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August 15, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,335 and $1,344 so far today…as of 9:30 am Pacific, bullion is up $5 an ounce at $1,341…Silver is 14 cents higher at $19.78…Copper is flat at $2.15…Crude Oil has surged another $1.11 a barrel to $45.60 while the U.S. Dollar Index has declined more than one-tenth of a point to 95.56

High on the U.S. calendar this week are inflation figures for July and minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting which might offer more clues on the chance of an interest rate hike by year-end (not likely!)…

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust fell 1.2% to 960.45 tonnes on Friday…

Gold has entered a period of seasonal strength (late August until late September or early October), driven by a variety of factors including a pick-up in jewelry demand from Asia…the current negative rate environment, particularly in the euro zone and Japan, should also keep Gold well bid…according to Jeffrey A. Hirsch, editor of Stock Traders’s Almanac & Almanac Investor, in the 19 years since 1996 (which includes a couple of nasty bear markets), “entering Gold long positions on or about August 26 and holding until October 1 has been profitable 13 times (a 70% success rate) with a cumulative potential profit of $17,550 per single futures contract.”

A very modest unwinding of Gold speculation in recent weeks can be construed as positive, setting the stage for another leg up in prices…during that time, the Venture hasn’t lost a beat as it’s up nearly 9% since mid-July (the Venture is a reliable indicator of Gold’s primary trend)…

The net-long position in Gold futures and options fell 4.3% to 255,773 contracts in the week ended August 9, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released Friday…the holdings have dropped 11% since July 5 when they reached an all-time high…assets in SPDR Gold Shares, the world’s biggest exchange-traded product backed by the metal, have declined in 3 of the past 5 weeks…however, global holdings in bullion ETP’s reached a 3-year high last week…

“Abenomics” Not Working

Fresh figures this morning showed Japan’s economy failed to grow on a quarterly basis during the April-June period, with GDP growth coming in at zero and missing already subdued forecasts…on an annualized basis, GDP expanded 0.2%, slowing dramatically from the 1.9% spike in the first 3 months of the year…a Reuters‘ poll of economists had predicted an annualized increase of 0.7% and a quarterly rise of 0.2%, so not only is the Japanese government off track but so too are the economists who are cheerleading Abenomics…

The government of course is doubling down on Abenomics after recently announcing a fiscal “stimulus” package of 28 trillion yen (265.3 billion U.S.), roughly 6% of Japan’s economy….

However, we should be grateful for Abenomics in the sense that it’s one of a range of factors that has pushed Gold higher this year…Japan is also the “star performer” among smaller Gold consumers, reports Bloomberg, with 4 straight quarters of positive net investment into bars and coins…demand expanded to 5.8 metric tonnes in Q2…the World Gold Council cites distrust of Abenomics, negative interest rates and a rising yen for the investment boost…

Nervous Billionaires?

The world’s billionaires are holding more than $1.7 trillion in cash, roughly the size of Brazil’s GDP and the highest amount since one firm began recording the measure in 2010…due to what they perceive to be growing global risks, the world’s 2,473 billionaires are keeping 22.2% of their total net worth in cash, according to the Wealth-X Billionaire Census…

The world’s billionaires saw their fortunes grow last year by 5.4% to $7.7 trillion-higher than any country’s GDP except the U.S. and China…while Europe had the largest number of billionaires of any region, 806, Asia had the fastest growth…its billionaire count grew 15% over the prior year, to 645…North America had 628 billionaires, 3% higher…

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Two new drill programs commence in the Heart of Gold Camp

2. Silver – getting ready for another run higher?…

3Daniel’s Den 2 Oil stocks, and a rubber band that finally snapped – creating a great buying opportunity in this high-grade Gold play…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password.

On The Brink Of A Drilling Discovery In The Southern Labrador Trough?

Scientists and geologists have at least one thing in common – many of their greatest inventions and discoveries happen by accident.

Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good, eh?

Paying attention pays off.

Northern Shield Resources (NRN, TSX-V) is fast becoming an overnight success story, one decade in the making.

Between 2007 and 2014 it plugged away, working slowly but surely on its 100%-owned Wabassi property in the western James Bay lowlands.

