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November 11, 2015

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,085 and $1,095 so far today…as of 9:30 am Pacific, bullion is down $2 an ounce at $1,087…Silver is off 9 cents at $14.34…Copper is up a penny at $2.25…Crude Oil has shed more than $1 a barrel to $43.10 while the U.S. Dollar Index is relatively unchanged at 99.02

There are signs of physical Gold demand picking up, according to two banks. “The drop below $1,100/oz has stimulated Indian buying, which has been very sluggish for weeks,” HSBC stated in a research note late yesterday.  “We also suspect demand is increasing from China and other emerging markets. The most recent data from China show deflationary trends persisting, but this should not impact the demand for Gold jewelry bars and coins noticeably, we believe.”

Meanwhile, Commerzbank stated today,  “Physical Gold demand in China still appears to be robust and indeed to be picking up, given that the premiums on the Shanghai Gold Exchange have risen to $45 per troy ounce as compared to world market prices.”

Platinum Purge

Investors have cut holdings in exchange-traded funds backed by Platinum for a record 13th day, with tumbling prices of the precious metal also driving shares of Lonmin, the world’s 3rd-largest producer, to an all-time low (the stock has lost 95% of its value over the past year)…the company employs 35,000 people and its survival is in question given its financial difficulties…

Holdings in Platinum ETFs have dropped 7.6% since October 21, according to data compiled by Bloomberg as of Monday, as Platinum bumps along around the lowest prices in 6 years…

Oil Update

WTIC is under pressure today after industry data showed an increase in U.S. stockpiles, as analysts said U.S. output had been surprisingly resilient in the face of lower prices…U.S. Crude stocks jumped by 6.3 million barrels in the week to November 6 to 486.1 million barrels, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed late yesterday, compared with analysts’ estimates for an increase of 1 million barrels…the U.S. government’s Energy Information Administration will release official inventory data tomorrow morning due to Veterans Day…

A Long-Term Perspective On Gold

This long-term Gold chart shows the two major waves to the upside in bullion going back to 2001 – the nearly 300% price increase from around $260 to a high of $1,034 in 2008, and the second wave that took Gold from a low of just under $700 in late 2008 to an all-time high of $1,924 in September 2011 (a jump of 183%)…

Waves 2 and 4 to the downside produced declines of 34% in 2008 and 44% between 2011 and this past summer…Wave 4 is near its end, in our view, though it’s quite possible Gold may briefly have to touch the $1,000 level before Wave 5 commences…a Fib. level of note (a 50% retracement) is $1,028…Wave 5 has the potential to take bullion as high as nearly $3,000 an ounce (no timeline), a percentage move (176% from $1,000 to $2,760) that would be comparable to Wave 3

Interestingly, sell pressure (CMF) in Gold at the moment, based on this long-term monthly chart, is the most intense it has been since 1982, just prior to when Gold skyrocketed from a low of $298 to a high of $520…RSI(14) is holding support close to 40%…

Gold Long Term

In today’s Morning Musings

1.   After 5 straight losing sessions, chart shows strong support for TSX around 13400

2.  Nearly 3-year high this week for Nemaska Lithium (NMX, TSX-V)

3.  Long-term chart shows powerful trajectory for Garibaldi Resources (GGI, TSX-V)

4.  Updates on Equitas Mining (EQT, TSX-V) and Gold Standard Ventures (GSV, TSX-V)…

Plus more…to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings, login with your username and password, or click here to gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features…

14 Comments

  1. Good work on those charts Jon , with wave 5 in gold to come.

    Comment by Les — November 11, 2015 @ 11:48 am

  2. Perfect, thanks to anon got a little more ggi cheaper, sweet!!

    Comment by Tombc — November 11, 2015 @ 1:12 pm

  3. I don’t like seeing anon unloading Ggi shares.

    Comment by tony t — November 11, 2015 @ 3:27 pm

  4. I love it when ANON sells GGI, Tony t. They’ve sold 500,000 more than they’ve bought since Sept. 1 and the price has doubled. Good volume again today, and the chart is looking fantastic. Hole 3 will chew up any ANON paper into shreds.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — November 11, 2015 @ 5:04 pm

  5. You also have to remember that GGI was at .05 just three months ago so at fifteen that’s a triple. In current market conditions some will take a profit as soon as they have it, especially a triple, because it might not be there next week, regardless of a companies prospects. I’ve stayed long only because of the core pictures where normally I would have dumped some at .15 also. I wish I could buy more.

    Comment by DBReese — November 11, 2015 @ 5:17 pm

  6. GGI… will move up again next level and stay stable at 17 cents… before Christmas..

    Comment by Theodore — November 11, 2015 @ 7:57 pm

  7. Theodore – what if assay lab results come in and they are spectacular? Why 0.17?

    Comment by George — November 11, 2015 @ 10:34 pm

  8. If anyone interested in Goldquest,yesterday announced that has commissioned a pre-feasibility and a feasibility study.

    Comment by Michael — November 11, 2015 @ 10:57 pm

  9. good morning bmrboys I bring you the latest news release from heron resources(HER TEXCH) nov. 11 2015 6:45 pm est :HERON RESOURCES ANNOUNCES NEW RESEARCH COVERAGE FROM BAILLIEU HOLST AND HARTLEYS: regards walter emond

    Comment by walter emond — November 12, 2015 @ 1:42 am

  10. I phoned in 400,000 (4x 100,000) bid GGI at limit order 0.15 per share. Just so you guys know it’s me, not super duper mega news nor promo.

    Comment by ConcernedCitizen — November 12, 2015 @ 1:46 am

  11. Ggi daily chart is a few days away from the golden cross. I wonder if this will entice more buying.

    Comment by tony t — November 12, 2015 @ 3:06 am

  12. ConcernedCitizen, nice of you to let us know. You obviously are a big believer. Thanks!

    Comment by Danny — November 12, 2015 @ 5:42 am

  13. Decided to take some profit on GGI, Concerned citizen will get 45k of my shares. Still got nearly 600k, so I’m not bailing. Switching to ICG as they are closer to production and have anew RE out that should help their plans in next year or so.

    Comment by Tom UK — November 12, 2015 @ 6:20 am

  14. DBV goes well this morning !

    Comment by Guy Delisle — November 12, 2015 @ 8:46 am

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