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October 4, 2018

7 @ 7:00

Be sure to visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,195 and $1,205 so far todayas of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $6 an ounce at $1,203…geopolitical risks, such as those surrounding Italy, could trigger a short-covering rally in Gold, according to Standard Chartered…Tuesday’s rally, ignited by Italy’s fiscal and political issues, shows that Gold “remains on investors’ radar” during times of uncertain geopolitical developments, the bank stated…Gold ETF’s tracked by Bloomberg have seen outflows of 14.5 tonnes since the start of the month…Silver is up 8 cents at $14.70…Copper has added 4 pennies to $2.87…Nickel is 3 cents higher at $5.79 while Zinc and Cobalt are steady at $1.22 and $26.12, respectively…Crude Oil has retreated 75 cents to $75.66 while the U.S. Dollar Index has dipped one-third of a point to 95.73…yesterday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note hit its highest level since July 2011 while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond reached the highest it has been since October 2014…yields surged following new data that showed that private payrolls rose by 230,000 in September, according to ADP and Moody’s Analytics, which far surpassed the 168,000 jobs in August…meanwhile, the ISM non-manufacturing index has hit its highest level on record…Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated yesterday that the U.S. central bank had a long way to go before interest rates hits neutral, suggesting to markets that more hikes are on the horizon…

2. China’s overseas expansion will spread over land that is home to more than half the world’s population, potentially boosting Copper use by 1.6 million tonnes, or roughly 7% of annual demand, major miner BHP said today…BHP has analyzed the impact of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a network of overseas construction projects, on commodity demand on the basis of a database it constantly updates…it said China’s overseas expansion plan now covers 115 partners across Eurasia, parts of Africa, Latin American and Oceania, up from 68 countries or regions just over a year ago…its latest analysis estimated the BRI represented one-third of the global economy and would drive spending of up to $1.3 trillion over the decade to 2023…Vicky Binns, BHP’s vice president for minerals marketing, told Reuters if anything the expectation an extra 1.6 million tonnes of refined Copper would be needed over the same time period was conservative…such initial investment could lead to knock-on demand from other sectors…“Increasing the international competitiveness of manufacturing in these regions may create a major lift in future demand from Copper intensive sectors, such as automobiles, consumer durables and machinery,” BHP says…Binns downplayed the impact of mounting trade tensions between the United States and China on demand, saying long-term fundamentals are likely to be robust…

3. Canadian mergers-and-acquisitions activity nearly doubled in the 3rd quarter, fueled by deals in the mining, real estate and cannabis sectors, according to Thomson Reuters‘ data released this morning…quarterly deal volume was up 91% to $75.7 billion from $39.6 billion in the same period last year, the data showed, bucking a global trend of declines in Europe and Asia…mining transactions in the quarter included Barrick Gold’s (ABX, TSX, NYSE) planned $6.5 billion acquisition of Africa-focused miner Randgold Resources (GOLD, NASDAQ) as well as China’s Zijin Mining Group’s $1.86 billion deal to acquire Nevsun Resources (NSU, TSX)…it was the strongest period for Canadian mining M&A since the 2nd quarter of 2011…mining deals have slowed in recent years, due in part to commodity price pressures, balance sheet weakness and investor pushback against miners seen as overpaying for assets…

4. Endless “consultation” and more foot-dragging by the federal government with regard to the TransMountain PipelineNatural Resources Minister Amarjeet Sohi announced yesterday that the feds would be reopening Trans Mountain pipeline consultations with 117 First Nations with no timeline…“We haven’t set a deadline for ourselves,” declared Sohi…“We will not put a stop clock on the consultations.  We’re going to take our time to figure this right”…meanwhile, Canadian heavy Crude’s discount to WTI increased to the widest in 5 years yesterday, raising the spectre of local Oil producers curtailing operations…Western Canadian Select’s discount for November widened $1 to a whopping $41.75 a barrel…while increasing volumes of Oil are being shifted onto rail cars, the pickup hasn’t been fast enough…Cenovus said last month it signed Oil-by-rail agreements to ship about 100,000 barrels a day on tracks but the agreements won’t go into full effect until the 2nd quarter of next year…quite simply, there is no margin for error…if in the coming days or weeks there’s a transportation problem, or Oil operators produce more supply than the pipes can handle, then the overhang in Canada will worsen…

5. The Dow has slipped 115 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX has lost 69 points while the Venture is 1 point lower at 706Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) continues to look strong, up another 8 cents at $2.21 as of 7:00 am PacificEnthusiast Gaming Holdings (EGLX, TSX-V) commenced trading on the Venture this morning…“As one of the few gaming companies trading publicly…we look forward to a beneficial relationship with our shareholders as we carry out our vision of growing our platform both online and through our Enthusiast gaming Live Expo, EGLX,” said Enthusiast Founder, President and CEO Menashe Kestenbaum…a drill program has commenced at Evrim Resources’ (EVM, TSX-V) Cerro Cascaron Gold and Silver project in southwestern Chihuahua, Mexico…Evrim and exploration partner Harvest Gold (HVG, TSX-V) have planned up to 3,000 m of diamond drilling, with HVG holding an option to earn up to 80% in the project…Cerro Cascaron is a large underexplored and undrilled project with known areas of strong and veining outcropping Gold and Silver mineralization…

