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March 11, 2019

BMR Evening Alert!

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1. Gold has pulled back $4 an ounce to $1,294 as of 7:00 am Pacific after Friday’s sudden jump to $1,300 on the release of a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report…Silver, the top-performing metal last week, is off 7 cents at $15.24…Copper, Nickel and Zinc are all relatively unchanged at $2.91, $5.93 and $1.24, respectively…Crude Oil has gained 74 cents a barrel to $56.81, lifted by comments from Saudi Oil minister Khalid al-Falih that an end to OPEC-led supply cuts was unlikely before June and a report showing a fall in U.S. drilling activity…China’s auto sales slumped 14% in February from the same month a year earlier, the country’s biggest auto industry association said today…it was the 8th straight monthly drop in the world’s largest car market…however, new energy vehicle sales rose 54% year-on-year in February…the U.S. Dollar Index has slipped more than one-tenth of a point to 97.22…President Trump’s budget will be released today and will undoubtedly lead to another confrontation with Congress…the budget, according to various reports, will project that the economy continues to grow at a 3% rate or higher over the next 5 years, despite a more pessimistic consensus from outside forecasters…in addition, the budget proposes a 5% cut in domestic spending in a return to what the administration calls “fiscal sanity” while focusing federal funding on defense and the U.S.-Mexico border…however, there is no end in sight to deficits and growing debt which most of Washington doesn’t seem to care about anymore…White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow brushes off concerns about rising deficits, saying Trump’s budget “points a steady glide path” toward lower federal spending and federal borrowing as a share of the nation’s economy…he says “there’s no reason to obsess” about the budget deficit, even as it approaches $1 trillion, as long as it remains below 5% of the overall economy…

2. Two big joint venture announcements in the Gold sector to begin the new trading week…Barrick Gold (ABX, TSX; GOLD, NYSE) is dropping its hostile takeover offer for Newmont Mining (NEM, NYSE) in favour of creating a joint venture that will combine the 2 companies’ mining operations in Nevada…under the deal, Barrick will hold a 61.5% stake in the JV, while Newmont will own 38.5%…the 2 Goliaths have operated independently in Nevada for decades, but previously had been unable on agree on a way to cooperate…they now say the JV will allow them to capture an estimated $500 million in average annual pre-tax synergies in the first 5 full years of the combination…Barrick President and CEO Mark Bristow said the agreement marked the successful culmination of a deal that had been more than 20 years in the making…“We listened to our shareholders and agreed with them that this was the best way to realize the enormous potential of the Nevada Goldfields’ unequalled mineral endowment, and to maximize the returns from our operations there.  We are finally taking down the fences to operate Nevada as a single entity in order to deliver full value to both sets of shareholders, as well as to all our stakeholders in the state, by securing the long-term future of Gold mining in Nevada”Gary Goldberg, CEO of Newmont, added that the logic of combining the 2 companies’ operations was compelling…“This agreement represents an innovative and effective way to generate long-term value from our joint assets in Nevada, and represents an important step forward in expanding value creation for our shareholders.  Through the joint venture, we will also continue to pursue the highest standards in safety, along with responsible and meaningful engagement with our employees, communities, and other stakeholders”

3. Northwest B.C. has a major new player – Newcrest Mining (NCM, ASX), the largest Gold producer listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and one of the world’s largest Gold mining companies, has acquired a 70% joint-venture interest in Imperial Metals‘ (III, TSX) Red Chris mine for $807 million (U.S.)…Imperial’s status as a distressed seller – it has debt of $873 million (U.S.) or $1.2 billion CDN, much of it maturing this month, and has been incurring heavy losses – created an opportunity for Newcrest, which has been eyeing Red Chris for several years…it isn’t just that Red Chris has large resources of Gold (20 million ounces) and Copper (13 billion pounds) or that its 230 sq. km land package is lightly drilled, but that the resource, which has richer grades at depth, is particularly suited to Newcrest’s expertise in block caving and its experience with similar geologies…Newcrest Managing Director and CEO Sandeep Biswashe stated, “The bulk of the resource is underground, and that’s where the grade increases at depth.  So what we do with block caving is we go right down to the bottom and start mining from the bottom up.  So that is one of the key reasons we think we can unlock this ore body and make it a tier one operating mine”…Newcrest has long harboured a desire for North American exposure and has explored both acquisitions and a listing to get access to premium investors who have historically awarded Gold miners with North American domiciles or listings…

