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July 28, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded in a range of $1,602 to $1,621 so far today…as of 9:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is recovering from some mild profit-taking and is now down just $2 an ounce at $1,612…Silver is off 53 cents at $39.71…Copper is up 2 pennies at $4.44, Crude Oil is 45 cents higher at $97.85 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up nearly one-fifth of a point at 74.26…the U.S. Congress is still grappling with the debt ceiling/debt reduction issue and a House vote is expected today that Democrats say has no chance of passing the Senate…the U.S. political process can often be messy, and it’s easily misunderstood by foreigners (even Canadians), but it does work and a compromise agreement of some sort is likely to be forged within a matter of days…President Obama quoted President Reagan in his televised address to the nation the other day but unfortunately Obama is no Ronald Reagan…however, the U.S. bond market hasn’t flinched and that’s a positive sign…what we find particularly encouraging is that the Venture Exchange (CDNX) has enjoyed a strong month of July despite weakness over the last few days which we’re certain is just a healthy pullback within a powerful ongoing new uptrend…in fact, the CDNX has out-performed all the major markets this month and that’s an extremely encouraging sign – if the sky were about to fall next month, as some of the fear mongers and idiots in the media are suggesting, the CDNX would not have shown the strength in July that it has…still, too many investors unfortunately are driven by fear and emotion and make investment decisions without even considering the big picture…that’s the only way to explain, for example, why $30 million or approximately 12% was knocked off the value of Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) since last Friday despite the fact this company, by any reasonable calculation, is about to report blockbuster earnings for the second quarter…sorry to say this, but the individuals who sold Richmont down to $7.19 this morning need to have their heads examined…not only could this company be trading at just 8 times potential 2011 earnings, but Richmont’s Gold sales should jump 40% from current levels by Q1 2012 thanks to the start-up of commercial operations at Francoeur…Wasamac, meanwhile, is shaping up to be a substantial deposit that easily could add another 100,000 ounces+ per year to Richmont’s production by 2014/2015…the company also has other opportunities to expand production over the next year or two…it has no debt and is sitting on about $50 million in cash…some sanity returned to the RIC market after the first hour and the stock is now up 3 cents at $7.49…the major point here is that not just Richmont but many quality Gold stocks are simply hugely undervalued at the moment…Agnico-Eagle (AEM, TSX-V) understands that…AEM has announced a $70 million investment in Rubicon Minerals (RMX, TSX) by purchasing nearly 22 million shares at a price of $3.23 per share…Rubicon is up 81 cents on the news this morning to $3.87…speaking of Angico-Eagle, which has reported second quarter earnings of 41 cents per share, CEO Sean Boyd was interviewed by Pimm Fox of Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock” this morning and made the following comments concerning Gold

“There are major fundamental issues around the size of debt, the inability to control spending at the government level…there’s really an ongoing debasement of paper currency which is forcing people to start to look at Gold, and we think that investment case is just starting as people realize that one of the ways out of this debt situation is to inflate your way out, and continue to debase your currency…I think we’re going to see that as we move forward…people are starting to realize that and are starting to move toward Gold.” – Sean Boyd, Agnico-Eagle CEO

Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) has a partnership with Agnico-Eagle on the Joutel Project in northwest Quebec, which is just one reason we’re very excited about VGD as the eastern part of that past producing property was very under-explored…the limited work that was carried out some 20 years ago showed that this “Eastern Extension” exhibits similar geological signatures to the previously mined Telbel, Eagle and Eagle West deposits at Joutel which gave birth to Agnico-EagleVGD has identified numerous promising drill targets and will soon commence a major program there while drilling continues at its Lucky Break Project where the company is concentrating on its Wasa Creek Property…VGD is currently off a penny at 31 cents…Pacific Ridge Exploration (PEX, TSX-V) has drilled 38.9 metres grading 2.44 g/t Au at its Mariposa Project in the Yukon’s White Gold District…that encouraging result was from the Skookum Jim Main area and was the first hole drilled…results from 2 other holes were also reported this morning and returned near-surface intercepts of 19.8 metres grading 1.13 g/t Au (hole #5) and 45.3 metres grading 0.63 g/t Au (hole #6)…not a bad start for PEX which has climbed from 37.5 cents since we highlighted it July 15…approximately 3,300 metres have been drilled in 21 holes at Mariposa so far, testing the Skookum Jim (12 holes), Maisy May (4 holes), Gertie (3 holes) and Hackly (2 holes) targets…holes have been drilled to lengths ranging between 76 metres and 238 metres…based on early exploration results, the company has increased its initial 4,000-metre drilling program to 6,000 metres…the expanded program will continue to focus on untested Gold anomalies within the Skookum Jim target…PEX climbed as high as 64 cents on this morning’s news but has since pulled back to 57 cents, a drop of a nickel from yesterday…Golden Predator (GPD, TSX-V) released good results from Brewery Creek yesterday and the stock enjoyed its biggest volume day ever, jumping 20 cents to $1.26 on a total of over 8 million shares (CDNX, Alpha, etc.)…Brewery Creek has excellent potential and it”ll be interesting to watch that project develop over the summer…GPD is currently up 4 pennies at $1.30…elsewhere in the Yukon, other favorites we’re following closely are Kaminak Gold (KAM, TSX-V), Silver Quest Resources (SQI, TSX-V), Ethos Capital (ECC, TSX-V), Northern Tiger Resources (NTR, TSX-V) and of course ATAC Resources (ATC, TSX-V) which everyone is watching…a less-known opportunity we suggest our readers investigate is Dawson Gold (DYU, TSX-V) which could be a “sleeper”…it’s currently trading at only a dime…the company is in the process of completing a financing…its major asset is the drill-ready Toro Property located in the southern end of the White Gold District…DYU has an option to earn a 100% interest in the Toro property from Northern Freegold Resources (NFR, TSX-V)…Spanish Mountain Gold (SPA, TSX-V) released numerous assay results this morning from its promising property in central British Columbia…if you’re a believer in higher Gold prices, which we are, it’s hard not to see a lot of potential in SPA with its low grade but high tonnage deposit…we’ll comment more on SPA tomorrow…it’s currently up 2 pennies on light volume at 63 cents…

