $1,356…Silver has retreated 18 cents to $20.38…Copper is off slightly at $2.21…Crude Oil has rallied $1.37 a barrel to $40.88 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added one-quarter of a point to 95.40…
Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust rose again yesterday, by 0.6% to 969.97 tonnes…
Gold Sector M&E Spree
Completed and pending Gold sector deals totaled almost $9 billion in the first half of 2016…this includes Newmont’s (NEM, NYSE) $1.3 billion sale of Indonesian Copper and Gold assets to a local consortium June 30 and Centerra Gold’s (CG, TSX) $1.1 billion purchase of Thompson Creek Metals (TCM, TSX) several days later…while the metal is up about 25% this year, the value of mergers and acquisitions has soared…
An important figure for investors – the average paid in 133 transactions in the 3 months to June was $64 an ounce of Gold equivalent in the ground, up from $36 in the first quarter of 2016, as buyers factor in better long-term price expectations, according to Bloomberg Intelligence…
Mixed U.S. Private Jobs Report Ahead of Friday’s Labor Department Report
The headline number for U.S. private job growth was slightly better than expected in July BUT all of the new positions came from the services sector, according to the latest report this morning from ADP and Moody’s Analytics…companies added 179,000 positions for the month, topping Reuters’ estimates of 170,000…that was a slight increase from June which saw an upwardly revised 176,000, 4,000 more than originally reported…the bad news was that job growth was unbalanced…services added 185,000 positions, but the goods-producing sector actually lost 6,000 workers…construction posted a loss that matched that 6,000 number, while manufacturing added 4,000 which actually was a turnaround from June when the sector lost 15,000…
Friday’s closely watched non-farm payrolls report is expected to show the economy added 175,000 jobs, down from June’s initially reported 287,000 (how much of a revision will we see to that number?)…
Gold could very easily move higher Friday no matter what the Labor Department reports as bullion investors appear to have put the Fed on “ignore”…
Venture-Commodities Comparative – January Through July
Silver has doubled Gold’s performance so far this year with a gain of nearly 50% vs. Gold’s rise of 24.3%…but the Venture tops them all with a 56.5% climb, a typical pattern in the early stages of a commodities’ bull market…
Crude Oil posted a respectable 20% gain while Copper edged up nearly 10% (other metals faired even better)…
The Venture is a highly reliable leading indicator – commodities should be significantly higher 6 months and a year from now, for reasons that may not be entirely clear to most investors at the moment…
Crude Oil Update
Very oversold conditions have emerged in WTIC but more downward pressure is certainly possible (within the support band between $39.50 and $36.50) before a sustained turnaround kicks in…rising supplies, particularly from Libya, as well as high Crude and refined product inventories along with an uncertain demand outlook are weighing on prices at the moment…weak short-term technicals have been a factor recently as well…
RSI(14) yesterday fell to its lowest level since early this year when a great buying opportunity emerged in Crude…in the coming days we’ll show how patient investors can profit handsomely from this current weakness in Oil as we see a very different price environment emerging later this year and into 2017…
In Today’s Morning Musings…
1. Part 2 of an interview with Colorado Resources‘ President & CEO Adam Travis…
2. Nemaska, Critical Elements and Clean Commodites all have something in common – which means CLE is a steal at a dime…
3. Daniel’s Den – the “wearable transition!” investors can make a fortune on…
Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings, and all BMR exclusive content, or login with your username and password.
Forgive me for not posting about this company sooner. I bought some as we were litterally running out the door for our trip to Churin Peru last week. We both got sick with Typhoid fever and had no wifi up in Churin.
CNZ – in production at zero cost to the company. I am a die hard with the ones that say a stock is going to a dollar. I am the first to blast them. But if ever there is a stock going to a dollar, this one is it. Do some DD folks.
Comment by dave — August 3, 2016 @ 10:28 am
DVR – boy glad I picked up shares yesterday. Can’t pry any away today. Very little volume.