4. Imperial is up by more than $1 a share on the news in early trading, meaning the stock has tripled in value since December when we were recommending accumulation…President Brian Kynock stated, “This transaction presents a compelling opportunity for all stakeholders as it allows Imperial to significantly strengthen its balance sheet while forging a strategic partnership with a leading global mining company.  We believe that this joint venture partnership will enable Imperial to unlock significant value at Red Chris by leveraging Newcrest’s unique technical expertise in block caving operations.  With a stronger financial position and highly actionable path to exploiting the underground mining potential of Red Chris, Imperial will be in a much stronger position to create value and opportunities for its shareholders, stakeholders and the Tahltan Nation.  Imperial’s portfolio of assets will include a 100% interest in the Mount Polley mine, a 100% interest in the Huckleberry mine and a 30% interest in the Red Chris mine together with a high potential suite of both advanced and early stage exploration projects including an approximately 50% interest in the Ruddock Creek Lead/Zinc Property and a 100% interest in the Giant Copper Property”

5. This must drive the Loony Left, anti-Oil “climate change” extremists crazy: The U.S. is now the world’s largest Oil producer and is playing the role of disruptor in the global energy market…production has grown to a record 12.1 million barrels a day, eclipsing both Russia and Saudi Arabia in the past year…exports have exceeded 3 million barrels a day, overtaking many OPEC nations…the implications are significant for both the U.S. and the Oil market, which has seen huge price swings in just the past 6 months alone….“Within the next 2 or 3 years, the U.S. will be a net exporter.  By the end of the year, the U.S. will be producing 13 million barrels a day.  This growth is a seismic event for the U.S. economy at this scale.  U.S. Oil production is 2.5 times what it was in 2008,” said Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of IHS Market…U.S. shale has posed a dilemma for OPEC as it has grown in spurts over the past decade, creating supply imbalances by pumping more when prices rise and cutting back as they drop…“It’s really become such a huge story in terms of U.S. production, but also because of our policy,” stated Helima Croft, global head of commodities strategy at RBC“The U.S. is a swing producer but it’s also through policy that we’ve taken 1.6 million barrels off the market.  We’ve been really lucky we’ve had the U.S. producers.  That’s where the U.S. currently plays a role in helping out the market.  Trump talks to the Saudis.  Trump sanctions Venezuela.  He’s really active in the market.  Have we had a U.S. President be this consequential in the Oil market, in terms of intervention?”

6. The Dow has retreated 63 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…the drop in the Dow is due entirely to a more than 10% slide in Boeing’s (BA, NYSE) share price after one of its top-selling airplanes (737 MAX 8 jet) crashed for the 2nd time in 6 months, killing everyone on board…Boeing has by far the biggest influence on the Dow…the bull market in U.S. stocks turned 10 years old over the weekend…this extended bull run has rewarded the faithful with a return of more than 400%, including dividends…even investors who bought S&P 500 index funds at the 2007 peak and subsequently lost more than half their money now have more than double what they started with – as long as they resisted the urge to sell each time skeptics said the bull was ready to collapse…in Toronto, the TSX is up 87 points…Lightspeed POS (LPSD, TSX) finished its initial public offering up $4.90 at $18.90 on Friday, an IPO price that was higher than the $13 to $15 range the company had expected when it announced its plans to go public last month…strong investor demand prompted the company to boost its IPO price and raise the deal size from $200 million to $240 million…prior to going public, Lightspeed was part of an elite club of tech “unicorns,” or private companies valued at $1 billion or more…the successful IPO is clearly a win for the technology industry in Canada and bodes well for other IPOs in 2019…the Venture is up 3 points at 621 as of 7:00 am PacificCrystal Lake Mining (CLM, TSX-V) has added 2.5 cents to 28 cents in early trading following news late Thursday of a discovery, including high-grade Copper, in first-ever drilling at its Burgundy Ridge Property in the Eskay region…more news is pending from CLM as the company continues to review a vast array of historical data, including high-grade Gold intercepts such as 11 m @ 55 g/t, from the 430 sq. km Newmont Lake Project in addition to work carried out late last year…