12 Comments

  1. How do you guys feel about the exercise price of the GBB warrants being lowered ( stockwatch.com/News/Item.aspx?bid=Z-C%3aGBB-1865165&symbol=GBB&region=C )?

    Comment by Pete — July 28, 2011 @ 10:19 am

  2. I was just curious, how much are the boys at BMR UP on ISD.v since they recommended it to their readers??? Though so. and not to mention Sidon also. Poof!

    Comment by john — July 28, 2011 @ 10:52 am

  3. Johnny boy, you’re a pain in the ass and spoil the constructive comments on this forum. There’s no point to your question. There’s also no news from VGN. How about we all ignore you and your behavior will become extinct because you no longer receive any reinforcement from BMR or its readers. I suspect you have an emotional problem or ASD and I’m sorry if that is the case and I encourage you to attain professional help.

    Comment by Andrew — July 28, 2011 @ 11:11 am

  4. Johnny

    Why are you so bothered today ? according to your most recent
    positive outbursts’, VGN will take care of some, most or all of
    your losses & you may finally be able to shout, i made a profit
    off a BMR pick. You know i am only tormenting, but your frustration
    has caused me to respond. Good luck anyway.

    R !

    Buddy Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 28, 2011 @ 11:15 am

  5. Hi BMR,
    It seems that u guys are’nt that positive about your portfolio any more. Have u found other intresting plays? U seem 2 highlight new companies, are the old ones from last year crap now? I just want some clarification, do u guys still think the old plays (CQX, SD, ABI, CUI) have potential to succeed?

    Thanks in advance

    Brgds

    Comment by Peyman — July 28, 2011 @ 1:22 pm

  6. GBB… there are a lot of selling pressure at the 50s. Private placement holders are on the line to dump at higher price. Unless there are significant drill results. The share will sit in the 40 cents range and I am not anticipating a miracle until the end of the year. You can still sell high (upper 40s) and buy low close to 40 cents … a 15% profit…. SD… I am putting a big lot there at 3 cents and hopefully, there is a crazy dump one day. In a longer run, SD you can make 100 percent profit easily… Believe my sixth sense. NAR – I am collecting but not in a rush… 15.5 -17 cents range is comfortable for me. BER , my sixth sense tells me it will go back to 10 cents range soon and players are gone. SFF … today’s gain, it will not take long…

    Comment by Theodore — July 28, 2011 @ 1:27 pm

  7. BMR was asked about ISD.v an update would be in order since it seems to have tanked.

    Comment by nathan — July 28, 2011 @ 2:55 pm

  8. I don’t know what gives you that impression – we’ve been regularly writing about CUI, for example, it has immediate strong potential over the summer as they’re in the middle of a drill program at the moment and will also this summer be drilling Sekenke (their flagship property) for the first time.

    With regard to ABI, our position is clear: The company has very valuable assets with its Silver-Zinc Property at Barvue-Abcourt, and the Elder-Tagami Gold Project…….it is clearly a potential take-over candidate…..could zoom regardless as Gold, Silver and zinc prices increase over the coming months…….we’re very bullish on zinc at the moment……..ABI’s current market cap essentially puts no value on the Silver-Zinc play……..

    CQX – incredible potential, it holds strategic claims at Wasamac…..management needs to make a move to unlock that value, and we believe their smartest strategy is to form a JV on that land, and then develop their Goldstrike Project…

    SD – has been in the dumps for a while now and we’re waiting for the company to make its next move.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — July 29, 2011 @ 5:00 am

  9. I saw Johnny’s comment on ISD……I’m personally still holding ISD (my average price is about 50 cents) as I believe in the story…..I bought into it knowing, as we cautioned, that it’s a volatile play……..if you’re good at reading charts, you’ll notice now is certainly not the time to be selling ISD……..be patient with it, the potential is certainly there…..

    Comment by Jon - BMR — July 29, 2011 @ 5:03 am

  10. I guess the chart(s) didn’t show the Cdnx reversing itself & falling
    back once again to 1966. As i have mentioned in the past, charts are
    accurate when reading the past, but even Doris Day admitted, “the
    future is not ours to see”.

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — July 29, 2011 @ 6:10 am

  11. Thanks Jon for the respond. This market climate is really frustrating but your words did make me feel better 🙂 Keep up the good work guys. Good luck 2 all of us.

    Brgds

    Comment by Peyman — July 29, 2011 @ 6:27 am

  12. Nathan

    There will be an ISD chart update on the weekend.

    Comment by John - BMR — July 29, 2011 @ 8:32 am

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