Small successes and milestones were achieved along the way, but Wabassi just wasn’t the project that was going to take Northern Shield to the next level. Ultimately, its remaining 49% interest was sold for a cash payment of $1.4 million in mid-2014. Northern Shield maintains a 0.5% NSR royalty on the Wabassi Property.

Perhaps deploying this newfound cash back into PGE exploration, Northern Shield’s fortunes began to turn just a few months later upon discovering the Huckleberry occurrence on the final day of a limited exploration program.

NRN - 2014 chart

Obviously, at the time Mr. Market had no clue as to how important the Huckleberry occurrence would become. Looking at the chart above, after under-appreciating relatively strong assays from surface samples for many months, investors are catching on to Huckleberry’s significance quickly now.

It pays to pay attention, doesn’t it? (on that note, who owns all the claims contiguous to NRN and who did NRN also stake around?).

Looking for Ni-Cu-PGEs in “all the wrong places”…

For starters, Northern Shield’s geologists developed an unconventional theory that a massive Ni-Cu-PGE deposit could be located in the Labrador Trough, commonly known for its rich Iron-ore deposits.  However, the Labrador Trough remains one of the geologically least explored regions of Canada.  The area is covered by extensive sills and flows of basaltic magma, emplaced into and onto a thick package of sulphide bearing pelitic rocks, which does suggest the prospectivity for magmatic Ni-Cu-PGE ore deposits.

According to the story that’s fast becoming legend, Northern Shield’s chief geologist Christine Vaillancourt spotted a gossan in 2014 that stuck out like a sore thumb. The gossan was so obvious and massive looking from up above in a helicopter, Christine assumed it must have been claimed by someone already.

NRN - giant deposit

Had an approaching thunderstorm not threatened the safety of her flight, forcing a nearby landing, she likely would have passed right by Huckleberry (only to think “what might have been” for decades later).

As fate would have it, the thunderstorm allowed Christine and her crew to take rock samples from Huckleberry home for further review. Sample assays proved good. To top it off, not only was the property unclaimed – it had never been claimed before.

Huckleberry surface discovery 2014

Extensive mineralized outcrop at Huckleberry, combined with geophysics and lake bottom sediment data, have convinced geologists of the potential for a major Copper-Nickel-PGE discovery in the southern Labrador Trough.

Truly amazing!

Ironic, too, because “all the easy discoveries sitting at surface have been made”.  Have you heard that line repeatedly, or is it just me?

The harder you work, the luckier you get…

From the sounds of it, Huckleberry found Northern Shield just as much as Northern Shield found Huckleberry.

In fact, the story about how Voisey’s Bay was discovered is eerily similar.

Not unlike Voisey’s Bay, after spotting the gossan from helicopter things begin to progress quickly.

More extensive sampling turned up excellent results, and a review of historical information (airborne surveys, lake bottom sediment data) on the government’s website started connecting the dots.  On June 7 of this year, Northern Shield signed an option agreement with South32, an Australian-based international mining company with a current market cap of $7.5 billion (U.S.).

Under the terms of the deal, South32, a spinoff from BHP Billiton, can earn a 50% interest in the Huckleberry by incurring $2.5 million CDN in exploration expenditures within the first 2 years of the agreement and by making an upfront cash payment to Northern Shield of $200,000. On successfully earning a 50% interest, South32 can elect to increase its interest to 70% by incurring a further $2.5 million in exploration expenditures by the end of the 3rd year. Northern Shield’s interest will be free carried to the completion of a PEA, and they’ll remain the operator while also earning a 10% management fee from South32 on all exploration expenditures by the major at Huckleberry.

“We are extremely pleased to be partnering with South32 on our Huckleberry Project, whom we believe sets the new standard for agility and dynamism amongst the globally diversified mining companies,” explained Northern Shield President and CEO, Ian Bliss. “Perhaps more importantly we share the same philosophy and strategy regarding the science of, and a model-driven approach to, exploration. Northern Shield has built up a significant and unparalleled knowledge of the Cu-Ni-PGE potential of the Labrador Trough and from the onset we have recognized that the geology and mineralization we see at Huckleberry stands out as being very different from the surrounding area and has positive indicators for large-scale magmatic Cu-Ni-PGE deposits. This transaction evidences that South32 shares the same optimism for Huckleberry.”

