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March 11, 2020

COVID-19 Update

4:00 am Pacific

BullMarketRun.com

Below are some key FACTS with regard to COVID-19:

  • COVID-19 is not as deadly as SARS or MERS;
  • Symptoms are often very similar to the common cold;
  • The vast majority of people (approximately 80%) who contract COVID-19 fully recover without any special medical treatment;
  • The elderly or those in poor health are the most at risk;
  • Only 1,000 COVID-19 cases have been reported so far in the United States (about 100 in Canada).  However, testing has been limited – the number of cases could rise dramatically during the 2nd half of March;
  • Ontario has identified what appears to be its first community transmission of COVID-19 in a man in his 50’s who attended PDAC in Toronto last week (March 1 and 2), according to information released last night by Public Health Sudbury and Districts.  Anyone who attended the conference should monitor themselves for symptoms, health authorities say, though there’s no need for attendees to self-isolate at this time;
  • COVID-19 has spread to over 100 countries but by far the worst of the outbreak has been in China where authorities now appear to have the situation under control;
  • Italy has been the second hardest-hit country – 10,149 confirmed cases have been reported with 631 deaths (91% of those who have died were in their 70’s or older).  Italy, the 3rd largest economy in the euro zone, has a national lockdown in place;
  • While it wouldn’t be wise to minimize the COVID-19 problem, especially with its obvious impact on the global economy, media sensationalism and hysteria have certainly heightened the “Fear Factor” surrounding COVID-19 (“We have nothing to fear but fear itself,” as President Franklin D. Roosevelt once said in a famous address).  When you see a run on toilet paper, you know people are getting carried away.

COVID-19 Compared To The Common Flu

Below is a tweet from President Trump on Monday.  He’s correct to point out that “life and the economy go on” despite the many Americans who die every year because of the common flu (so far this season in the U.S. there have been at least 34 million flue illnesses, 350,000 hospitalizations and 20,000 deaths from flu according to the latest numbers from the CDC).  However, the death rate from COVID-19 is significantly higher than the common flu and the number of cases are low at the moment only because there hasn’t been widespread testing.

The COVID-19 problem is going to get worse.  Beyond finding an effective vaccine (likely months or maybe a year or more away), the testing issue is key and that’s why Sona Nanotech (SONA, CSE) remains a very smart “hedge” for investors at the moment.

Working with GE Healthcare Life Sciences, The Native Antigen Company and Bond Digital Health, Sona is in a leading position in the race to get a much-needed product to market as quickly as possible (during Q2) – a rapid response lateral flow test that would greatly ease the strain on hospitals.  If successful, this would obviously be a massive company builder for Sona which also has other products in its pipeline with its proprietary and patent-pending Gold nanorods that could easily pivot the entire multi-billion-dollar lateral flow industry.

Click on the arrow to hear Part 2 of our interview with Sona Director Jim Megann, also Managing Director of Numus Financial (more of the interview over the next few days).

 

Sona, which closed at 72 cents yesterday and has only 52 million shares outstanding, keeps pushing higher on a weekly basis.  Below is a bar chart tracking the stock’s weekly performance since February 7 (5 straight weekly advances).

Check out our most recent Sunday Sizzler Report! for further details and comments regarding SONA.

Note:  Jon holds a share position in SONA.

March 10, 2020

BMR Evening Alert!