Comment by Dan1 — August 3, 2016 @ 10:44 am
Actually the highest bid on DVR today is 52 cents. Jon, do you attribute this to the tight share structure with management owning 80% of the shares?
Comment by Dan1 — August 3, 2016 @ 11:26 am
Big wall on CXO at 63 cents. Looks like one seller.
Comment by Dan1 — August 3, 2016 @ 11:31 am
An interesting stock with some interesting comparisons to Thompson Creek, being it was mentioned being bought out by Centerra Gold by Jon in our morning musings.
GCM – I will not make this long. Comparing GCM to TCM. – TCM has 8 times the market cap and 4 times the debt that GCM has right now. GCM’s last news release recently said that the company was buying back 20 to 25% of the debentures (debt) on a quarterly basis through the profits of their gold production.
GCM just sold 50 million dollars worth of gold that it produced last quarter. It has 142 million shares out. There are 2 price targets on it, and one of them is $8. It currently trades at .14. Some people feel that Centerra missed GCM and a better deal. Interesting scenario present for a buy out possibly.
Comment by dave — August 3, 2016 @ 1:35 pm
In regards to my comment in post #1. Yes, I believe cxo has a great shot at $1. My comments were meant for stocks with no fundamentals or merit and posters saying it will go to a dollar.
Comment by dave — August 3, 2016 @ 1:39 pm
Dan1 – I will throw my 2 cents in here in case Jon is busy and does not see your post. The big offer on CXO at .63 is likely a fake wall when you see one seller. It’s a tactic to get you scared to sell. Seen it many a times. As a matter of fact they were there at .46 when cxo went down to .41 last week.
Comment by dave — August 3, 2016 @ 3:17 pm
Jon were you able to speak with regocci today?
Comment by Sameer — August 3, 2016 @ 5:40 pm
Dave – That certainly crossed my mind regarding the big offer. Your 2 cents is always welcome. Thanks.
Comment by Dan1 — August 3, 2016 @ 5:40 pm
Yes I did, Sameer, and I made it abundantly clear that I am VERY displeased with certain things regarding GGI at the moment. The company is underachieving given the quality of its project portfolio. Enough said for now. I’ll have more to say as I evaluate things in the coming days. Perhaps my wake up call will have a positive impact. We’ll see.
Comment by Jon - BMR — August 3, 2016 @ 6:14 pm
I sold a bit of GGI today, I have totally lost confidence in management as it does not treat shareholders with respect by keeping them informed on what’s going on especially Mexico. I can handle bad drill results as that is usually par for the course, this is a risky business. Of course I won’t dump all at once, that would be silly, will look for opportunities to sell without driving down the share price.
Comment by Danny — August 3, 2016 @ 6:26 pm
Thank you Jon!
Comment by Sameer — August 3, 2016 @ 6:37 pm
Jon, any word on DVR? Weren’t they in St. Louis this week?
Comment by Dan1 — August 4, 2016 @ 6:42 am
I believe we’ll be hearing something from them early next week, Dan1, and it should be good…this is one of those situations, with the tight float, that can literally suddenly explode and jump 30 or 40 cents in a single day…I expect we’ll be seeing some coverage as well in the FP again soon on DVR…with regard to your question on CXO yesterday, no “wall” is going to hold this back IMHO – continued drilling will deliver the numbers, and some majors are also watching things in the camp very closely (with satellites and more)…
Comment by Jon - BMR — August 4, 2016 @ 6:57 am
Good one Jon, I like the satellites part. Wanted to ask you or anyone else here can chirp in. The metal called “antimony”. Did slight research just now and saw where the price is rising, and world supply is dwindling. Anyone, all comments welcome.
Comment by dave — August 4, 2016 @ 8:33 am
AMY – is having a good day and
Volume alert on CLE, .10 is also now strong support
Comment by dave — August 4, 2016 @ 8:39 am
Yup, CLE is looking good, I added to my position.
Comment by Danny — August 4, 2016 @ 10:03 am