Gold has traded between $1,157 and $1,179 so far today…as of 10:30 am Pacific, bullion has recouped most of its losses from earlier in the morning…it’s now down just $2 an ounce at $1,175…Silver, at $16.78, has gained 6 cents…Copper has jumped 7 pennies to $2.68…Nickel has added another 11 cents to $5.24…Crude Oil is up 24 cents to $51.92 while the U.S. Dollar Index has tumbled more than a full point to 100.02…
The rotation out of precious metals into industrials continued this morning when Gold came under further pressure from liquidation of longs in futures and ETFs ahead of next week’s Fed meeting…key technical support is around $1,150, so it wasn’t surprising to see the market reverse higher after dropping into the upper $1,150’s…support could be tested again, or it’s possible we may have seen a bottom today…
Investors sold metal from exchange-traded funds for a 16th straight day Friday, the longest run since March 2015, and that selling certainly carried over to this morning…holdings are at their lowest levels since June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg…
Four Stocks Lead The Dow
The Dow hit another new record high this morning of 19275…through last Friday, the 1,200-point gain in the Dow in just 1 month has been fueled by just 4 stocks…leading the field by a wide margin is Goldman Sachs (GS, NYSE)…the stock’s 26.5% rally over the past month has added about 320 points to the Dow…in second place is UnitedHealth (UNH, NYSE) which is up about 16%, adding another 150 points to the 30-stock index…meanwhile, Caterpillar’s (CAT, NYSE) 17.3% run has added about 95 points, just ahead of JPMorgan’s (JPM, NYSE) 90-odd point contribution…combined, the 4 stocks have accounted for 55% of the Dow’s 1,200-point climb…
How “Rich” People Think
How do the “Top 1%” think differently, and what can the other 99% learn from them? (rather than demonize them, as certain politicians and others like to do in both Canada and the United States)…
Self-made millionaire Steve Siebold spent 26 years interviewing some of the wealthiest people in the world before boiling down his findings in the book, “How Rich People Think“…he found that there are countless ways the rich view the world differently – they have different beliefs, philosophies and strategies…
Perhaps the most striking difference is that rich people believe money is earned through thinking, while the average person believes money is earned through time and labor…
Most people “believe the only way to earn more money is to work more hours,” Siebold writes…meanwhile, “the rich know that creative thinking is the highest paid skill in the world”…
High earners believe money flows from ideas and finding solutions to universal problems, he says: “The bigger the solution, the bigger the paycheck…making money may not be easy, but it is simple”…
Obama Throws Wrench Into Dakota Access Pipeline, B.C. Oil Haters Cheer
The Obama administration said yesterday that it had denied a permit needed to complete the last leg of an Oil pipeline across the Midwest, prompting cheers from opponents but warnings that the move could be short-lived since President-elect Donald Trump supports the project…
The nearly 1,200-mile Dakota Access pipeline, extending from North Dakota across parts of South Dakota and Iowa and ending in Illinois, is nearly complete, except for an 1,100-foot crossing of a Missouri River reservoir…
Protesters led by the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe have been gathering for months near Cannon Ball, N.D., close to the site of the crossing at Lake Oahe, and have argued that the pipeline endangers the tribe’s water supply and sacred sites…the pipeline’s builder, Dallas-based Energy Transfer partners LP, has completed all necessary permitting requirements for the project and says it has worked to minimize any damage to traditional sites and the risk of an Oil spill…
Eco-fascists in British Columbia, preparing to protest against the recently approved Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, were quick to cheer yesterday’s White House decision…
B.C. Grand Chief Stewart Phillip says the decision serves as a “beacon of hope” for those in B.C. who are opposed to the project. “The incredible solidarity that arose in support of the Standing Rock Sioux tribe will serve to inspire us here on the west coast of British Columbia to convey the notion that together all British Columbians can work together successfully.”
We’re not sure what Chief Phillip actually means by that…unfortunately, for those who have embraced the new religion of eco-fascism in B.C. and elsewhere, “compromise” is not part of their vocabulary…they are vehemently opposed to the flow of Oil, period, no matter how low the “risks” are…Trans Mountain has been given the go-ahead and those who choose to engage in civil disobedience in a way that impedes the development of this project, one of national importance to Canada’s Oil industry and economy, ought to be arrested and thrown in jail…
Crude Oil Update
The 20% rally in Brent Crude since last Wednesday’s OPEC agreement is the strongest over 4 days in almost 8 years…from January, non-OPEC producers are expected to add an output cut of 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) to the cartel’s agreed 1.2 million bpd reduction…
However, one large uncertainty in the global supply balance is output from the United States, whose shale Oil drillers proved more resilient than expected to weak Oil prices…U.S. energy firms extended their recovery in Oil drilling into a 7th month last week, according to data from energy services firm Baker Hughes (BHI, NYSE)…
Overall, accounting for the recent rise in Oil drilling, but also for cutbacks earlier this year on low prices, Goldman Sachs predicts that “year-on-year production will decline by 620,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2016 and increase by 55,000 bpd in 2017“…in other words, the U.S. is not expected to be a major source of new supply next year…
WTIC 15-Month Weekly Chart
Crude Oil has moved a lot over the last 4 sessions but even higher prices do appear to be on the way when one examines this 15-month weekly chart…
The key pattern since the summer of 2015 has been an “inverted head-and-shoulders” with the “head” of course representing the bottom in the upper $20’s in early February of this year…the right shoulder has been forming since the summer, and Oil is now just beginning to gain traction above the “neckline” at $50…this could trigger a wave of technical buying before year-end…
Ultimately, based on this chart as well as improving fundamentals, we continue to maintain that Crude Oil has an excellent chance to push into the $70’s during the 1st half of next year…
Venture Seasonality Chart
Based on historical data, the Venture has an 83% chance of finishing the month higher than November’s close of 737…
Going back more than 15 years, the December-January-February period is the Venture’s strongest with a total gain of 12.6% during those 3 months…in bull market times, as we’re in now, the advance tends to be much greater…
In short, this is the best time on the calendar to be a buyer!…
In Today’s Morning Musings…
1. Bullish CRB Index – key levels to watch for a potential major breakout…
2. Evidence of a bottom in Silver – updated chart…
3. Kootenay Silver (KTN, TSX-V) update…
4. Daniel’s Den – Vancouver’s “Uber of Banking”, trading on the TSX…
Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…