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7 @ 7:00

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1. Gold has traded between $1,669 and $1,653 so far today following one of the worst equity routs ever yesterday…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is trading at its low of the day, down $26 an ounce at $1,653 after briefly topping $1,700 yesterday…Gold, however, has exceptional support and will ultimately benefit immensely from central bank and government stimulus…Silver, which will also come out of this mayhem in a powerful way, has slid 9 cents to $16.90…base metals are rebounding slightly…Copper is up 2 pennies at $2.62…Nickel has jumped 11 cents to $5.77 while Zinc has added a penny to 90 cents…Crude Oil prices have firmed up after the biggest rout in nearly 30 years yesterday as investors gauge the possibility of economic stimulus and Russia signals that talks with OPEC are still possible…Saudi Arabia, playing hardball, launched an all-out Oil war over the weekend, slashing official pricing for its Crude and making the deepest cuts in at least 20 years on its main grades…the Saudis are the world’s lowest-cost producers and also have about 2 million barrels a day of idle production capacity…Riyadh can also use its strategic Oil stocks to boost supplies at very short notice…Russia has a defensive advantage as the Kremlin can dip into its $150 billion (U.S.) wealth fund to offset the slump in Oil prices…those reserves are sufficient to cover lost revenue for 6 to 10 years at Oil prices of $25 to $30 U.S., according to Russia’s Finance Ministry…in the midst of fresh salvos from both sides, former Saudi energy minister Khalid al-Falih is in talks with Russian Energy Minister Alexander Nova in an attempt to reverse the production hikes and revive the collective OPEC-Russia output curbs, according to a Wall Street Journal report this morning…Crude prices dipped as low as $27 a barrel yesterday, roughly half of where they started the year…$20 Oil can’t be ruled out if there’s not an agreement on limiting production, especially in light of a global economic slowdown and if the Saudis are going to push for market share…as of 7:00 am Pacific, WTI has climbed $2.36 a barrel to $33.49…some Oil stocks took staggering hits yesterday including Cenovus (CVE, TSX, NYSE) which lost more than half its value…the mainstream media is burying this in their headlines, but China’s business and travel activities are steadily recovering after being disrupted by the coronavirus outbreak…that’s good news for the markets and the global economy…Nomura estimated in a research report yesterday that about 61.6% of the firms hardest hit by the health crisis in China have resumed work as of March 8, and 74.1% in the broader economy…

2. Chinese President Xi Jinping visited the quarantined city of Wuhan today for the first time since the coronavirus was identified there, reflecting confidence that the epidemic’s spread has been largely contained within China…Jinping’s visit, which came as Italian authorities locked down the entire country and governments from the U.S. to Iran scrambled to contain the spreading virus, follows weeks in which China reported a steady decline in new infections…Chinese authorities recorded just 19 new cases, 17 of which were in Wuhan, and 2 were imported from overseas – marking the 3rd straight day of no locally transmitted cases outside Hubei, the province of which Wuhan is the capital…of the country’s 80,754 patients, nearly 60,000 have already recovered and have been discharged from hospitals…in an unannounced trip today, China’s President arrived in the stricken metropolis of 11 million people to visit front-line medical workers, military personnel and community workers, state media reported…Wuhan, the center of the epidemic and capital of Hubei, has been locked down since late January as part of unprecedented measures curbing movement for hundreds of millions of people across China…

3. The huge drop in Oil prices couldn’t come at a worse time for Canada, a country that has strangely attacked its own Oil and Gas sector the last several years, killing jobs and investment in the pursuit of “saving the planet”…the result is that this critical sector has been severely weakened, and is now highly vulnerable, at the most inopportune time…quite simply, Justin Trudeau has put the Canadian Oil and gas sector in a regulatory straightjacket when, instead, we should be unleashing the full power of our energy sector…the lack of pipeline capacity – Canada’s inability to move as much product as possible as quickly as possible – and a federal government that did nothing as anarchists and fossil fuel haters blockaded Canada’s rail system last month has repelled and disgusted many investors including most recently Warren Buffett who pulled out of an LNG project in Quebec last week…at no time has it been more important for Canada to attract patient, long-term institutional investors in its Oil and gas sector, but disastrous policy choices by professional left wing politicians in Ottawa and elsewhere around the country have scared capital away…it won’t come back anytime soon, and Canadians will pay the economic price…