First drilling at Huckleberry begins later this month!…

While talking with Jon from BMR (I had to pick his brain about this unique situation), he shed some light on how he’s thinking about Northern Shield right now: “It is highly unusual for a major to a option a property from a junior at this very early stage, with no drill holes. All the boxes check off here in terms of the signatures one would want to see for a potential discovery. No guarantees, but it looks very good, about as good as it gets in the exploration business.  Now the ‘truth machine’ goes to work.”

With South32 funding the first $5 million worth of work at Huckleberry, if they elect to fully exercise that option, it allows Northern Shield to keep its share structure below 200 million outstanding. Additionally, South32’s exploration work and brain power at Huckleberry will help Northern Shield better understand its 100%-owned Sequoi property for no cost.

Sequoi is located next door to Huckleberry, as you can see in the image below.

NRN -- VTEM Sequoi

“The VTEM results are quite remarkable. One rarely sees geophysical results fit the geological model so well, especially in a blind environment,” explained Bliss in a news release last Monday (August 8) that further heightened interest in the play and the district.   “We have a string of very strong and sizeable conductors. Their relative locations, geometry and conductance are consistent with our conduit model for magmatic massive Ni-Cu-PGE sulphides. We really could not be more pleased with the VTEM results and look forward to drill testing them.”

NRN’s plan is to drill Seqoui during the last half of September, following completion of drilling at Huckleberry.

Eyes wide open…

Huckleberry stands out as being a very complex and dynamic mafic intrusive complex, characteristics common in giant ore deposits. Evidence includes an abundance of brecciated rocks, xenolith, taxitic textures and multiple phases of mineralization.  It appears to have all the earmarks of a large-scale “segregated” deposit with Copper followed by Nickel and PGE’s.

NRN -- the rocks

“Whenever we show these rocks to geologists that work in and understand magmatic systems, their eyes open up very wide when they see these types of textures in these rocks, because they’re all indicative of giant Nickel-Copper ore systems. Sequoi could be even bigger than Huckleberry,” declared Bliss. 

With infrastructure in place nearby for the Iron-ore mines, Northern Shield’s Huckleberry and Sequoi Projects are strategically located should either or both warrant advancing toward development.

While the Venture is up 80% from its all-time low in late January, the fact is we’ve yet to see a national headline-grabbing major new discovery in this young new bull market.  The Huckleberry and Seqoui have to be considered potential candidates for that, which still leaves plenty of speculation on the table over the coming weeks despite Northern Shield’s impressive share price advance so far.

The other very intriguing angle to this story…

How Clean Commodities‘ (CLE, TSX-V) Ryan Kalt was able to carve out such a large slice of this southern Labrador Trough district, surrounding both Huckelberry and Sequoi, is worthy of a separate article as it has given CLE a potential company-changing tenure position of hundreds of square km.

Kalt stated to BMR, “We have a significant tenure and project presence on regional structures where Northern Shield is drilling this summer and fall.  That tenure position is in good standing through the middle of 2018 which provides significant flexibility to CLE, both in terms of work scheduling and assessing the ongoing exploration results of our neighbor.  It is also worth pointing out that Northern Shield recently staked ground around ours in the area, which in our opinion speaks to a revised understanding of a larger potential district-concept having significant exploration potential. 

Northern Shield has advanced the belief that the magnetic structure beneath their tenure (and ours) is an ultramafic body.  When we look at examples of other deposit-hosting ultramafic intrusions globally we see that mineralization often occurs at the edge of the ultramafic, near the structural intersection with the country rock.  Based on the proposition advanced so far by Northern Shield, CLE’s property covers more of this potential edge boundary of the ultramafic than NRN does.  Plus, CLE holds significant tenure inside the boundaries of NRN’s proposed ultramafic structure that hosts their Sequoi Project.  Consequently, we believe that our Labrador Trough Project – which surrounds not only NRN’s Sequoi Project but also their Huckleberry Project – will be an exploration priority for CLE.”

