Last night, we provided a detailed look at the fundamentals of Trueclaim Exploration (TRM, TSX-V) through an interview with the company President. This morning we examine the technical health of the stock, and John has a bullish analysis. As of 11:30 am Pacific, TRM is trading a penny-and-a-half higher at 20 cents on CDNX volume of 277,000 shares.
John: Yesterday, Trueclaim Exploration (TRM, TSX-V) opened at 19 cents, dropped to a low of 18 cents, rose to a high of 19.5 cents and then closed at 18.5 cents for a loss of half a penny on the day on CDNX volume of 467,000 shares.
Looking at the 6-month daily chart we see that on September 17, Trueclaim broke above resistance at 12 cents and in 2 weeks climbed to 17 cents. From there it traded in a horizontal trend channel between 15 cents and 17 cents (top blue line, bottom green line) until December 3 when there was a breakout to the upside on very high volume. This volume was repeated on December 4 and the price reached 22 cents. In 2 days it retraced to 18 cents (Fibonacci 38.2%) only to climb again and reach a high of 23.5 cents on Dec. 14. From there it retraced down to a low of 16 cents before trading within a horizontal trend channel between Jan. 21 and now.
During the last 9 sessions (entering today) there has been increased trading activity which is always bullish when the price is near the breakout level. The main resistance levels to a move to the upside are at 19 cents, 20 cents and 22 cents (blue horizontal lines). There is strong support at 17 cents (horizontal green line). The black Fibonacci set has a seed wave between 15 cents and 23 cents and shows the first target to be 28 cents (we caution that this is not a BMR price target as we don’t give price targets but a potential and theoretical Fibonacci level based on technical analysis).
Looking at the indicators:
The RSI is flat at 53% (plenty of room to higher) which is to be expected when the price is in a horizontal trend channel.
The Slow Stochastics (SS) has formed a bullish “W” in the last 2 weeks with the %K (black line) at 67%, pointing up and above the %D (red line) at 56% which is also pointing up – bullish.
The Chaikin Money Flow(CMF) shows that the recent selling pressure has abated and now sits at the -0.049 level – bullish.
Outlook: With the price near the top of the channel, increased volume and bullish signals from the indicators, TRM looks poised for a breakout in the near future.
Note: The writer does not hold a position in Trueclaim.