4. Silvercrest Metals (SIL, TSX) has nearly doubled the size of the high-grade footprint for the Babi Vista vein since mid-November last year…the latest results show higher-grade vein mineralization to depth, including hole UBV1930 with 2.1 m (estimated true width) grading 12,740 g/t Silver equivalent…the 22 infill and expansion drill holes in the high-grade footprint released yesterday are in addition to 14 drill holes in the Babi Vista vein high-grade footprint previously announced on February 25 and November 14, 2019…based on these 36 drill holes, the updated high-grade footprint is approximately 400 m along vein strike by 150 m in height, and open along strike, toward surface and at depth…within this footprint, the estimated average true width of the vein is 1.2 m while the estimated average grade is 16.2 g/t Au and 1,272.9 g/t Silver…this average grade of AgEq is 230% higher than the previous estimate of 753 g/t AgEq with a reduction in estimated average vein width of 45%…CEO Eric Fier commented, “With the further expansion of the Babi Vista vein, we continue to add value through the drill bit at Las Chispas as we systematically discover and expand high-grade Silver-Gold mineralization.  In the last 6 months of drilling, the Babicanora vein, including Area 51 zone, has gone from being the vein with the highest grade of AgEq on the project to 4th on the list, now superseded by the area 200 zone, area 118 zone and now Babi Vista. Babi Vista mineralization starts about 50 m below surface and is open in all directions.  The vein is approximately 230 m north of the Babicanora vein and was discovered while driving the Santa Rosa decline to the area 51 zone.  With the infill drilling program complete, we are now operating 12 drill rigs (reduced from 19 until further compilation work is completed), which are focusing on the extensions of high-grade veins including several new blind (not seen at surface) veins that are being intercepted as we drill along the strike of the Babicanora veins”

5GoGold Resources (GGD, TSX) has cut 9.5 m of 217 g/t Ag and 2.8 g/t Au (5.7 g/t Au equivalent) within 21 m averaging 118 g/t Ag and 1.35 g/t Au (hole LRGG-20106) in the San Juan area of its Los Ricos Project in Mexico, 1 of multiple drill holes released this morning…hole #106 intersected the Los Ricos quartz vein from 101.1 to 122 m…“We’ve increased the pace of drilling at the Los Ricos South Project and continue to hit wide intercepts of good grade,” stated President and CEO Brad Langille...”We’ve released the results of our first short holes along the el Abra outcrop which confirm grade starts at surface, including hole 102 which showed 10.7 m of 235 g/t Silver equivalent.  At the Los Ricos North Project, we are mobilizing and completing preparatory work for our upcoming drilling campaign”...GGD recently raised $25 million at 70 cents per share…it’s off a penny at 61 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

6. The Dow has rebounded 688 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…the market suffered an historic sell-off yesterday with the Dow and the S&P 500 plunging 7.8% and 7.6%, respectively, the worst single-day performance for each index since October 2008…the Dow’s 2,013 point drop was also the biggest-ever point drop for the 30-stock average…a key support zone for the Dow ranges from about 23,000 to 25,000…President Trump is floating the idea of a fiscal stimulus package, including a payroll tax cut, but nothing concrete has yet been proposed…the triple whammy of the coronavirus, a severe plunge in Oil prices and a big sell-off on Wall Street is an opportunity for Trump to further build on his brand of economic leadership…a spirit of bipartisanship in Congress would be helpful, as difficult as that might be in an election year…in Toronto, the TSX has recovered 474 points after suffering its biggest single-day drop since 1987…the Venture has added 11 points to 474…through yesterday the Index had tumbled 120 points or 21% over 12 sessions, hitting a new all-time low of 463 (3 points below the 2008 bottom)…the 2008 low proved to be one of the greatest buying opportunities ever – we’ll see if history repeats itself…Vaxil Bio (VXL, TSX-V) is the most active in early trading today, up 2.5 cents to 14 cents cents after the company announced that it has submitted a new patent application for its anti-infective vaccines platform as a result of its recently announced COVID-19 candidate discovery… 

7. Pretium Resources (PVG, TSX) has released an updated mineral reserve, mineral resource and life-of-mine (LOM) plan for the Brucejack mine in the Eskay Camp…the updated LOM outlines average annual Gold production of 367,000 ounces for the first 9 years while mining primarily in the Valley of the Kings…at a Gold price of $1,600, Brucejack now has an estimated after-tax net present value at a 5% discount rate of $2.13 billion over the 13-year mine life…while Pretium has consistently been profitable since putting Brucejack into commercial production in July 2017, generating over $500 million of cash flow, annual production and mine grades have fallen short of original expectations…in the Valley of the Kings zone, Proven and Probable Reserves are now 12.8 million tonnes grading 8.8 g/t Au and 10 g/t Ag…the West Zone has Proven and Probable Reserves of 2.9 million tonnes @ 6.8 g/t au and 278.5 g/t Ag, for a total of 15.7 Proven and Probable Reserves grading 8.4 g/t Au and 59.6 g/t Ag (4.2 million ounces of Gold and 30.1 million ounces of Silver)…exploration upside is considerable…

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March 9, 2020

BMR Morning Alert!

