Gold has traded between $1,240 and $1,254 on this first trading day of February…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $3 an ounce at $1,249…Silver has added 16 cents to $19.32 (see updated charts below, reasons for encouragement)…Copper is flat at $3.21…Crude Oil is up 15 cents at $97.64 while the U.S. Dollar Index is down slightly at 81.22…
Physical demand volumes out of Asia dwindled considerably since last Thursday with the start of Chinese New Year, and Chinese traders will not likely be back in full force until the week of February 10…this Friday’s U.S. jobs report could prove to be critical in determining bullion’s next major move…Gold finished lower last week for the first time in six weeks, and the bulls must overcome key resistance at $1,275 in order to seize momentum and put the bears on the defensive…
The U.S. Mint sold 91,500 ounces of Gold coins last month, the most since April, joining counterparts from Australia to Europe in reporting higher demand…meanwhile, Global security services company Brinks is getting ready to open its fifth Gold vault in Singapore to profit from bullion’s movement from the West to the East…
Not sure if this is a good sign or not – hedge funds’ net-long position in Gold jumped 40% (the most since July) to 60,672 futures and options in the week ended January 28, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data…
Today’s Markets
Asia
Japan’s Nikkei average closed at a two-and-a-half month low overnight, falling nearly 300 points to finish at 14619…several Asian markets, including Shanghai and Hong Kong, were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday…data released over the weekend showed Chinese factory growth slumped to a six-month low in January…China’s official PMI fell to 50.5 in January from December’s reading of 51, heightening worries of an economic slowdown in the world’s second largest economy…
Europe
European markets are mixed in late trading overseas…
North America
After falling more than 5% in January in its worst month in over a year, the Dow is off another 60 points through the first 30 minutes of trading today…the TSX is off 78 points but the Venture is bucking the trend with a gain of 3 points to 954 as of 7:00 am Pacific…
CDNX Updated 3-Year Weekly Chart
Below is John’s updated 3-year weekly CDNX chart that we’ve been tracking consistently over the last several months…what will be interesting to monitor is whether or not the RSI(14) will find support around the 50% level…it broke out above this resistance area in late December/early January for the first time on the 3-year weekly since the bear market began in early 2011…accumulation remains strong…the Venture out-performed the Dow, the S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the TSX in January with a gain of 2%…
Interesting headline at www.CliveMaund.com this morning: “Precious Metals Sector New Uptrend – Juniors To Lead The Charge”…Clive is a respected technical analyst…
Junior Financings Surge
The money exists to fund junior exploration companies, but how it’s allocated – which companies and projects it goes to – is the key…at the recent Vancouver Resource and Investment Conference, Rick Rule stated that Sprott funds had invested $800 million in deals last year and will likely substantially pick up the pace in the first quarter of 2014 by pouring another $600 million into various projects…
Check out the article this morning by Mineweb’s Kip Kean at www.mineweb.com…Kean noted, “The latest tallies of junior financings year-to-date in January put the first month of the year on pace to equal all financings in the fourth quarter 2013. In a recent research for its clients, Canaccord counted 144 equity financings over C$250,000 worth a total $480 million CDN in January versus $410 million in 180 financings in the fourth quarter 2013. About a third of the January financings had closed, Canaccord noted. Much of the January surge in terms of value stems from three multi-million bought-deals: Torex Gold ~C$125 million, Timmins Gold ~C$25 million and True Gold ~$36 million. In the final talk of the recent Roundup conference in Vancouver, PI analyst Jim Mustard pointed to similar figures as a positive sign for the junior market. “That’s a significant start to the year,” Mustard said. “Maybe it’s the January effect. I don’t know. I hope it establishes a trend.”
