Gold continues to be under pressure today..as of 6:10 am Pacific, the yellow metal is down $29 an ounce at $1,646 after dropping as low as $1,638…on an intra-day basis, Gold has broken support at $1,660 but that’s no reason to panic…it’ll be interesting to see if it rebounds significantly by the close…John sees additional support areas at $1,626 and $1,643…Silver is off 46 cents to $32.95…Copper has fallen 6 pennies to $3.84…Crude Oil is 52 cents lower at $106.19 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up one-fifth of a point to 80.31…
HSBC had some sensible comments on Gold this morning…”Any premium that was built into Gold market on expectations of a third round of QE is essentially being rung out by good recent economic data, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s recent comments to Congress and the latest FOMC statement…further losses near-term are possible, but the Gold market has effectively absorbed the Fed statement and the better economic data, so additional downside may be limited, in our view…monetary policy is still on balance highly accommodative, and demand for Gold exchange-traded funds has been very good…more important, perhaps, we may be nearing price levels that will encourage emerging-market demand, which should help stabilize prices”…
In case you need a little more encouragement regarding Gold, below is a chart from John that shows a potential inverted head and shoulders patten that gives a 2012 measured target of almost $2,000 an ounce…
Throughout this long bull run in Gold, strong physical buying has come into the market during periods of technical weakness and this time should be no different, so the downside from current levels does appear to be very limited as HSBC outlined…meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index continues to show strength…often the Dollar and Gold will go in the opposite directions but not always…as much as Bernanke does not want Gold to go crazy to the upside, he’s not too keen on the Dollar getting ahead of itself either given the fragility of the U.S. recovery…it appears the Dollar is about to test some important resistance around the 81 level according to John’s chart, so this is something to keep an eye on…
The Thirst For Oil In The Emerging Markets
The Asia region is expected to drive demand for Oil over the course of the year, according to the latest International Energy Agency report…Asia, along with other emerging markets, will be the driver for demand which is likely to be subdued in the developed world as a result of higher prices and poorer macro-economics, the report said…overall, the global Oil demand growth forecast was left unchanged by the IEA…the report states that of the total projected global expansion, Asian demand will comprise around 80%…the world will never lose its appetite for Oil which is one reason why development of the oil sands in Alberta is so critical, no matter what route it has to take or how many environmental wing-nuts want to oppose it…
Today’s Stock Markets
European markets reached 33-week highs this morning, led by financials and following through on yesterday’s sharp U.S. advances…major American banks are set to return money to shareholders after the Federal Reserve released the results of “stress tests” on 19 financial groups showing that all but four – including Citigroup – had passed the exercise…results of the test sparked a strong rally in U.S. bank stocks yesterday…the S&P financials index rose 3.9% and is now more than 18% higher for the year…
Stock index futures as of 6:10 am Pacific suggest a slightly positive open on Wall Street…the TSX Venture Exchange was hurt yesterday by slumping Gold prices but lost just 9 points to close at 1627…the TSX Gold Index fell for the 9th time in 13 sessions, falling over 1% to finish at 352…it’s interesting to point out that the Gold Index has almost touched its 1,000 day rising moving average (SMA) which has provided consistent support over the last decade with the brief exception of the 2008 Crash…
Hulda Silver (HDA, TSX-V)
John has two individual company charts this morning…Hulda Silver (HDA, TSX-V), which is on one of our “Watch Lists”, has advanced nicely over the last few sessions and closed yesterday at $1.55 after reaching an intra-day high of $1.63…this is an interesting play but the chart tells us HDA is now up against a resistance band, so some near-term consolidation is quite possible…
Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in HDA.
Galway Resources (GWY, TSX)
Galway Resources (GWY, TSX-V) released more encouraging drill results this morning from its Vetas Project (Volcan Gold-Silver Mine) in in Colombia…after going 10 consecutive trading sessions without posting a gain (9 losses, 1 unchanged day), GWY has moved up gently in each of the last 5 sessions and closed yesterday at $1.39…John’s chart shows the stock remains in an upsloping channel with strong resistance at $1.70…
Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in GWY…
GBB just came out with drilling data. what do you make of the results?
M.
Comment by M. — March 14, 2012 @ 5:30 am
The good old days
There was a time when folks depended on newspapers to find
out how their stocks were doing & news in general, about the
stock market. Today we have too much at our disposal, too
much that is , if one doesn’t like volatility. We listen &
hear folks speak in Greece, we listen & hear folks making
their so called predictions on CNBC, we tune in to all the
sites, each one with different opions, which makes us more
confused than ever. John tries to figure out the charts with
fingers crossed, Jon writes the narrative with fingers crossed
& all Jon has to do is press the submit button & it immediately
comes into Bert’s computer. I am about the sell stock X, but
before i make the move, Jon’s narrative arrives, he states that
John’s chart shows stock X is ready for a move, Bert waits & guess
what ?