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March 8, 2020

Sunday Sizzler Report!

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The Week In Review And A Look Ahead!

Another wild week in the markets – what’s next?

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March 6, 2020

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between the mid-$1,660’s and $1,690 so far today as overall market volatility continues…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $13 an ounce at $1,685…Silver is off 7 cents at $17.34…base metals are down slightly with Copper, Nickel and Zinc at $2.55, $5.75 and 89 cents, respectively…Crude Oil has tumbled $2.64 a barrel to $43.26…the price decline accelerated after Reuters reported a senior high-level Russian source said Moscow would not be prepared to approve a further reduction in production…the U.S. Dollar Index is also taking a pounding, down a full point to 95.96…declining U.S. interest rates and pressure on the greenback should keep Gold on a steady uptrend, says Credit Suisse…the metal has risen sharply since the Federal Reserve’s move on Tuesday to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in an attempt to limit economic damage from the spreading coronavirus…U.S. Treasury 10-year yields since have hit record lows…“We remind investors that one of the strongest historical relationships is between the Gold price and U.S. interest rates/USD,” Credit Suiise said…“As rates go lower and there is increased pressure on the USD, Gold should react positively, and we expect this effect to be longer-lasting than near-term coronavirus fears”…the Dollar Index is on pace for its worst weekly loss since February 2016 when commodities came out of a multi-year bear market…global Gold exploration spend fell by about $550 million in 2019, according to Mark Ferguson, director of metals and mining research at S&P Global Market Intelligence

2. U.S. employers added 273,000 jobs in February and the jobless rate was 3.5%, matching more than a 50-year low, signs of continued labor market strength…most companies reported their February employee head counts before cases linked to the virus rose in the U.S. and other countries outside of China, triggering fears the epidemic would hit global and U.S. economic growth…some companies have expressed concern in recent days about the business impact of the virus and the global economic slowdown…however, while virus-related uncertainty could lead to a wider slowdown in hiring in future months, many employers are still reluctant to cut workers given the virus could soon pass and the labor market remains tight…jobless claims, a proxy for company layoffs, declined to 216,000 last week, a historically low level…average hourly earnings grew by 3% over the past year, in line with estimates, while the average work week, considered a key measure of productivity, nudge up to 34.4 hours…

3. The coronavirus death toll in the U.S. has climbed to a whopping 12 (all but 1 of the fatalities are from Washington state) with more than 225 cases reported around the country (mostly Washington and California)…that number is only a tiny, tiny fraction (0.0006% to 0.0008%) of the number of people who die in the United States every year due to the regular flu, but the mainstream media’s obsession with COVID-19 simply won’t go away and is making the economic impact worse than it should be (CNN will do whatever it can to sensationalize and try to boost its horrible ratings)…global coronavirus cases have increased to more than 95,000 with at least 3,280 deaths…however, the vast majority of those cases are still in China, where the virus originated late last year…in the 3 biggest hot-spots outside China, South Korea has nearly 6,600 cases with 42 deaths…Italy has more than 3,800 cases with 148 deaths, and Iran says it has more than 3,500 cases with 124 deaths…

4. The coronavirus will lead the world economy into its first contraction in a decade, some economists are warning…evidence in mounting that the virus (combined with the media’s coverage of it) is having a significant impact on global growth, Oxford Economics commented…“What began as a supply shock in China has morphed into something much more serious.  The effects of financial market weakness and the disruption to daily life around the world will trigger lower consumer spending and investment on top of the disruptions to the global supply chain”Oxford, along with a growing number of other economists and market watchers, believe this will lead in the 1st quarter to the global economy’s first contraction since Q1 2019…notably, Oxford predicts a rapid rebound from Q2 on, but the “short, sharp shock” will cut growth for the year to 2%, “easily the slowest pace in the last decade”

