Gold has traded in a range of $1,536 to $1,551 so far today…as of 8:45 am Pacific, the yellow metal is down $5 an ounce at $1,539…Silver is flat at $36.78, crude oil has slipped 78 cents to $98.22 while the U.S. Dollar Index has hit a one-month low, down nearly one-third of a point to 73.63…comments from a Chinese official that the greenback would continue to weaken versus other major currencies didn’t help the Dollar this morning…Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to speak on the economic outlook at 3:45 p.m. eastern time today, just before the market close, to a bankers’ conference in Atlanta…investors of course will be paying close attention to every word Bernanke speaks…while Fed officials have said recent data was a disappointment, the general consensus seems to be that softness in the second quarter will be short-lived and was brought on by the Japanese supply chain disruptions and higher oil prices…it’s reasonable, therefore, to expect the Fed to be patient…QE2 ends in just a few weeks but the Fed will continue a separate program to reinvest proceeds from its mortgage portfolio in Treasurys, plus it’s undetermined when the Fed may make moves to reduce the size of its balance sheet…Bernanke still has an assortment of tools in his toolbox but the Fed will likely want to see what Washington does in regard to fiscal policy before taking any major new steps, if indeed any are required…a London-based analyst at UBS AG made some interesting comments on Gold in a report today…“All the market participants we met with in China last week expect a slowdown in physical demand before buying picks up again in September,” stated Edel Tully…while there may be “summer headwinds” for Gold, “this would be viewed by most as a short- term correction within a bullish market…it’s very difficult to leave Asia, and in particular China, without feeling bullish about Gold,” he concluded…CDNX action yesterday was disappointing as the market failed to hold support around 2050…volume was very light, however, in the 41-point drop to 2015 and nothing has changed to alter our overall bullish outlook entering the second half of the year…the CDNX is currently off another 6 points at 2009…it’s worth re-posting a Gold–CDNX comparative chart from John that we ran Saturday…note how the CDNX is very close to a support trendline…
There’s a lot of bearish sentiment with regard to the markets and the economy right now, and that has always been the right time to step up to the plate and invest smartly…we’ve seen great examples of that over just the last two-and-a-half years, in late 2008, the spring of 2009 and the summer of 2010…investors must have patience and must keep focused on the “big picture” which Frank Holmes painted so beautifully at the World Resource Conference in Vancouver…he also made another very true comment…”wealth is at attitude and it’s ambilical cord is gratitude…in that state of being thoughtful and thankful, you’ll find opportunities…that’s the magic”…Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) is headed for another stellar quarter of earnings and, amazingly enough, the stock was down for the seventh straight day today at $7.29…Richmont has solid support around the $7 level and we’re very optimistic about the long-term prospects for this company given its strong earnings, growing production profile and major exploration success at the Wasamac Property near Rouyn-Noranda where the resource has grown from just under 300,000 ounces to 1.4 million ounces (43-101, measured, indicated and inferred)…Richmont, which made 28 cents per share in Q1, has approximately $50 million in cash and no debt with only 31 million shares outstanding…RIC is quickly becoming an earnings machine, so it’s a tremendous play to hold for the long-term in our view…Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) and Spanish Mountain Gold (SPA, TSX-V) have both performed very well recently, which shows that there continues to be strong interest in the advanced junior exploration plays that have substantial 43-101 resources or are about to release a 43-101 resource calculation (as is the case with GBB)…GBB is currently off 2 pennies at 46 cents while SPA is unchanged at 71 cents…both look solid from a technical standpoint at the moment and have out-performed the market recently…we see an exciting summer ahead for Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V) as it sinks its teeth into the Sekenke and Mabale Hills Projects in Tanzania…CUI holds a lot of ground immediately adjacent to the former high-grade Sekenke Mine…we’ve speculated on this before – we wouldn’t be surprised if the company took a run at trying to acquire the former Sekenke Mine which was in operation during the first half of the 20th century…that would be a bold move and could be a company-changer for Currie Rose…their Sekenke package currently consists of nearly 300 square kilometres, surrounding and running in between two former high-grade mines (Sekenke and Kirondatal)…CUI continues to look very promising from a technical perspective…it closed at 17.5 cents yesterday, exactly at its rising 50-day moving average (SMA) which is providing strong support…that’s also where the 100-day SMA is…the 100-day has flattened out and appears ready to reverse to the upside…we were very encouraged Sunday after a lengthy conversation with Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) President and CEO Martin Dallaire at the Resource Conference…we conducted a 45-minute interview which we’re currently editing to cut it down to a more reasonable length…the company has major plans for its Joutel Property, a joint-venture with Agnico-Eagle (AEM, TSX), and drilling will commence at Joutel this summer…it’s a massive property – 10 times Gold Bullion’s Granada land package – and includes three zones that were mined by Agnico-Eagle between the 1970’s and the early 1990’s (more than 1 million ounces of Gold plus Silver were produced)…Robert Sansfacon, VGD‘s Senior Geologist, is an expert on structure and he’s very excited about the possibility of discovering extensions to the previously mined zones or new deposits altogether on that massive property…it’s interesting to note that Agnico-Eagle approached VGD regarding Joutel…that shows the kind of confidence they have in Sansfacon who is highly regarded in Quebec geological circles…he played a key role in the discovery of Osisko’s (OSK, TSX) Canadian Malartic Deposit…VGD, armed with about $7 million in cash, has found technical support in the mid-20’s and hasn’t had an “up” week since the end of March, so this is certainly worth watching closely for a potential move initially in to the mid-30’s around the 50 and 100-day moving averages…with so much drilling this year (40,000 metres) over very prospective ground, it’s hard to imagine Visible Gold Mines not coming up with a discovery somewhere in northwestern Quebec…SilverQuest Resources (SQI, TSX-V) is up 3 pennies to $1.00…not only does SQI hold a valuable 25% interest in the northern portion of the Blackwater Deposit, now under the control of New Gold Inc. (NGD, TSX), but the company has also started a $5 million exploration program at its properties in the White Gold district of the Yukon…approximately 80 companies are expected to spend in the neighborhood of $500 million in exploration in the Yukon this summer…a few spectacular drill holes could really light a fire under the CDNX, another reason we see great potential in this market at current levels…