7. Great Bear Resources (GBR, TSX-V) is under pressure in early trading after the company reported less than stellar results from reconnaissance drilling to the west of the Dixie Hinge zone (DHZ) at its Dixie Project in the Red Lake district…high-grade Gold was intersected in only 1 of 5 holes completed, though all 5 holes cut Gold mineralization…2 exploratory drill fences were completed 150 m and 400 m west of the current DHZ drilling, along the D2 fold axis that is interpreted to be a significant Gold control, using the recently added 2nd drill rig…highlights included 31.4 g/t Gold over 0.70 m within a 2.70 m interval of 8.70 g/t at only 64 m vertical depth…multiple Gold-bearing veins were intersected in 2 of the 5 drill holes….the newly discovered Gold veins may comprise significant strike length extensions to the DHZ vein system or may be new Gold zones – further drilling is required…the 2nd drill rig continues to drill test new targets across the Dixie Property…

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March 10, 2019

Sunday Sizzler Report!

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March 9, 2019

The Week In Review And A Look Ahead!

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March 8, 2019

Daniel’s Den

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1. Gold has traded between $1,287 and $1301 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $10 an ounce at $1,295 after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report…Silver has made a nice move as well, up 25 cents at $15.25…weak trade data out of China has pushed base metals lower…Copper, Nickel and Zinc are at $2.91, $5.96 and $1.23, respectively, but remain within their broader uptrends…Crude Oil has lost $1.72 a barrel to $54.94 while the U.S. Dollar Index has slipped one-fifth of a point to 97.39…the bond market is taking the February jobs report as another sign the Federal Reserve will struggle to raise short-term interest rates again this year…the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury note, which often moves in line with investors’ expectations for monetary policy, has slipped to 2.463%…federal-funds futures also suggest traders are pricing in a higher probability of the Fed lowering rates in the coming months…futures show the market pricing in a 20% chance of at least 1 rate cut by year-end, compared with 14% yesterday, according to CME Group…the U.S. and China have yet to set a date for a summit to resolve their trade dispute, the U.S. ambassador to China said this morning, as neither side feels an agreement is imminent…Terry Branstad, the U.S. envoy to Beijing, said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal that preparations for such a meeting aren’t yet under way, either…he added that negotiators need to further narrow the gap in their positions, including on enforcement of an eventual deal, before summit arrangements are made…“Both sides agree that there has to be significant progress, meaning a feeling that they’re very close before that happens.  We’re not there yet.  But we’re closer than we’ve been for a very long time”

2. Job growth in the U.S. came to a near halt in February after a blistering start to the year, with non-farm payrolls increasing by just 20,000 even as the unemployment fell to 3.8%…it was the worst month for job creation since September 2017, falling far short of the relatively modest estimate of around 180,000 new jobs…however, there was some good news – average hourly earnings increased by 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, easily the best of the economic recovery that began nearly 10 years ago…that compares to a 1.5% increase in the consumer price index for all urban consumers from January 2018 to January 2019…economists had been expecting an increase of 3.2%…

3. Shares in mainland China tumbled today after Chinese trade data missed (exports and imports) expectations by a wide margin, though the mainstream media’s headline numbers were somewhat misleading…all major Chinese indexes closed the day deep in negative territory…the Shanghai composite plunged 4.4% while the Shenzhen composite fell 3.8%…the CSI 300, which tracks the largest shares on the mainland, plummeted nearly 4%…China’s exports slumped 20.7% from a year earlier in February, after jumping 9.1% in January, according to data from the General Administration of Customs…however, stripping out the Lunar New Year effects, the customs agency said February’s exports and imports rose 1.5% and 6.5%, respectively, from a year earlier…