5. Another $4 billion runs away from Trudeau’s messed-up Canada: An ambitious $9 billion LNG project in northern Quebec is looking for a new lead investor after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B, NYSE) pulled out because of the current business and political climate in Canada…developer GNL Québec said yesterday an unidentified investor has chosen not to proceed with a “significant” financial commitment to the Energie Saguenay Project…though GNL Québec wouldn’t name the firm, Saguenay deputy mayor Michel Potvin identified it as Berkshire…Potvin, who heads the local investment agency known as Promotion Saguenay, said Berkshire – which is run by Buffett, the legendary U.S. investor – would have invested about $4 billion“We did not need this, especially at this stage of the project,” Potvin told the Montreal Gazette in a telephone interview…“We’re not going to find $4 billion tomorrow morning, and we sure aren’t going to find it in the region.  So we have to roll up our sleeves”…the decision is based “on the political context that we’ve seen in Canada over the past month,” said Stephanie Fortin, head of community relations for GNL Québec…it’s too early to assess how the pullout will affect the project, she added…

6. The Dow has fallen 807 points through the first 30 minutes of trading following a nearly 1,000 point decline yesterday…in Toronto, the TSX has shed 433 points with the Gold Index off 6 points at 275…any weakness among producers continues to be a buying opportunity…the Venture is 7 points lower at 514Ridgestone Mining (RMI, TSX-V), on the Venture for a couple of years, has come to life in the last 2 weeks since a large cross in the market on February 21…the company is preparing to commence a drill program at a promising Gold property in Sonora state…earlier this week, Ridgestone announced the appointment of Dr. Steven Weiss as the company’s chief independent technical advisor for its Rebeico Gold and Copper Project…Weiss has a highly successful track record in Mexico that included a decade with Glamis Gold and Goldcorp (he was Goldcorp’s Mexico Exploration Manager)…RMI is off 2 pennies at 27 cents but has been firming up gradually over the past week…Sona Nanotech (SONA, CSE), which rebounded strongly yesterday after a sell-on-news event Wednesday, has added 2 new members to its scientific team as the company works toward quickly unveiling a COVID-19 lateral flow test kit…Fiona Marshall oversaw the development of a rapid-response test development program during the 2013 Ebola outbreak, while Sandy Morrison (President of Quality Systems Atlantic) was involved in obtaining regulatory approval in Canada and the U.S. for the first rapid HIV assay…Darren Rowles, CEO of Sona, stated, “We are also pleased to report that our initial laboratory work is progressing well and as a result of our collaboration with GE, we expect to accelerate an aggressive pace in the development of this critical test”the Venture added 8 new issuers last month, compared with 1 in the previous month and 6 in February 2019…the new listings were 5 capital pool companies, 2 mining companies and 1 real estate company…total financings raised in February 2020 decreased 24% compared to the previous month, but were up 110% from February 2019…there were 108 financings last month compared with 140 in January and 73 in February 2019…the Canadian Marijuana Index continues to get pummelled, now down by more than 80% over the past year…

7. TC Energy’s (TRP, TSE, NYSE) Coastal GasLink estimates that its B.C. pipeline project will pump $115 million over 25 years to 5 elected Wet’suwet’en band councils and generate more than $60 million in construction contracts for local indigenous businesses…that’s, of course, if the politicians don’t screw this up…5 elected Wet’suwet’en councils along the pipeline route would receive the cash distributions totalling $4.6 million a year, for 25 years…the 5 councils have supported the pipeline…a group of unelected and radical Wet’suwet’en “hereditary chiefs” oppose the pipeline project, saying they have jurisdiction over their unceded territory, not elected band councils on federal reserves under the Indian Act…the 20 elected band councils along the route, including the 5 elected Wet’suwet’en councils, have reached impact-benefit agreements with Coastal GasLink…on March 1, “hereditary chiefs” announced a tentative agreement with the federal and B.C. governments to expedite negotiations to implement rights and title for the Wet’suwet’en Nation over unceded traditional territory and recognize the hereditary governance system…

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