Sheslay Valley Cu-Au Porphyry Play Heats Up More
Significant news this morning from Ashburton Ventures Inc. (ABR, TSX-V) which adds further support to the theory that Doubleview Capital Corp’s (DBV, TSX-V) recently announced discovery at its Hat Property may extend for a considerable distance to the east and southeast…
Besides staking additional claims, Ashburton has reported that a “large gossanous zone” has been observed, through recent flyovers, along the western edge of its Hackett Property contiguous to Doubleview’s Hat Property and within just 1,000 meters of DBV’s discovery holes…DBV’s discovery, as we showed in an updated map last week, is within a parallel trend dipping southeast that begins at least nine km to the northwest at Prosper Gold Corp’s (PGX, TSX-V) advanced Star target…several of these parallel trends appear to exist throughout the Sheslay district, extending all the way through Garibaldi Resources Corp.’s (GGI, TSX-V) massive Grizzly Property south to Teck Resources Ltd.’s (TCK, TSX) Eagle Project…
The existence of a large gossan on the western edge of the Hackett is interesting indeed, and this is also very close to the historical “Hoey” showing that appears to be on Doubleview’s ground…besides “Anomaly B”, where DBV has made its discovery, four other areas with similarly strong geophysical and geochemical characteristics, including two areas with Copper mineralization and Gold values in surface outcrops, have not been tested by drilling at the Hat…as DBV stated in its Jan. 20 news release, “The horizontal distance from mineral zones in drill hole H-6 to drill hole H-8 is almost one kilometre. Speculatively, if the newly discovered mineral zone is, as appears likely, continuous with the historic Hoey Copper-Gold zone that lies two kilometres south of the drill hole H-8 and has closely similar geologic and mineralogic characteristics, the horizontal extent may be in excess of three kilometres.” Given what Ashburton is now reporting, it’s quite conceivable that any deposit at the Hat could extend onto ABR’s Hackett Property with continued potential going east and southeast…Garibaldi‘s acquisition of the Hat East and Hat East 2 claims to add to the Grizzly (plus the staking of Grizzly strike extension claims) represents a growing understanding of this whole system…
Below is a close-up look at the Doubleview discovery area…for scale purposes, keep in mind that this area – as significant in size as it is – represents just a small slice of the massive Sheslay pie which is a growing mineralized district covering at least 600 sq. km…
Ashburton Ventures Inc. (ABR, TSX-V) Updated Chart
Below is an updated chart to assist our readers with their own due diligence regarding Ashburton…since the summer of 2012, the stock has traded in a horizontal channel between support at 3.5 cents and resistance at 10 cents…in addition to its presence in the Sheslay Valley, ABR is focused on PGE exploration in the Yukon in the immediate vicinity of Wellgreen Platinum Ltd.’s (WG, TSX-V) deposit…as of 7:00 am Pacific, ABR is unchanged at 6.5 cents…
Prosper Gold Corp. (PGX, TSX-V)
Prosper Gold Corp. (PGX, TSX-V) has been perking up recently and of course is a very important player in the Sheslay district with its nearly 70 sq. Sheslay Cu-Au Porphyry Project that hosts at least five porphyry targets, four of them within a 12 sq. km area (Star, North Star, East Star and Copper Creek)…Prosper is gearing up for a 2014 drill program that will step out beyond the Star to test the theory that at least some of those targets are connected to the Star as one very large porphyry system…alternatively, Prosper could be looking at a series of potential deposits while the same holds true for Doubleview and Garibaldi…the Sheslay system is so “pregnant”, in our view, that the possibilities are truly incredible…
The 2.5-year weekly PGX chart shows increased momentum with a resistance band between 50 and 65 cents…as of 7:00 am Pacific, PGX is off a penny at 41 cents…
Magor Corp. (MCC, TSX-V) Updated Chart
We continue to keep a close eye on Magor Corp. (MCC, TSX-V), a tech play we like for the long-term…2014 could be Magor’s breakout year after the company first started trading on the Venture nearly a year ago…Magor is a “visual collaboration” company led by an all-star management team that includes some of the same senior personnel that guided Newbridge Networks…the company recently reported “solid growth” in its existing software transaction business, while it’s also in the process of rolling out its key Aerus cloud-based services…we expect Magor’s business model to really start to kick into gear during the second half of this year…no guarantees but superb potential here as we’ve seen their impressive technology in action…
Technically, Magor shows strong support in the mid-30’s, the ADX trend indicator is bullish and buy pressure remains strong despite the recent pullback in the share price…MCC closed Friday at 44.5 cents…below is a 10-month weekly chart from John…
Silver Long-Term Chart Update
One encouraging aspect to this long-term Silver chart is the current oversold RSI(2) condition at 11%…the RSI(2) indicator on the long-term chart has consistently been a reliable indicator of a near-term turnaround in the Silver price if it dips below the 15% level…given strong support for Silver around current levels, and this extreme RSI(2) reading, the metal could be ready for an immediate or near-term move higher…
Silver Short-Term Chart Update
Note: John and Jon both hold share positions in GGI. Jon also holds share positions in DBV, ABR, PGX and MCC.