4. One of the few talked about benefits of “climate change”, given how the world is in need of new Gold and base metals deposits, is how receding glaciers and melting snow and ice in Northwest British Columbia and other parts of the world are exposing potential major new discoveries for the first time…in the prolific Eskay region, a rapidly receding glacier has led to an early-stage discovery reported last night by Crystal Lake Mining (CLM, TSX-V) which completed 4 first-pass shallow reverse circulation (RC) drill holes in challenging winter conditions during Q4 at Burgundy Ridge, northwest of Eskay Creek and southeast of Galore Creek…these were the first-ever drill holes at Burgundy Ridge and each hole intersected multi-element Copper-rich porphyry-skarn-style mineralization that appears to strengthen with depth…the 4th hole cut 58 m @ 0.31% Cu and 0.27 g/t Au starting from surface, followed by a 1.5-m interval grading 2.60% Cu from 118 m to 119.5 m…interestingly, an intrusive unit containing blebs of chalcopyrite and finely disseminated bornite mineralization that geologists say could be new to the district was intersected in 3 of the 4 holes, generating high-grade Copper plus Gold, Silver, Cobalt and Zinc…diamond drilling will have to confirm what this intrusive unit is and how extensive it might be…Burgundy Ridge is now interpreted to be part of a >3-km-long belt adjacent to a high-grade Gold corridor along the McLymont Fault…more to come from CLM re: the high-grade Gold area shortly…in the meantime, for comparative purposes, the initial Burgundy Ridge results are actually better than the very first numbers from Galore Creek, which turned into a world class porphyry system, while GT Gold’s (GT, TSX-V) first 4 holes at Saddle North in late 2017 were highlighted by 0.14 g/t Au and 0.16% Cu over 210.5 m from deeper drilling…Saddle North turned into a major new discovery last year…Crystal Lake’s Newmont Lake Project covers more than 2 dozen showings and mineral zones over a 430 sq. km under-explored land package, including the historic Northwest zone Gold resource, 50% bigger than the combined land packages held by Garibaldi Resources (GGI, TSX-V) and Metallis Resources (MTS, TSX-V)…

5. In a move that is politically driven by the Loony Left, Norway’s trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund plans to dump Oil and gas companies from its benchmark index, the finance ministry announced this morning…the opposition Labor Party, Norway’s biggest political group, has long said it’s sympathetic to the proposal, and recently pushed hard in favor of selling the fund’s Oil stocks…the move is supposedly designed to make the Norwegian government’s wealth less exposed to a “lasting drop” in Oil prices…“The Government is proposing to exclude companies classified as exploration and production companies within the energy sector from the Government Pension Fund Global to reduce the aggregate Oil price risk in the Norwegian economy,” the finance ministry said in a statement published on its website…the exclusion will affect companies that explore and produce Oil and will not impact integrated Oil and gas companies such as BP and Shell…the Norwegian government also said that the companies to be excluded are those belonging to FTSE Russel’s Index sub sector called exploration and production…according to the government, the value of 134 stocks to be excluded from the fund amounted to $7.9 billion (U.S.), Reuters reported…

6. The Dow has retreated 191 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX has slipped 156 points despite higher Gold prices and news that Canada’s labor market improved in February, generating a 2nd straight month of strong job gains with the creation of 55,900 net new positions, all of which were full-time (46,200 in the services sector while goods-producing industries added 9,500 new jobs)…the February surge follows a gain of 66,800 positions in January to give Canada its strongest 2-month stretch of job creation since the spring of 2012, and its best 2-month start to a year since 1981..the TSX Gold Index is looking strong, up 2 points at 192 in early trading after recently correcting to its rising 50-day moving average (SMA)…the Gold space is still a great place to be, even more so after Gold’s pullback from $1,350 resistance…the Venture is off 2 points at 613…on the CSE, Miramont Resources (MONT, CSE) – in the midst of a promising drill program in Peru – continues to hit new multi-month highs with the stock up another 4 cents at 54 cents…key breakout point was in the mid-40’sAmerican Pacific (USGD, CSE), perusing high-grade Gold in Nevada, is also hitting new multi-month highs, up half a penny at 21 cents…

7. Chemesis International (CSI, CSE), one of our favorite cannabis plays, announced this morning that it has appointed Deepak Anand to its board of directors…Anand brings over 15 years of leadership in the health, charitable and private sectors, where he has amassed a wealth of experience in regard to business development, strategy and executive leadership…Anand has served on the boards of many associations in Canada, the United States and Europe…within the global cannabis sector, he has worked in conjunction with governmental officials, politicians, policy makers, health professional organizations, educators, investors, patients as well as producers…currently, Anand serves on the boards of the Center for Medicinal Cannabis in the United Kingdom and he is also on the board of CFAMM (Canadians for Fair Access to Medical Marijuana) and the National Association of Cannabis Professionals…he was most recently appointed as vice-president for NORML Canada (National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws)…“I look forward to bringing my experience from the Canadian and global cannabis industry to provide strategic guidance to the team at Chemesis,” said Anand.  “The company has been able to assemble an incredible portfolio of assets and I look forward to adding a global strategy to the vision”Chemesis is currently operating within California, Puerto Rico and Colombia…CSI is up 3 pennies at $2.22 as of 7:00 am Pacific, just a nickel shy of its all-time high…

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March 7, 2019

BMR Evening Alert!

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Daniel’s Den

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