CLE Labrador Trough map

Northern Shield is expected to start drilling at Huckleberry during the last half of August.

Investors would be wise to follow developments in the southern Labrador Trough very closely in the days and weeks ahead.

About the writer:  Daniel T. Cook, the newest member of the BMR team, is from the great state of Texas.  Daniel has a strong passion for the junior resource sector and has followed the Venture and broader markets with great interest since he bought his first stock 18 years ago at the age of 12.  He’s also a licensed investment professional who was a Bright Future’s Scholar at the University of Central Florida, graduating in 2010 with a major in Finance.  We know our readers will enjoy his material and benefit from his wisdom and insight.  We welcome him aboard!

Note:  Jon holds share positions in both NRN and CLE.  John holds a share position in CLE.

August 14, 2016

Updates On Hot Stocks And A 287% Annualized Return

The resource section of the BMR Top 50 Opportunities List unveiled in early December 2015 is up a staggering 199% in 8-and-a-half months (287% annualized return) with two-thirds of the 39 picks posting triple-digit percentage gains. 

This compares to a 61% advance for the Venture and a 23% climb in Gold during the same period.  The TSX is up 10.4% since then, the Dow has advanced 4.0% while the NASDAQ is up slightly.

Individual category performances (comprising 50 stocks) are as follows:

PRODUCERS:  Up 146%

NEAR-PRODUCERS:  Up 213%

EXPLORERS:  Up 190%

EXPLORER SLEEPERS UNDER A NICKEL:  Up 336%

NON-RESOURCE:  Up 32%

Near-Producers and Explorers showed the best gains last week.  In today’s report is an updated performance review of each category through August 12, and comments on individual companies for our subscribers.

In total, 41 or 82% of the 50 picks have increased in value while 9 are down over the last 8.5 months.  The average return so far for all 50 companies is an impressive 169% or 244% on an annualized basis.

Pure Gold Mining (PGM, TSX-V) tops the list with a gain of 614% followed by Kiska Metals (KSK, TSX-V) at 600%, Cordoba Minerals (CDB, TSX-V) at 592%, Lithium X Energy (LIX, TSX-V) at 428% and Brazil Resources (BRI, TSX-V) at 400%.  Gold Standard Ventures (GSV, TSX-V) is charging hard, now up 388% after last week’s 90% surge on a stellar drill hole from its North Dark Star discovery at its Railroad-Pinion Project in Nevada.

Not included in the above statistics are the 43 recent additions (New Additions), companies that have been added at various times since late February – most of them since the beginning of May.  Combined, this group is already up nearly 70% with Heart of Gold Camp leader Colorado Resources (CXO, TSX-V) setting the pace with a gain of 369%.  The company has expanded its drill program at KSP after hitting high-grade intercepts in two-thirds of its first 30 drill holes at the Inel target including 25.7 m grading 9.2 g/t Au.  Drilling has now started 2 km south of Inel at the highly prospective Khyber zone.

Other companies in the Golden Triangle’s Heart of Gold Camp have posted impressive returns over a short period.  One of them is upstart Aben Resources (ABN, TSX-V) which has surged 264% after consolidating a 230 sq. km belt with near-term drilling plans.  ABN has momentum and less than 20 million shares outstanding for a market cap of just $5 millionEskay Mining (ESK, TSX-V), with an impressive large land package surrounding the past producing world class Eskay Creek mine, is up 169% after a 40% jump last week.  Tudor Gold (TUD, TSX-V) has shot up 112% since Walter Storm’s deal started trading in mid-May (Tudor is now drilling Treaty Creek) while SnipGold recorded a gain of 130% on its acquisition by Seabridge Gold (SEA, TSX) in late June.  Meanwhile, Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V) is ready to drill the margins of the past producing high-grade Snip mine and closed Friday at its rising 20-day moving average (SMA) at 16.5 cents.