6. Pretium Resources (PVG, TSX), up strongly in early trading, has refinanced its construction credit facility, securing a commitment letter for $480 million (U.S.)…”We are focused on execution and delivery at Pretium, and securing a signed commitment letter to refinance our construction credit facility is another 2018 milestone we have delivered on,” stated Joseph Ovsenek, President and CEO.  “With a strengthened balance sheet and a focus on operational efficiency we will continue to build free cash flow”Pretium anticipates meeting production guidance of 200,000 to 220,000 ounces of Gold and all-in sustaining cost guidance of $710 to $770 (U.S.) per ounce Gold sold for the 2nd half of 2018, with production weighted more heavily in the 4th quarter than the 3rd quarter…meanwhile, the approval process to increase the permitted production rate at Brucejack to 3,800 tonnes per day from 2,700 tonnes per day is on track, with a decision expected later this year…in addition, grassroots exploration in the Bowser claims located approximately 20 km southeast of the Brucejack mine is continuing, with 2 drills turning…

7. Balmoral Resources‘ (BAR, TSX) has expanded drilling at its Grasset and adjacent Fenelon properties, focused on the continued evaluation of the Nickel-Copper-Cobalt-Platinum-group-element potential of the Grasset ultramafic complex (GUC)…a second drill has been added with 11,000 m of drilling now expected to be completed…“Three years ago we suspended expansion drilling on the Grasset deposit and exploration drilling within the broader GUC following the dramatic crash of the Nickel price,” stated Darin Wagner, Balmoral President and CEO…“Today with the strengthening of the Nickel market and the outlook for increasing demand for Nickel sulphide deposits to help meet the burgeoning electric vehicle battery market, we are excited to return to the evaluation of the Grasset deposit and nearby discoveries.  This new Nickel sulphide belt is in its infancy from an exploration perspective and Balmoral controls it in its entirety”

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13 Comments

  1. Jon,

    Last year there was talk of a road being built near Nickle Mountain by one of the gold miners nearby. Any evidence of that happening?

    Comment by AFchief — October 4, 2018 @ 9:23 am

  2. AFchief, what u are referring to is the road that Seabridge is planning from the AltaGas staging area to Johnny Mountain…this is expected to be completed within the next couple of years and part of it would come quite close to Nickel Mountain…the development in this district has been profound in recent years, and will only accelerate moving forward…huge bonus for all players in the area…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — October 4, 2018 @ 9:30 am

  3. Figure that one out, ggi one day to the next.

    Comment by Laddy — October 4, 2018 @ 11:43 am

  4. Another test of your nerves no doubt.

    Comment by Laddy — October 4, 2018 @ 12:34 pm

  5. Agree Laddy, its always a test of nerves. MOON is testing my nerves right now.

    Comment by Danny — October 4, 2018 @ 4:56 pm

  6. Hi everyone,

    Just to let everyone know there could be another GGI takedown coming as early as tomorrow.
    There is a poster on ceo.ca by the name of “tomszabo” who always posts just before a short attack. His posts are extensive, frequent and filled with know it all geology jargon which sound credible to non-geologists replete with an always negative bias aimed at discrediting GGI. His posts add absolutely nothing of value to the GGI discussion and serve only to draw responses from serious posters whose thoughtful responses he feeds off of to post more negativity about GGI. He has been posting his sludge for two days now following a predictable pattern exhibited by him (and his group?) on all previous GGI takedowns including the one that was launched last week. Once the take down is complete he disappears entirely; his mission accomplished. This person may be an extremely sophisticated basher working either alone or as part of a team. Beware.
    Unfortunately GGI is technically very vulnerable right now to a sell off down to the dollar mark where the next support exists. TD blew out over 50,000 shares at the close today to force an ugly looking low close on the day setting up a potentially very weak opening hour tomorrow morning. This could all be part of the setup for another take down.
    This tomszabo poster has been a very reliable indicator of an impending GGI take down from my observations. If a major sell off does materialize over the next few days absent any negative news releases from Garibaldi I would advise everyone to take it into account that the sell off has most likely been orchestrated by a short selling entity. If you know this to be the case it hopefully makes it a little easier to wait out the attack and not help this entity profit from selling your shares into a sophisticated take down.

    Subscriber John

    Comment by John — October 4, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

  7. Interesting subscriber John. How did you know he was paid?

    Comment by Dan1 — October 4, 2018 @ 6:11 pm

  8. He said “I get paid to find stocks for HNW (high net worth) individuals”.

    Comment by Gojira — October 4, 2018 @ 6:46 pm

  9. the trans mountain thing will get done , just going to have to write a few checks or make some partners, that’s all it boils down to is money

    Comment by robtr31 — October 4, 2018 @ 7:22 pm

  10. I wouldn’t doubt it and I’m not falling for it, I’m not sure if anyone noticed, and if it even means anything, but,at about 4:30 am premarket it was 1.50 and it closed at 1.50.. mmm coincidence? I think The best is yet to come and we should be somewhat at ease with the BEST boots on the ground.

    Comment by Laddy — October 4, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

  11. Jon,

    Why do you think the share price is taking a beating after the sell on news event?
    Do you think there’s a lot of nervous share holders?
    Expectation of the news release didn’t justify the market cap?
    Manipulation?

    Just trying to make sense of this.

    Comment by Ryan — October 4, 2018 @ 8:22 pm

  12. First off, Ryan, it’s trading within the previously identified zone, and today’s drip was on the 2nd lightest volume of the last 10 sessions.

    If “manipulators” want to play games tomorrow, and “drive it down” as some seem to be “fearing”, bring it on!

    Comment by Jon - BMR — October 4, 2018 @ 10:04 pm

  13. Nice NR from BAR today. 15 cent seems to have been the bottom and volume is up which is good. Could be one of your better ones Daniel.
    I am waiting to see what happens today with GGI. If it drops again I am going to add.
    Jon any info on IMR. They are taking forever to get drilling. Can you do an update on them soon.
    MOON seems dirt cheap right now and I might add a little there with drilling well underway.

    Comment by Patrick — October 5, 2018 @ 12:58 am

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