I await your guess.
Comment by Bert — March 14, 2012 @ 6:15 am
Bert is indecisive?
Comment by Mark — March 14, 2012 @ 6:36 am
Bert listens to too many voices and not his own?
Comment by Mark — March 14, 2012 @ 6:36 am
Interesting day today…if you’re a contrarian, you have to love it……when you see a company like Richmont (RIC) trading where it is, and oversold as it is, and right at support, you know we’re at or very close to an important bottom in the Gold stocks……there are many other examples as well…….this is definitely not a time to be panicking….it’s the time to accumulate IMHO……TSX Gold Index is now slightly below its 1000 day SMA and that’s always been the time to load up…….
Comment by Jon - BMR — March 14, 2012 @ 6:47 am
Consistent with previous results at first glance, low but mineable grades near-surface over significant widths……need to review more of the holes in the northern area of the eastern extension but it seems that area continues to look very interesting given hole 390….they have the right strategy is drilling deep in this zone – a rich ore body at depth is always a possibility given the nature of the Cadillac Trend………they’ll get a much better understanding of the structural controls of this system……..
Comment by Jon - BMR — March 14, 2012 @ 6:54 am
Mark – Bert is indecisive?
Bert – Not really !
Bert be nimble, Bert be quick,
Bert jump over the limbo stick.
Comment by Bert — March 14, 2012 @ 7:00 am
Catch 22
Gold runs on increased fear of economic collapse.
Stocks drop significantly even as they are worth more fundamentaly (or speculatively) with a higher commodity price.
We all watch gold run and wonder WTF its not making any difference on the venture and hardly any on the TSX.
Economic conditions improve and gold starts to drop.
Gold finds a bottom.
Risks appetite increases and stocks again get the attention theyve always deserved.
IME, I’ve been waiting for gold to start to lose its sheen…what good has 1900 dollar gold done for us…zilch.
This could be the start of the shift in sentiment that has money come back to the deserted wasteland the TSXV has been since Nov 2010.
Fingers crossed.
Comment by Kennedy — March 14, 2012 @ 8:55 am
Hi Guys,
Company named TSX-YNG Yukon-Nevada Gold Corp, what do you think of it?
Thanks
Comment by Martin — March 14, 2012 @ 9:37 am
Hello Martin, I mentioned YNG just before it had the big move in early February. John looked at the chart but by that time the move was over. 930m sh OS. I watch YNG every now and then – there’s a gap to close. [CAN closed the gap from nearly 2 years ago – that one looks like a “no brainer”, but these days you never know!?]
Comment by Andrew — March 14, 2012 @ 9:44 am
Cdnx getting smoked blowing past the so-called strong support at 1600.
Comment by Moosey — March 14, 2012 @ 10:13 am
Traders might want to look at goldcorp today if interested in a large that pays a dividend.
Comment by Moosey — March 14, 2012 @ 10:34 am
take a look at rgx bought today at 60 cents ubika feels value 3.30 what are your thoughts
Comment by gil — March 14, 2012 @ 11:40 am
What is the name of the co RGX ?
thx
Comment by Greg — March 14, 2012 @ 11:46 am
Nevermind, found it
thx
Comment by Greg — March 14, 2012 @ 11:48 am
Jon — We’ll see if support at $1,660 holds on a closing basis today
Bert — Close $1,644.
Comment by Bert — March 14, 2012 @ 1:53 pm
My sixth sense tells me that GBB may go back to a 6 cents stock. Huge selling pressure and I am not impressed about the drill results. Currently, I do not have GBB holdings.
Comment by Theodore — March 14, 2012 @ 6:01 pm
Theodore I think that comment belongs on stockhouse. Straight out of the boiler room. It’s quite obvious from your verbal diarrhea that you have know clue as to what is going on with gbb deposit. If you said what you really thought ud be speechless
Comment by Heath — March 15, 2012 @ 4:26 am
I agree with your comment Heath…I thought the drilling results were fine and GBB is on track to build a very sizable and minable resource. Going back to 6 cents ha…..it is very cheap now at .16 for what they obviously have.
Comment by Rob — March 15, 2012 @ 4:48 am
Look for a decent day today, except the Venture may lag somewhat,
but who knows for sure until it happens. Good luck !
Comment by Bert — March 15, 2012 @ 4:51 am
Where is the RBW news??
Comment by Tell — March 15, 2012 @ 5:10 am
We can assume based on their last NR that they now have at least a draft of the technical report…if you read our story Monday after a weekend interview with the President, David Johnston, he stated (reasonably) that they would need a few days to review information prior to releasing any news…I would suspect therefore that by Monday/Tuesday we should see something…”strong news flow over the last half of March” I believe were his words…I for one have no problem being patient when I’m convinced the news is going to be good…
Comment by Jon - BMR — March 15, 2012 @ 5:22 am