BMR recently correctly predicted potential takeovers of both Dolly Varden Silver (DV, TSX-V) and Homestake Resource (HSR, TSX-V), up 244% and 86%, respectively, since we broke the story June 7 (click here) about Hecla Mining (HL, NYSE) purchasing 600 sq. km of claims in the Kitsault district (80 km SE of Heart of Gold Camp) near DV and HSR from a private group.  Homestake is being acquired by Auryn Resources (AUG, TSX-V) while Dolly Varden has raised $7.2 million to become debt free and fend off a hostile takeover bid (at least for now) by Hecla.

Clean Commodities (CLE, TSX-V), formerly Athabasca Nuclear, has built a powerful Canadian clean commodity brand that includes a compelling package of recent Lithium property acquisitions as well as strategic PGE, Uranium and Diamond properties.  CLE has jumped 40% over the last 8 trading sessions on increasing interest in its large Labrador Trough PGE Project surrounding what appears to be a drilling discovery-in-the-making at Northern Shield Resources‘ (NRN, TSX-V) Huckleberry Property.

Battle Mountain Gold (BMG, TSX-V), Probe Metals (PRB, TSX-V), Pilot Gold (PLG, TSX) and Savary Gold (SCA, TSX-V) were among last week’s top gainers on the Top Opportunities List.  Each is advancing high-quality Gold properties. 

1.  Last week’s top 10 winners jumped between 20% and 90%…

2.  Stock soars 62% since appointment of new President…

3.  The Gold strike in Utah that’s just beginning to garner the interest it deserves…

Read the rest of tonight’s report and super-charge your portfolio by subscribing risk-free in less than 3 minutes right now at BMR…learn more

Current subscribers – login with your username and password…

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Sunday Sizzler Report

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August 13, 2016

The Week In Review And A Look Ahead

TSX Venture Exchange and Gold

Despite Friday’s late session retreat on profit taking, it was another fabulous week for the Venture which again led North American equity markets to the upside with a gain of 3.2%.  The Venture is where the best money is being made in 2016, yet the masses haven’t caught on to this fact yet (that’s good).

On Thursday the mainstream media celebrated how the Dow, S&P 500 and the NASDAQ simultaneously closed at record highs – the last time that happened was December 31, 1999 – but the Venture’s 59% advance in 2016 obliterates the returns on those markets and puts the Index on track to win this year’s Gold medal for the world’s best-performing exchange (Brazil is next at the moment with a return of 34% in its local currency).

Those who think it’s “too late” to be loading up on Venture opportunities are in for a BIG SURPRISE!

Click here to super-charge your trading profits by accessing all BMR content including today’s Week In Review And A Look Ahead with a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic subscription featuring a 100% money-back guarantee, or login with your username and password.

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August 12, 2016

Can A 10,000 Tonne Bulk Sample Sink A Boatload Of Paper?

We have a Venture stock you’ll want to keep your eyes on the next few weeks for entertainment value, at the very least.

That’s not to say it doesn’t have exploration or production potential – in fact, not many 7-cent stocks on the Venture are dealing with a “major” or have their property written up in a positive fashion by the B.C. Geological Survey.

What’s interesting is that we’re expecting some sort of “liquidity event” in the near future, and it’s not hard to figure out why.  It could be quite a show, too.

Go BIG or go home, as they say!

The end result could be educational for all of us.

Click here to read the rest of this article and all BMR exclusive content by becoming a Pro, Gold or Basic subscriber risk-free for the next 6 months, or login with your username and password.

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BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,335 and $1,357 so far today…as of 9:30 am Pacific, bullion is up $3 an ounce at $1,341 as it retreats from its morning high…Silver is off 11 cents to $19.79…Copper has slid 4 pennies to $2.15…Crude Oil is 84 cents higher at $44.33 while the U.S. Dollar Index is down one-quarter of a point at 95.67

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust fell 0.03% to 972.32 tonnes yesterday…

Gold got a lift this morning from some weaker than expected U.S. economic data…retail sales for July disappointed traders – they came in unchanged after economists had forecast a 0.4% increase (the retail sales figure ex auto is even weaker)…meanwhile, the July reading of the Producer Price Index showed a decline of 0.4% vs. a consensus estimate gain of 0.1%…

Gold continues to draw strong interest despite the fact that the 3 major U.S. stock indexes each closed at record highs yesterday, something that has not happened since December 31, 1999