What the hell just happened Greencastle
Comment by Hugh — February 3, 2014 @ 7:47 am
Jon
are you going to have any comments on GMZ? you mentioned you would on Monday?
thanks
Comment by Greg — February 3, 2014 @ 9:53 am
A Request to all readers
At BMR we are constantly researching new stock opportunities. Sometimes the stock symbols are not included in the Stockcharts database as they require a certain amount of investor interest before they will add it. This is the case of a stock with the symbol HRH.V.
Would you please fill in the stock symbol request form at the following link.
stockcharts.com/support/symbolrequest.html
In the symbol box put in “HRH.V”
In the Trades Box put in “TSX”
Enter your email address.
This should work.
Thank you for your help.
Comment by John BMR — February 3, 2014 @ 10:00 am
John…. cdnx 50 and 200 MA’a are oh so close… makes sense for the index to reach those values before the golden cross??? what if it breaks thru??
thx as always for you guidance!!!
Comment by Jeremy — February 3, 2014 @ 11:26 am
Hi Jeremy
If you look at the daily chart of the CDNX you will see that the Index has been moving sideways in a horiz. channel with the top Resis. around 970 since mid April/13. You can also see that the Index has been oscillating around the SMA(50). If this sideways trend continues the index will continue to oscillate about the SMA(50) and the SMA(50) will oscillate about the SMA(200). Moving average crossovers should only be considered when the Index is in a strong Up or Down Trend…not a sideways trend….that can spell disaster. What is needed here is a strong decisive move above the 970 level. This what we have look and wait for. After that happens I expect the breakout to retrace to the 970 level to test it for Support. If it holds…..we are off to the races.
Hope this helps
Comment by John BMR — February 3, 2014 @ 1:05 pm
helps a ton John… thanks..:) still one wonders WHY it has to come back and test… but yes I hear you!!! thank you for your quick response:)
Happy ‘having a bronco steak with a side of humility’ Monday!!!
Comment by Jeremy — February 3, 2014 @ 4:17 pm
VENTURE ONLY DOWN 10 PTS….WE HAVE TO TAKE IT ON A DAY LIKE THIS…VGN NICE REBOUND!…..COULD IT BE ZARA UNLOADING THEIR POSITION???? RBC SEEMS TO BE SELLING VGD AS WELL….BOTH WERE TAKEOVERS BASED ON PREVIOUS NEWS….
Comment by STEVEN1 — February 3, 2014 @ 5:17 pm
In your list of 4 stocks within the Sheslay Valley, I notice that Romios Gold and Victory Ventures are also in that area.
What is your opinion of these 2
Comment by ChartTrader — February 3, 2014 @ 5:44 pm
Hey is graphite still on the radar, you have mentioned CKR before with there Mulloy property, I was wondering what you guys think about the drill program that’s in progress?
Comment by Gary — February 3, 2014 @ 6:21 pm
Victory ventures put out a release today regarding their property in the Sheslay
Comment by Greg — February 3, 2014 @ 7:43 pm
Hi Greg, just getting caught up on a few things. Will have something on GMZ this week. With regard to your question on my family member, he’s fairing better, thank you, but in a rehab hospital five days a week before returning home for weekends. Long process of recovery but spirits are high. You and ChartTrader brought up Romios and VVN in the Sheslay Valley. By the summer time even the players on the periphery in this deal could easily see their share prices surge significantly, just by holding land in the area. So accumulating on weakness and holding until then may make sense for speculators. Do your DD. I have concerns with VVN management. In the meantime, focus on the 3 major players. I would certainly put ABR ahead of Romios and VVN because of their very strategic Hackett Property which could be an extension of any deposit at the Hat. Met with an independent geo for 2 hours yesterday on the Sheslay area – the scenario that is shaping up here is truly phenomenal. Imagine this for economies of scale down the road if resources are proven up – one mill complex serving several deposits, like at Highland Valley. This has incredible potential.
Comment by Jon - BMR — February 4, 2014 @ 4:07 am
Thanks Jon for the update on your family member, regarding RG and VVN,..was not me…
Comment by Greg J. — February 4, 2014 @ 4:35 am
Thanks Jon
Comment by Greg — February 4, 2014 @ 11:32 am