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November 21, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Markets are down across the board…stocks plunged at the open this morning with worries over a congressional debt-reduction impasse (the Super Committee, not surprisingly, has become a Super Flop), adding to escalation in the European debt crisis…so cash is King again today…as of 8:30 am Pacific, Gold is off $35 an ounce at $1,690 (strong support at $1,675)…Silver is down $1.34 to $31.07…Copper has declined 12 cents to $3.28…Crude Oil has lost $2.26 a barrel to $95.41 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up a quarter of a point at 78.25…the Dow and TSX are each down more than 200 points…the HIX and HXD short ETF’s, which we’ve been writing about in recent weeks, are both up significantly today, of course, but taking a look at their overbought Stochastics suggests now could be a good time for traders to lock in some profits with a view to re-entering on a pullback…the TSX has corrected about half of its gains since the October 4 low…

Some stark comments out of China…Wang Qishan, the Chinese vice-premier responsible for overseeing the financial sector, has predicted the global economy will slump into long-term recession and warned that China will need to deepen financial reforms to cope with the fallout…“Right now the global economic situation is extremely serious and in a time of uncertainty the only thing we can be certain of is that the world economic recession caused by the international crisis will last a long time,” state media reported Mr Wang as saying over the weekend…

The CDNX has fallen below critical support at 1575…it’s down 47 points at 1560…of course there could be an intra-day reversal and the Index could close above 1575 today, but we’ve been warning for weeks that there is trouble ahead for the CDNX (and the markets in general)…the writing is on the wall…the CDNX bear market could very easily intensify during the first quarter of 2012, so now is not the time in our view to be jumping into the speculative juniors in particular…pressure from tax-loss selling over the next few weeks will not be helpful for this market either…of important note is that the CDNX 300-day moving average (SMA) is in the process of reversing to the downside, and that’s very bearish in terms of the “big picture” outlook…yes, there could be a rally but any rallies will be sold into with the expectation of better buying opportunities during the first quarter of next year…

We do see opportunities at the moment in some of the producers…New Gold Inc. (NGD, TSX), for example, which we featured in a chart yesterday, is heavily oversold which suggests a near-term bottom of some sort (in Gold and/or the equity market) could be close at hand…NGD is currently off 30 cents at $10.23 after touching a low of $10.08…it’s down from a high of $12.25 just a week ago…it has strong fundamentals and is one of the lowest cost producers in the industry…another situation worth watching closely is Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) which is approaching its rising 100-day moving average (SMA) where it has had rock-solid support all year…in addition, RSI(14) has declined almost to the June and October lows while the Slow Stochastic oscillator shows significantly oversold conditions…at $10 per share, RIC’s market cap would be just $330 million and the stock would be trading at only about 12 times anticipated 2011 earnings…below is an updated chart from John on RIC which fell as low as $10.43 this morning and is currently at $10.65, off 49 cents…the “sweet spot” on RIC appears to be between $10 and $10.50 per share…

6 Comments

  1. WOW some people MUST learn things the HARD way. 1 poster asks WHY BMR failed to pick up on the FACT that Sidon was a SCAM from the begining, just look at EVERY PROMOTION at BMR, then STAY away from the stocks they pick and you can’t lose. BMR is a PROMOTION to get YOU to buy THEIR shares, and I don’t buy this ” Religious Perspective” BULLSHIT that they tout. Now, they say ” by looking at the CUI chart,it’s technically time to buy” WTF!! That stock is a piece of SHIT as well as EVERY stock they choose, ever notice that the stocks that they do mention that actually make money, is ONLY mentioned AFTER the stock has risen?? Why no mention of how much BMR is up on their stocks anymore?? Why no weekend reviews of stocks?? Pumping scammer LOSERS!! You want to make some SERIOUS coin?? Keep your eyes on Encanto Potash this week, v.EPO. You heard it from ME 1st, then after BMR starts to tout it, you’ll know exactly what Im talking about. These BMR tools remind me of the merchants in the Temple or the money lenders that the Good Lord had to CHASTISE!!!!! Shame.

    Comment by John — November 21, 2011 @ 9:16 am

  2. If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
    And treat those two impostors just the same…………!

    Comment by Rosco — November 21, 2011 @ 10:36 am

  3. Anyway to block John?
    I know your bitter, please move on!!!! Most of the market it down now, some more than others, nature of the markets!!! BMR offers a free service, take it or leave, I for one find some good info here, which compliments my other research!! BMR never forces you to buy anything, there are many companies that do this, eg, Casey, Brent Cook and others, for which you pay big money, they are down as well. At least here you havent paid a subscription have you?
    Maybe John you could open your own site and give your recommendations, graphs and research, and I ll compare the both of you and see how you do?

    Comment by alec — November 21, 2011 @ 11:15 am

  4. Alec +1

    Comment by Hugh — November 21, 2011 @ 11:43 am

  5. Hey John ….. Take a hike !!!! Look around you …. What stock is doing anything these days. Playing stocks on the Venture Exchange is a crapshoot at best and in this environment there is hardly any stock that is doing well. I think BMR does a great job on providing information, analysis and excellent charting. Everyone makes their own decisions when it investing …. nobocdy if forcing you to buy anything and BMR is not there to be your advisor.. If you are just a little boy and need someone to hold your hand maybe call your mommy and get her to change your diaper for you…

    Comment by Harry — November 22, 2011 @ 7:25 am

  6. john = knob who is underwater and it isnt his fault of course

    Comment by rdww — November 22, 2011 @ 8:17 am

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