Credit Suisse today has reiterated its late-June outlook that Gold will rise to $1,475 in the 4th quarter…

Above Average Monsoon Season Should Lift Indian Gold Demand

India’s Gold demand may rise in the 2nd half of 2016 after falling to the lowest in 7 years in the 1st half as beneficial monsoon rains will spur rural demand during the peak festive season, according to the World Gold Council…monsoon rains in India were 15% above average in the week ended August 10, the country’s weather office said yesterday…it’s maintaining its forecast for an above average monsoon this year, boosting hopes for a rise in farm output and income after 2 years of drought…the June-September monsoon is crucial for India’s rain-fed farm sector that accounts for nearly 15% of the country’s $2 trillion economy…

For investors who have missed Silver’s nearly 50% advance this year (hard to imagine that if you’re a BMR subscriber), it’s not too late to jump in according to the firm behind the world’s best-performing ETF…the main reason for investors piling back in to precious metals this year – low interest rates – isn’t going away anytime soon, said Andrew Chanin, CEO of PureFunds whose junior Silver miner ETF has delivered holders a 280% return this year…Silver has moved the most among commodities as about $9 trillion of debt tracked by the Bloomberg Global Developed Sovereign Bond Index offers yields below zero, meaning those who buy the debt and hold to maturity stand to lose money…

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Betting on Oil’s direction – why we’re bullish…

2. The growing case for a big-time discovery in the southern Labrador Trough (NRN and CLE)…

3Daniel’s Den 3 great values in Africa

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password.

August 11, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,339 and $1,354 so far today…as of 10:30 am Pacific, bullion is down $2 an ounce at $1,344…Silver is off 12 cents to $19.98…Copper is up a penny at $2.19…Crude Oil has surged $1.74 a barrel to $43.45 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added one-quarter of a point to 95.85

New Zealand has joined Australia in cutting interest rates to record lows to stave off deflation and to restrain rising currencies, but a rapid descent to zero rates is bedeviled by solid economic growth and hot housing markets…the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut rates by 25 basis points to 2% today after Australia took its rates to an all-time low of 1.5% early this month…

New Zealand and Australia, however, are global outliers given the negative interest rates operating in countries that represent a quarter of world output…

It’s those negative interest rates and loose monetary policy in general around the globe that have ushered in bullion’s new bull market…

Strongest Gold Investment Demand In 3 Decades

Investment Gold demand during the 1st half of the year, which drove prices up 25%, was the strongest seen in more than 30 years according to the World Gold Council’s 2nd quarter Gold Demand Trends…in its report released today, the WGC noted that the investment market was driven by historical demand in exchange-traded products…the association noted that global ETF demand in the 1st half of 2016 totaled 579 tonnes, and almost matched 645 tonnes of ETF inflows seen for the entire year of 2009

No matter how one would slice the data, investment demand was unprecedented in the 1st half of the year, totaling 1,064 tonnes…in the 2nd quarter alone, investors bought a total of 448.4 tonnes of Gold, an increase of 141% compared to 2015 Q2 demand of 186.1 tonnes…investor demand in the 1st half of the year was even more robust than in 2009 when investors turned to Gold as a safe-haven during the financial crisis…

In its report the WGC said, “For the first time on record, investment has been the largest component of Gold demand for 2 consecutive quarters. And this has been in no small part due to demand from Western investors across the spectrum, from retail to institutional and for bars, coins and ETFs”

Juan Carlos Artigas, director of investment research at the WGC, told Kitco News, “Negative interest rates and loose monetary policy in general has created a structural shift that will have a lasting impact on Gold.”

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Get ready for Gold’s next move!…

2. Gold Standard Ventures (GSV, TSX-V) and Battle Mountain Gold (BMG, TSX-V) ramp it up in Nevada…

3. NexGen Energy (NXE, TSX) discovery ignites Purepoint Uranium (PTU, TSX-V)…

4. Heart of Gold Camp rumors intensify as Eskay Mining (ESK, TSX-V) surges 50% this week…

5Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V) acquires nearly 13 million historical ounces of high-grade Silver in Golden Triangle…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password.

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